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This paper presents a structure-preserving Bayesian approach for learning nonseparable Hamiltonian systems using stochastic dynamic models allowing for statistically-dependent, vector-valued additive and multiplicative measurement noise.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-23 Nicholas Galioto , Harsh Sharma , Boris Kramer , Alex Arkady Gorodetsky

We introduce a computationally efficient and accurate reduced order modelling approach for the optimization of spatiotemporally chaotic systems. The proposed method combines quantized local reduced order modelling with adjoint-based…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-10 Defne E. Ozan , Antonio Colanera , Luca Magri

Many real-world dynamics exhibit chaos, a phenomenon in which neighboring trajectories in the state space of a dynamical system diverge exponentially over time. A common measure used for quantifying the degree of this divergence is the…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Bala Krishnamoorthy , Elizabeth Thompson

By incorporating physical consistency as inductive bias, deep neural networks display increased generalization capabilities and data efficiency in learning nonlinear dynamic models. However, the complexity of these models generally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Katharina Friedl , Noémie Jaquier , Jens Lundell , Tamim Asfour , Danica Kragic

The least-squares estimator has achieved considerable success in learning linear dynamical systems from a single trajectory of length $T$. While it attains an optimal error of $\mathcal{O}(1/\sqrt{T})$ under independent zero-mean noise, it…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Jihun Kim , Javad Lavaei

We propose a Machine Learning (ML) non-Markovian closure modeling framework for accurate predictions of statistical responses of turbulent dynamical systems subjected to external forcings. One of the difficulties in this statistical closure…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-10-12 Di Qi , John Harlim

On the basis of a local-projective (LP) approach we develop a method of noise reduction in time series that makes use of nonlinear constraints appearing due to the deterministic character of the underlying dynamical system. The Delaunay…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Krzysztof Urbanowicz , Janusz A. Holyst , Thomas Stemler , Hartmut Benner

We consider the problem of designing almost optimal predictors for dynamical systems from a finite sequence of noisy observations and incomplete knowledge of the dynamics and the noise. We first discuss the properties of the optimal (Bayes)…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-07-30 Marian Anghel , Ingo Steinwart

We propose a principled method for projecting an arbitrary square matrix to the non-convex set of asymptotically stable matrices. Leveraging ideas from large deviations theory, we show that this projection is optimal in an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Wouter Jongeneel , Tobias Sutter , Daniel Kuhn

We study the effect that the injection of a common source of noise has on the trajectories of chaotic systems, addressing some contradictory results present in the literature. We present particular examples of 1-d maps and the Lorenz…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 Raul Toral , Claudio R. Mirasso , Emilio Hernandez-Garcia , Oreste Piro

This study is focused on the qualitative and quantitative characterization of chaotic systems with the use of symbolic description. We consider two famous systems: Lorenz and R\"ossler models with their iconic attractors, and demonstrate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-19 James Scully , Alexander Neiman , Andrey Shilnikov

In this article, we investigate the implications of the unsupervised learning rule known as Input-Correlations (ICO) learning in the nonlinear dynamics of two linearly coupled PT-symmetric Li\'enard oscillators. The fixed points of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-06-21 J. P. Deka , A. Govindarajan , A. K. Sarma

A learning-based safety filter is developed for discrete-time linear time-invariant systems with unknown models subject to Gaussian noises with unknown covariance. Safety is characterized using polytopic constraints on the states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Farhad Farokhi , Alex S. Leong , Mohammad Zamani , Iman Shames

Instrumental variables (eliminate the bias that afflicts least-squares identification of dynamical systems through noisy data, yet traditionally relies on external instruments that are seldom available for nonlinear time series data. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

This paper addresses to Sliding Mode Learning Control (SMLC) of uncertain nonlinear systems with Lyapunov stability analysis. In the control scheme, a conventional control term is used to provide the system stability in compact space while…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-23 Erkan Kayacan

The high-dimensional data setting, in which p >> n, is a challenging statistical paradigm that appears in many real-world problems. In this setting, learning a compact, low-dimensional representation of the data can substantially help…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-07 Micol Marchetti-Bowick , Benjamin J. Lengerich , Ankur P. Parikh , Eric P. Xing

The problem of learning structural equation models (SEMs) from data is a fundamental problem in causal inference. We develop a new algorithm --- which is computationally and statistically efficient and works in the high-dimensional regime…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-30 Asish Ghoshal , Jean Honorio

In the current work we demonstrate the principal possibility of prediction of the response of the largest Lyapunov exponent of a chaotic dynamical system to a small constant forcing perturbation via a linearized relation, which is computed…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Rafail V. Abramov

We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

We prove that the ordinary least-squares (OLS) estimator attains nearly minimax optimal performance for the identification of linear dynamical systems from a single observed trajectory. Our upper bound relies on a generalization of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-25 Max Simchowitz , Horia Mania , Stephen Tu , Michael I. Jordan , Benjamin Recht
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