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Inter-coder agreement measures, like Cohen's kappa, correct the relative frequency of agreement between coders to account for agreement which simply occurs by chance. However, in some situations these measures exhibit behavior which make…

Applications · Statistics 2012-08-07 Dirk Schuster

We use recurrent-events survival analysis techniques and methods to analyze the duration of Olympic records. The Kaplan-Meier estimator is used to perform preliminary tests and recurrent event survivor function estimators proposed by Wang &…

Applications · Statistics 2012-07-27 Elliott Hollifield , Victoria Trevino , Adam Zarn

It is common in medical studies that the outcome of interest is truncated by death, meaning that a subject has died before the outcome could be measured. In this case, restricted analysis among survivors may be subject to selection bias.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-25 Linbo Wang , Xiao-Hua Zhou , Thomas S. Richardson

The hazard ratio is one of the most commonly reported measures of treatment effect in randomised trials, yet the source of much misinterpretation. This point was made clear by (Hernan, 2010) in commentary, which emphasised that the hazard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Torben Martinussen , Stijn Vansteelandt , Per Kragh Andersen

Caliper matching is used to estimate causal effects of a binary treatment from observational data by comparing matched treated and control units. Units are matched when their propensity scores, the conditional probability of receiving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Máté Kormos , Stéphanie van der Pas , Aad van der Vaart

In epidemiological or demographic studies, with variable age at onset, a typical quantity of interest is the incidence of a disease (for example the cancer incidence). In these studies, the individuals are usually highly heterogeneous in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Vivien Goepp , Jean-Christophe Thalabard , Grégory Nuel , Olivier Bouaziz

Three statistical studies, all published between 2004 and 2008 but without referring to one another, assert a useful equivalence involving the hazard ratio, a parameter estimated for time to event data by the frequently used proportional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 David M. Thompson , Julia E. Reid

We compare the rate of convergence to the time average of a function over an integrable Hamiltonian flow with the one obtained by a stochastic perturbation of the same flow. Precisely, we provide detailed estimates in different Fourier…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-07-23 Olga Bernardi , Franco Cardin , Massimiliano Guzzo

We consider estimating an expected infinite-horizon cumulative discounted cost/reward contingent on an underlying stochastic process by Monte Carlo simulation. An unbiased estimator based on truncating the cumulative cost at a random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Zhenyu Cui , Michael C. Fu , Yijie Peng , Lingjiong Zhu

We derive the general analytical expressions for the statistical uncertainties of cumulants up to fourth order including an efficiency correction. The analytical expressions have been tested with a toy Monte Carlo model analysis. An…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2022-03-25 Fan Si , Yifei Zhang

The construction of the simultaneous confidence bands for the integrated hazard function is considered. The Nelson--Aalen estimator is used. The simultaneous confidence bands based on bootstrap methods are presented. Two methods of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anna Dudek , Maciej Gocwin , Jacek Leskow

This paper develops a continuous-time filtering framework for estimating a hazard rate subject to an unobservable change-point. This framework naturally arises in both financial and insurance applications, where the default intensity of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-12 Matteo Buttarazzi , Claudia Ceci

Quasi-periodic responses composed of multiple base frequencies widely exist in science and engineering problems. The multiple harmonic balance (MHB) method is one of the most commonly used approaches for such problems. However, it is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-27 Qisi Wang , Zipu Yan , Honghua Dai

It is well known that Expected Shortfall (also called Average Value-at-Risk) is a convex risk measure, i. e. Expected Shortfall of a convex linear combination of arbitrary risk positions is not greater than a convex linear combination with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-03 Mikhail Tselishchev

The investor is interested in the expected return and he is also concerned about the risk and the uncertainty assumed by the investment. One of the most popular concepts used to measure the risk and the uncertainty is the variance and/or…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Andreia Dionisio , Rui Menezes , Diana A. Mendes

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

The recent paper claims that mean characteristics of chaotic orbits differ from the corresponding values averaged over the set of unstable periodic orbits, embedded in the chaotic attractor. We demonstrate that the alleged discrepancy is an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-07-27 Michael A. Zaks , Denis S. Goldobin

We study the multiplicative hazards model with intermittently observed longitudinal covariates and time-varying coefficients. For such models, the existing ad hoc approach, such as the last value carried forward, is biased. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-13 Zhuowei Sun , Hongyuan Cao

Proximal causal inference provides a framework for estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) in the presence of unmeasured confounding by leveraging outcome and treatment proxies. Identification in this framework relies on the existence…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Chunrong Ai , Jiawei Shan

Results involving various mean value properties are reviewed for harmonic, biharmonic and metaharmonic functions. It is also considered how the standard mean value property can be weakened to imply harmonicity and belonging to other classes…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Nikolay Kuznetsov