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In this work, the estimation of the multivariate normal mean by different classes of shrinkage estimators is investigated. The risk associated with the balanced loss function is used to compare two estimators. We start by considering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Abdelkader Benkhaled , Mekki Terbeche , Abdenour Hamdaoui

Collapsibility deals with the conditions under which a conditional (on a covariate W) measure of association between two random variables X and Y equals the marginal measure of association, under the assumption of homogeneity over the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-30 P. Vellaisamy

Survival data with time-varying covariates are common in practice. If relevant, they can improve on the estimation of survival function. However, the traditional survival forests - conditional inference forest, relative risk forest and…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-06 Weichi Yao , Halina Frydman , Denis Larocque , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

In many clinical contexts, estimating effects of treatment in time-to-event data is complicated not only by confounding, censoring, and heterogeneity, but also by the presence of a cured subpopulation in which the event of interest never…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Yuqi Li , Quinn Lanners , Matthew M. Engelhard

Augmenting the control arm in clinical trials with external data can improve statistical power for demonstrating treatment effects. In many time-to-event outcome trials, participants are subject to truncation by death. Direct application of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Zehao Su , Helene C. W. Rytgaard , Henrik Ravn , Frank Eriksson

Researchers increasingly use meta-analysis to synthesize the results of several studies in order to estimate a common effect. When the outcome variable is continuous, standard meta-analytic approaches assume that the primary studies report…

The classical approach to analyze time-to-event data, e.g. in clinical trials, is to fit Kaplan-Meier curves yielding the treatment effect as the hazard ratio between treatment groups. Afterwards commonly a log-rank test is performed in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-16 Kathrin Möllenhoff , Achim Tresch

We review the alternative proposals introduced recently in the literature to update the standard formula to estimate the uncertainty on the mean of repeated measurements, and we compare their performances on synthetic examples with normal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-09-13 Pascal Pernot , Jean-Paul Berthet

The degenerate parabolic Generalized Porous Medium Equation (GPME) poses numerical challenges due to self-sharpening and its sharp corner solutions. For these problems, we show results for two subclasses of the GPME with differentiable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Danielle Maddix , Luiz Sampaio , Margot Gerritsen

Aggregate shocks affect most households' and firms' decisions. Using three stylized models we show that inference based on cross-sectional data alone generally fails to correctly account for decision making of rational agents facing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-28 Jinyong Hahn , Guido Kuersteiner , Maurizio Mazzocco

When data do not conform to the hypothesis of a known sampling-variance, the fitting of a constant to the set of measured values is a long debated problem. Given the data, the fitting would require to find which measurand value is most…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-09-27 Giovanni Mana , Maria Mirabela Predescu

The incorporation of systematic uncertainties into confidence interval calculations has been addressed recently in a paper by Conrad et al. (Physical Review D 67 (2003) 012002). In their work, systematic uncertainities in detector…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Gary C. Hill

We study the problem of characterizing the expected hitting times for a robust generalization of continuous-time Markov chains. This generalization is based on the theory of imprecise probabilities, and the models with which we work…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Thomas Krak

In this paper, we propose a doubly robust method to present the heterogeneity of the average treatment effect with respect to observed covariates of interest. We consider a situation where a large number of covariates are needed for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-27 Sokbae Lee , Ryo Okui , Yoon-Jae Whang

Estimating average treatment effects from observational data is challenging under practical violations of the positivity assumption. Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimators (TMLEs) are widely used because of their double robustness and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Yichen Xu , Susan Gruber , Mark J. van der Laan

Inspired by Strotz's consistent planning strategy, we formulate the infinite horizon mean-variance stopping problem as a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium in order to determine time consistent strategies with no regret. Equilibria among…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-22 Erhan Bayraktar , Jingjie Zhang , Zhou Zhou

This paper provides a design-based framework for variance (bound) estimation in experimental analysis. Results are applicable to virtually any combination of experimental design, linear estimator (e.g., difference-in-means, OLS, WLS) and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 Joel A. Middleton

We will focus on estimating the integrated covariance of two diffusion processes observed in a nonsynchronous manner. The observation data is contaminated by some noise, which is possibly correlated with the returns of the diffusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Yuta Koike

Existing optimal estimators of nonequilibrium path-ensemble averages are shown to fall within the framework of extended bridge sampling. Using this framework, we derive a general minimal-variance estimator that can combine nonequilibrium…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-06 David D. L. Minh , John D. Chodera

In over-identified models, misspecification -- the norm rather than exception -- fundamentally changes what estimators estimate. Different estimators imply different estimands rather than different efficiency for the same target. A review…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Isaiah Andrews , Jiafeng Chen , Otavio Tecchio