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We propose Bayesian optimal sequential prediction as a new principle for understanding in-context learning (ICL). Unlike interpretations framing Transformers as performing implicit gradient descent, we formalize ICL as meta-learning over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Di Zhang , Jiaqi Xing

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

We consider the problem of bounded model checking (BMC) for linear temporal logic (LTL). We present several efficient encodings that have size linear in the bound. Furthermore, we show how the encodings can be extended to LTL with past…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Armin Biere , Keijo Heljanko , Tommi Junttila , Timo Latvala , Viktor Schuppan

Bayesian classifiers perform well when each of the features is completely independent of the other which is not always valid in real world application. The aim of this study is to implement and compare the performances of each variant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Tosin Ige , Christopher Kiekintveld

This paper investigates the inverse capabilities and broader utility of multimodal latent spaces within task-specific AI (Artificial Intelligence) models. While these models excel at their designed forward tasks (e.g., text-to-image…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Siwoo Park

Learning to predict masked tokens in a sequence has been shown to be a helpful pretraining objective for powerful language models such as PaLM2. After training, such masked language models (MLMs) can provide distributions of tokens in the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Tom Young , Yunan Chen , Yang You

Despite extensive research into mitigating distribution shifts, many existing algorithms yield inconsistent performance, often failing to outperform baseline Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) across diverse scenarios. Furthermore, high…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Paulo Mario P. Medina , Jose Marie Antonio Miñoza , Sebastian C. Ibañez

When large language models (LLMs) are asked to perform certain tasks, how can we be sure that their learned representations align with reality? We propose a domain-agnostic framework for systematically evaluating distribution shifts in LLMs…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Tanush Chopra , Michael Li , Jacob Haimes

Machine learning (ML) models show strong promise for new biomedical prediction tasks, but concerns about trustworthiness have hindered their clinical adoption. In particular, it is often unclear whether a model relies on true clinical cues…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Dushan N. Wadduwage , Dineth Jayakody , Leonidas Zimianitis

Material scientists are increasingly adopting the use of machine learning (ML) for making potentially important decisions, such as, discovery, development, optimization, synthesis and characterization of materials. However, despite ML's…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-03-12 Bhavya Kailkhura , Brian Gallagher , Sookyung Kim , Anna Hiszpanski , T. Yong-Jin Han

The hypothesis of randomness is fundamental in statistical machine learning and in many areas of nonparametric statistics; it says that the observations are assumed to be independent and coming from the same unknown probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Vladimir Vovk

Changepoint models typically assume the data within each segment are independent and identically distributed conditional on some parameters which change across segments. This construction may be inadequate when data are subject to local…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Niall M. Adams

While tasks could come with varying the number of instances and classes in realistic settings, the existing meta-learning approaches for few-shot classification assume that the number of instances per task and class is fixed. Due to such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Hae Beom Lee , Hayeon Lee , Donghyun Na , Saehoon Kim , Minseop Park , Eunho Yang , Sung Ju Hwang

As large language models (LLMs) gain popularity in conducting prediction tasks in-context, understanding the sources of uncertainty in in-context learning becomes essential to ensuring reliability. The recent hypothesis of in-context…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-08 I. Shavindra Jayasekera , Jacob Si , Filippo Valdettaro , Wenlong Chen , A. Aldo Faisal , Yingzhen Li

Bytes form the basis of the digital world and thus are a promising building block for multimodal foundation models. Recently, Byte Language Models (BLMs) have emerged to overcome tokenization, yet the excessive length of bytestreams…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Eric Egli , Matteo Manica , Jannis Born

Better cross-lingual alignment is often assumed to yield better cross-lingual transfer. However, explicit alignment techniques -- despite increasing embedding similarity -- frequently fail to improve token-level downstream performance. In…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Yana Veitsman , Yihong Liu , Hinrich Schütze

Large language models (LLMs) excel at explicit reasoning, but their implicit computational strategies remain underexplored. Decades of psychophysics research show that humans intuitively process and integrate noisy signals using…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Julian Ma , Jun Wang , Zafeirios Fountas

LLM-as-judge frameworks are increasingly used for automatic NLG evaluation, yet their per-instance reliability remains poorly understood. We present a two-pronged diagnostic toolkit applied to SummEval: $\textbf{(1)}$ a transitivity…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Manan Gupta , Dhruv Kumar

Large language models (LLMs) can produce long, coherent passages of text, suggesting that LLMs, although trained on next-word prediction, must represent the latent structure that characterizes a document. Prior work has found that internal…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Liyi Zhang , R. Thomas McCoy , Theodore R. Sumers , Jian-Qiao Zhu , Thomas L. Griffiths

We leverage the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle as a model selection technique for Bernoulli distributions and compare several types of MDL codes. We first present a simplistic crude two-part MDL code and a Normalized Maximum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-04 Marc Boullé , Fabrice Clérot , Carine Hue
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