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Under a single-index regression assumption, we introduce a new semiparametric procedure to estimate a conditional density of a censored response. The regression model can be seen as a generalization of Cox regression model and also as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-22 Olivier Bouaziz , Olivier Lopez

We propose a change detection method for the famous Cox--Ingersoll--Ross model. This model is widely used in financial mathematics and therefore detecting a change in its parameters is of crucial importance. We develop one- and two-sided…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-26 Gyula Pap , Tamás T. Szabó

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

This paper investigates the cumulative Integer-Valued Autoregressive model of infinite order, denoted as INAR($\infty$), a class of processes crucial for modeling count time series and equivalent to discrete-time Hawkes processes. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-12 Yingli Wang , Xiaohong Duan , Ping He

In this paper, we consider the Cox--Ingersoll--Ross (CIR) process in the regime where the process does not hit zero. We construct additive and multiplicative discrete approximation schemes for the price of asset that is modeled by the CIR…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Yuliia Mishura , Yevheniia Munchak

Diffusion models typically operate in the standard framework of generative modelling by producing continuously-valued datapoints. To this end, they rely on a progressive Gaussian smoothing of the original data distribution, which admits an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Pierre H. Richemond , Sander Dieleman , Arnaud Doucet

The likelihood functions for discretely observed nonlinear continuous-time models based on stochastic differential equations are not available except for a few cases. Various parameter estimation techniques have been proposed, each with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Predrag Pilipovic , Adeline Samson , Susanne Ditlevsen

Asymptotic error distribution for approximation of a stochastic integral with respect to continuous semimartingale by Riemann sum with general stochastic partition is studied. Effective discretization schemes of which asymptotic conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-14 Masaaki Fukasawa

In this paper, we develop a novel contraction framework for stability analysis of discrete-time nonlinear systems with parameters following stochastic processes. For general stochastic processes, we first provide a sufficient condition for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-11 Yu Kawano , Yohei Hosoe

We investigate the long-time asymptotic behavior of various entropy measures associated with the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) and squared Bessel processes. As the one-dimensional distributions of both processes follow noncentral chi-squared…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Ivan Kucha , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We propose a novel time discretization for the log-normal SABR model which is a popular stochastic volatility model that is widely used in financial practice. Our time discretization is a variant of the Euler-Maruyama scheme. We study its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-18 Dan Pirjol , Lingjiong Zhu

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

We provide a lean, non-technical exposition on the pricing of path-dependent and European-style derivatives in the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein (CRR) pricing model. The main tool used in the paper for cleaning up the reasoning is applying static…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-02 Jarno Talponen , Minna Turunen

We deal with the problem of parameter estimation in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in a partially observed framework. We aim to design a method working for both elliptic and hypoelliptic SDEs, the latters being characterized by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-13 Quentin Clairon , Adeline Samson

An implicit Euler--Maruyama method with non-uniform step-size applied to a class of stochastic partial differential equations is studied. A spectral method is used for the spatial discretization and the truncation of the Wiener process. A…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-11 Yoshihito Kazashi

We study the convergence of a generic tamed Euler-Maruyama (EM) scheme for the kinetic type stochastic differential equations (SDEs) (also known as second order SDEs) with singular coefficients in both weak and strong probabilistic senses.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Zimo Hao , Khoa Lê , Chengcheng Ling

A plethora of prediction models of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic were proposed in the past. Prediction performances not only depend on the structure and features of the model, but also on its parametrization. Official databases are often biased due…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-27 Yuri Kheifetz , Holger Kirsten , Markus Scholz

We propose a positivity preserving implicit Euler-Maruyama scheme for a jump-extended Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process where the jumps are governed by a compensated spectrally positive $\alpha$-stable process for $\alpha \in (1,2)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Libo Li , Dai Taguchi

In this paper, we consider a fixed delay Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process (CIR process) on the regime where it does not hit zero, the aim is to determine a positive preserving implicit Euler Scheme. On a time grid with constant stepsize our…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-18 Federico Flore , Giovanna Nappo

We analyse a Monte Carlo particle method for the simulation of the calibrated Heston-type local stochastic volatility (H-LSV) model. The common application of a kernel estimator for a conditional expectation in the calibration condition…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-22 Christoph Reisinger , Maria Olympia Tsianni