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We consider the problem of estimating the maximum posterior probability (MAP) state sequence for a finite state and finite emission alphabet hidden Markov model (HMM) in the Bayesian setup, where both emission and transition matrices have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-20 Alexey Koloydenko , Kristi Kuljus , Jüri Lember

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are characterized by an unobservable Markov chain and an observable process -- a noisy version of the hidden chain. Decoding the original signal from the noisy observations is one of the main goals in nearly all…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Alexandre Mösching , Housen Li , Axel Munk

We present a novel algorithm to solve a non-linear system of equations, whose solution can be interpreted as a tight lower bound on the vector of expected hitting times of a Markov chain whose transition probabilities are only partially…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Thomas Krak

Time-homogeneous Markov chains are often used as disease progression models in studies of cost-effectiveness and optimal decision-making. Maximum likelihood estimation of these models can be challenging when data are collected at a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 Duncan Ermini Leaf

Finding a maximum independent set is a fundamental NP-hard problem that is used in many real-world applications. Given an unweighted graph, this problem asks for a maximum cardinality set of pairwise non-adjacent vertices. Some of the most…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Demian Hespe , Sebastian Lamm , Christian Schorr

In this paper we introduce a new network reachability problem where the goal is to find the most reliable path between two nodes in a network, represented as a directed acyclic graph. Individual edges within this network may fail according…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Allen Chang , Eyal Amir

This paper considers the average complexity of maximum likelihood (ML) decoding of convolutional codes. ML decoding can be modeled as finding the most probable path taken through a Markov graph. Integrated with the Viterbi algorithm (VA),…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Jie Luo

Background: Hidden Markov models are widely employed by numerous bioinformatics programs used today. Applications range widely from comparative gene prediction to time-series analyses of micro-array data. The parameters of the underlying…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-18 Tin Yin Lam , Irmtraud M. Meyer

This paper deals with convergence of the maximum a posterior probability path estimator in hidden Markov models. We show that when the state space of the hidden process is continuous, the optimal path may stabilize in a way which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Pavel Chigansky , Yaacov Ritov

We propose a simple tractable pair hidden Markov model for pairwise sequence alignment that accounts for the presence of short tandem repeats. Using the framework of gain functions, we design several optimization criteria for decoding this…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-31 Michal Nánási , Tomáš Vinař , Broňa Brejová

We develop and analyze methods for computing provably optimal {\em maximum a posteriori} (MAP) configurations for a subclass of Markov random fields defined on graphs with cycles. By decomposing the original distribution into a convex…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Martin J. Wainwright , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Alan S. Willsky

Computing optimal conditional reachability probabilities in Markov decision processes (MDPs) is tractable by a reduction to reachability probabilities. Yet, this reduction yields cyclic, challenging MDPs that are often notoriously hard to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Milan Češka , Sebastian Junges , Luko van der Maas , Filip Macák , Tim Quatmann

In this work we present a flexible, probabilistic and reference-free method of error correction for high throughput DNA sequencing data. The key is to exploit the high coverage of sequencing data and model short sequence outputs as…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-02-04 Xin Yin , Zhao Song , Karin Dorman , Aditya Ramamoorthy

The dynamics of mechanical systems such as turbomachinery with multiple blades are often modeled by arrays of periodically driven coupled nonlinear oscillators. It is known that such systems may have multiple stable vibrational modes, and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-06 Lautaro Cilenti , Maria Cameron , Balakumar Balachandran

Inter-symbol interference (ISI) channels with data dependent Gauss Markov noise have been used to model read channels in magnetic recording and other data storage systems. The Viterbi algorithm can be adapted for performing maximum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-06-28 Naveen Kumar , Aditya Ramamoorthy , Murti Salapaka

This paper is concerned with determining the shortest path for a pursuer aiming to intercept a moving target travelling at a constant speed. To address this challenge, we introduce an efficient mathematical model outlined as an optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 M. Akter , M. M. Rizvi , M. Forkan

Observations depending on sums of random variables are common throughout many fields; however, no efficient solution is currently known for performing max-product inference on these sums of general discrete distributions (max-product…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-11-19 Oliver Serang

We study the computation of lower and upper probabilities of hitting a target set of states for imprecise Markov chains, where transition uncertainty is modelled by a convex set of transition matrices. In the precise case, hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Marco Sangalli , Erik Quaeghebeur , Thomas Krak

We present a novel method for computing reachability probabilities of parametric discrete-time Markov chains whose transition probabilities are fractions of polynomials over a set of parameters. Our algorithm is based on two key…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Nils Jansen , Florian Corzilius , Matthias Volk , Ralf Wimmer , Erika Ábrahám , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Bernd Becker

The Viterbi algorithm, presented in 1967, allows a maximum likelihood decoding of partial response codes. This study focuses on the duobinary code which is the first member of this family and has been specified for the digital part of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Henri Mertens , Marc Van Droogenbroeck