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We present a numerically efficient approach for learning a risk-neutral measure for paths of simulated spot and option prices up to a finite horizon under convex transaction costs and convex trading constraints. This approach can then be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

Statistical mechanics provides a useful analog for understanding the behavior of complex adaptive systems, including power markets and the power systems they intend to govern. Transaction-based control is founded on the conjecture that the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 David P. Chassin

We study the continuous time portfolio optimization model on the market where the mean returns of individual securities or asset categories are linearly dependent on underlying economic factors. We introduce the functional $Q_\gamma$…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-29 O. S. Rozanova , G. S. Kambarbaeva

We propose a unified mean-field framework that bridges the dynamics of informal financial markets and formal markets governed by Limit Order Books (LOBs). Both settings are modeled as interacting particle systems on a 1D price lattice, with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-05 Alvaro Navarro-Rubio , Alejandro Lage-Castellanos

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

Modern mainstream financial theory is underpinned by the efficient market hypothesis, which posits the rapid incorporation of relevant information into asset pricing. Limited prior studies in the operational research literature have…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-07 Ben Moews

Newtonian dynamics is derived from prior information codified into an appropriate statistical model. The basic assumption is that there is an irreducible uncertainty in the location of particles so that the state of a particle is defined by…

Classical Physics · Physics 2009-05-27 Ariel Caticha , Carlo Cafaro

Hidden information emerges under impulse interactions with Markov diffusion process modeling interactive random environment. Impulse yes no action cuts Markov correlations revealing Bit of hidden information connected correlated states.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-05-16 Vladimir S. Lerner

In sustained growth with random dynamics stationary distributions can exist without detailed balance. This suggests thermodynamical behavior in fast growing complex systems. In order to model such phenomena we apply both a discrete and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-22 Tamás Biró , Zoltán Néda

Financial markets convert the incremental arrival of information into asset price changes. In a sandpile model grains of sand represent bits of data, and the size of an avalanche, governed by a scaling law, is linked to price volatility.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Bernhard K Meister

This is an attempt to address diffusion phenomena from the point of view of information theory. We imagine a regular hamiltonian system under the random perturbation of thermal (molecular) noise and chaotic instability. The irregularity of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Qiuping A. Wang

In this study we define a three-step procedure to relate the self-decomposability of the stationary law of a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to the law of the increments of such processes. Based on this procedure and the results of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-25 Piergiacomo Sabino

This paper shows that Hamiltonians and operators can also be put to good use even in contexts which are not purely physics based. Consider the world of finance. The work presented here {models a two traders system with information exchange…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 F. Bagarello , E. Haven

A stochastic nonlinear dynamical system generates information, as measured by its entropy rate. Some---the ephemeral information---is dissipated and some---the bound information---is actively stored and so affects future behavior. We derive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Sarah Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

Employing a recent technique which allows the representation of nonstationary data by means of a juxtaposition of locally stationary patches of different length, we introduce a comprehensive analysis of the key observables in a financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-03 Sabrina Camargo , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros , Celia Anteneodo

A dynamical model consists of a continuous self-map $T: \mathcal{X} \to \mathcal{X}$ of a compact state space $\mathcal{X}$ and a continuous observation function $f: \mathcal{X} \to \mathbb{R}$. This paper considers the fitting of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-24 Kevin McGoff , Andrew B. Nobel

Non-equilibrium phenomena occur not only in physical world, but also in finance. In this work, stochastic relaxational dynamics (together with path integrals) is applied to option pricing theory. A recently proposed model (by Ilinski et…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Matthias Otto

Following a long tradition of physicists who have noticed that the Ising model provides a general background to build realistic models of social interactions, we study a model of financial price dynamics resulting from the collective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Didier Sornette , Wei-Xing Zhou

We propose and study a simple model of dynamical redistribution of capital in a diversified portfolio. We consider a hypothetical situation of a portfolio composed of N uncorrelated stocks. Each stock price follows a multiplicative random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Matteo Marsili , Sergei Maslov , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We study the optimal liquidation problem in a market model where the bid price follows a geometric pure jump process whose local characteristics are driven by an unobservable finite-state Markov chain and by the liquidation rate. This model…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-27 Katia Colaneri , Zehra Eksi , Rüdiger Frey , Michaela Szölgyenyi