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The theory of convex risk functions has now been well established as the basis for identifying the families of risk functions that should be used in risk averse optimization problems. Despite its theoretical appeal, the implementation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Jonathan Yu-Meng Li

We show that moment inequalities in a wide variety of economic applications have a particular linear conditional structure. We use this structure to construct uniformly valid confidence sets that remain computationally tractable even in…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-20 Isaiah Andrews , Jonathan Roth , Ariel Pakes

Power law or generalized polynomial regressions with unknown real-valued exponents and coefficients, and weakly dependent errors, are considered for observations over time, space or space--time. Consistency and asymptotic normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-14 Peter M. Robinson

Inverse reinforcement learning methods aim to retrieve the reward function of a Markov decision process based on a dataset of expert demonstrations. The commonplace scarcity and heterogeneous sources of such demonstrations can lead to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Ivan Ovinnikov , Eugene Bykovets , Joachim M. Buhmann

While decision theory provides an appealing normative framework for representing rich preference structures, eliciting utility or value functions typically incurs a large cost. For many applications involving interactive systems this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Vu A. Ha , Peter Haddawy

We develop a framework for interacting with uncertain environments in reinforcement learning (RL) by leveraging preferences in the form of utility functions. We claim that there is value in considering different risk measures during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Hannes Eriksson , Christos Dimitrakakis

We propose forecast encompassing tests for the Expected Shortfall (ES) jointly with the Value at Risk (VaR) based on flexible link (or combination) functions. Our setup allows testing encompassing for convex forecast combinations and for…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-17 Timo Dimitriadis , Xiaochun Liu , Julie Schnaitmann

The debate of what quantitative risk measure to choose in practice has mainly focused on the dichotomy between Value at Risk (VaR) -- a quantile -- and Expected Shortfall (ES) -- a tail expectation. Range Value at Risk (RVaR) is a natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Tobias Fissler , Johanna F. Ziegel

Functional Distributional Semantics is a framework that aims to learn, from text, semantic representations which can be interpreted in terms of truth. Here we make two contributions to this framework. The first is to show how a type of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-09-04 Guy Emerson , Ann Copestake

In multiple criteria decision aiding, very often the alternatives are compared by means of a value function compatible with the preferences expressed by the Decision Maker. The problem is that, in general, there is a plurality of compatible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-14 Sally Giuseppe Arcidiacono , Salvatore Corrente , Salvatore Greco

This paper proposes a new approach to obtain uniformly valid inference for linear functionals or scalar subvectors of a partially identified parameter defined by linear moment inequalities. The procedure amounts to bootstrapping the value…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-09 JoonHwan Cho , Thomas M. Russell

In this paper we study the dynamics and ergodic theory of certain economic models which are implicitly defined. We consider 1-dimensional and 2-dimensional overlapping generations models, a cash-in-advance model, heterogeneous markets and a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-11-16 Eugen Mihailescu

A fundamental computational task in probabilistic programming is to infer a program's output (posterior) distribution from a given initial (prior) distribution. This problem is challenging, especially for expressive languages that feature…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Darion Haase , Kevin Batz , Adrian Gallus , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Lutz Klinkenberg , Tobias Winkler

The aim of this paper is to extend worst risk minimization, also called worst average loss minimization, to the functional realm. This means finding a functional regression representation that will be robust to future distribution shifts on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Philip Kennerberg , Ernst C. Wit

Given a random walk $(S_n)$ with typical step distributed according to some fixed law and a fixed parameter $p \in (0,1)$, the associated positively step-reinforced random walk is a discrete-time process which performs at each step, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Marco Bertenghi , Alejandro Rosales-Ortiz

This study intends to introduce kernel mean embedding of probability measures over infinite-dimensional separable Hilbert spaces induced by functional response statistical models. The embedded function represents the concentration of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Saeed Hayati , Kenji Fukumizu , Afshin Parvardeh

The problem of demand inversion - a crucial step in the estimation of random utility discrete-choice models - is equivalent to the determination of stable outcomes in two-sided matching models. This equivalence applies to random utility…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-30 Odran Bonnet , Alfred Galichon , Yu-Wei Hsieh , Keith O'Hara , Matt Shum

We consider an enlarged dimension reduction space in functional inverse regression. Our operator and functional analysis based approach facilitates a compact and rigorous formulation of the functional inverse regression problem. It also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Ting-Li Chen , Su-Yun Huang , Yanyuan Ma , I-Ping Tu

Automatic verification of concurrent programs faces state explosion due to the exponential possible interleavings of its sequential components coupled with large or infinite state spaces. An alternative is deductive verification, where…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Yuan Xia , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , Mukund Raghothaman , Srivatsan Ravi

Obtaining guarantees on the convergence of the minimizers of empirical risks to the ones of the true risk is a fundamental matter in statistical learning. Instead of deriving guarantees on the usual estimation error, the goal of this paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Paul Escande
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