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Motivated by recent progress in data assimilation, we develop an algorithm to dynamically learn the parameters of a chaotic system from partial observations. Under reasonable assumptions, we rigorously establish the convergence of this…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Elizabeth Carlson , Joshua Hudson , Adam Larios , Vincent R. Martinez , Eunice Ng , Jared P. Whitehead

Recently, a general data driven numerical framework has been developed for learning and modeling of unknown dynamical systems using fully- or partially-observed data. The method utilizes deep neural networks (DNNs) to construct a model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Victor Churchill , Dongbin Xiu

The identification of the governing equations of chaotic dynamical systems from data has recently emerged as a hot topic. While the seminal work by Brunton et al. reported proof-of-concepts for idealized observation setting for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Duong Nguyen , Said Ouala , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

In the last decade it has been shown that a large class of phase oscillator models admit low dimensional descriptions for the macroscopic system dynamics in the limit of an infinite number N of oscillators. The question of whether the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-13 Per Sebastian Skardal , Juan G. Restrepo , Edward Ott

We present a deep neural network for a model-free prediction of a chaotic dynamical system from noisy observations. The proposed deep learning model aims to predict the conditional probability distribution of a state variable. The Long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-05 Kyongmin Yeo

We train an artificial neural network which distinguishes chaotic and regular dynamics of the two-dimensional Chirikov standard map. We use finite length trajectories and compare the performance with traditional numerical methods which need…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-24 Woo Seok Lee , Sergej Flach

Recently, we introduced a new test for distinguishing regular from chaotic dynamics in deterministic dynamical systems and argued that the test had certain advantages over the traditional test for chaos using the maximal Lyapunov exponent.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-12-09 Georg A. Gottwald , Ian Melbourne

A chaotic system is a highly volatile system characterized by its sensitive dependence on initial conditions and outside factors. Chaotic systems are prevalent throughout the world today: in weather patterns, disease outbreaks, and even…

Chaos is omnipresent in nature, and its understanding provides enormous social and economic benefits. However, the unpredictability of chaotic systems is a textbook concept due to their sensitivity to initial conditions, aperiodic behavior,…

Drawing on ergodic theory, we introduce a novel training method for machine learning based forecasting methods for chaotic dynamical systems. The training enforces dynamical invariants--such as the Lyapunov exponent spectrum and fractal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Jason A. Platt , Stephen G. Penny , Timothy A. Smith , Tse-Chun Chen , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

To predict the future evolution of dynamical systems purely from observations of the past data is of great potential application. In this work, a new formulated paradigm of reservoir computing is proposed for achieving model-free…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Zhuo Liu , Leisheng Jin

Data-driven reduced order modeling of chaotic dynamics can result in systems that either dissipate or diverge catastrophically. Leveraging non-linear dimensionality reduction of autoencoders and the freedom of non-linear operator inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Andrey A. Popov , Renato Zanetti

Recently, machine learning techniques, particularly deep learning, have demonstrated superior performance over traditional time series forecasting methods across various applications, including both single-variable and multi-variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Huaiyuan Rao , Yichen Zhao , Qiang Lai

In chaotic dynamical systems such as the weather, prediction errors grow faster in some situations than in others. Real-time knowledge about the error growth could enable strategies to adjust the modelling and forecasting infrastructure…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-04-26 Daniel Ayers , Jack Lau , Javier Amezcua , Alberto Carrassi , Varun Ojha

We introduce a data-driven forecasting method for high-dimensional chaotic systems using long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks. The proposed LSTM neural networks perform inference of high-dimensional dynamical systems in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-20 Pantelis R. Vlachas , Wonmin Byeon , Zhong Y. Wan , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Petros Koumoutsakos

Discovering mathematical models that characterize the observed behavior of dynamical systems remains a major challenge, especially for systems in a chaotic regime. The challenge is even greater when the physics underlying such systems is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-12-25 Mario De Florio , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , George Em Karniadakis

A new algorithm is presented for reconstructing stochastic nonlinear dynamical models from noisy time-series data. The approach is analytical; consequently, the resulting algorithm does not require an extensive global search for the model…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. G. Luchinsky , D. A. Timucin , A. Bandrivskyy

This chapter offers a principled approach to the prediction of chaotic systems from data. First, we introduce some concepts from dynamical systems' theory and chaos theory. Second, we introduce machine learning approaches for…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-14 Luca Magri , Andrea Nóvoa , Elise Özalp

Scientific analysis often relies on the ability to make accurate predictions of a system's dynamics. Mechanistic models, parameterized by a number of unknown parameters, are often used for this purpose. Accurate estimation of the model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Franz Hamilton , Alun Lloyd , Kevin Flores

Many complex phenomena, from weather systems to heartbeat rhythm patterns, are effectively modeled as low-dimensional dynamical systems. Such systems may behave chaotically under certain conditions, and so the ability to detect chaos based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Hagai Rappeport , Irit Levin Reisman , Naftali Tishby , Nathalie Q. Balaban
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