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Causal mediation analysis has become an important and increasingly used framework for evaluating candidate immune response biomarkers in vaccine research. A controlled effects approach has been proposed to estimate controlled risk curves…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Qijia He , Bo Zhang

RNA-based vaccination has been broadly applied in the COVID pandemic. A characteristic of the immunization was fast waning immunity. However, the time scale of this process varied considerable for virus subtypes and among individuals.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-10 Juan Magalang , Tyll Krueger , Joerg Galle

Safe and effective preventive vaccines have the potential to help stem the HIV epidemic. The efficacy of such vaccines is typically measured in randomized, double-blind phase IIb/III trials and described as a reduction in newly acquired HIV…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Yutong Jin , Alex Luedtke , Zoe Moodie , Holly Janes , David Benkeser

In immunological studies, the characterization of small, functionally distinct cell subsets from blood and tissue is crucial to decipher system level biological changes. An increasing number of studies rely on assays that provide…

In vaccine development, the temporal profiles of relative abundance of subtypes of immune cells (T-cells) is key to understanding vaccine efficacy. Complex and expensive experimental studies generate very sparse time series data on this…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-29 Fernando V. Bonassi , Cliburn Chan , Mike West

Immune correlates of protection (CoPs) are immunologic biomarkers accepted as a surrogate for an infectious disease clinical endpoint and thus can be used for traditional or provisional vaccine approval. To study CoPs in randomized,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Peter B. Gilbert , Youyi Fong , Marco Carone

In vaccine studies for infectious diseases such as human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), the frequency and type of contacts between study participants and infectious sources are among the most informative risk factors, but are often not…

Applications · Statistics 2012-08-27 Yang Yang , Peter Gilbert , Ira M. Longini, , M. Elizabeth Halloran

Understanding vaccine effects on post-infection outcomes is critical for evaluating the full value proposition of a vaccine. However, defining appropriate causal effects on such outcomes is challenging because infection is affected by…

Adjustment for prognostic baseline variables can reduce bias due to covariate imbalance and increase efficiency in randomized trials. While the use of covariate adjustment in late-phase trials is justified by favorable large-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Ethan Ashby , Bo Zhang , Genevieve G Fouda , Youyi Fong , Holly Janes

We study the performance of shape-constrained methods for evaluating immune response profiles from early-phase vaccine trials. The motivating problem for this work involves quantifying and comparing the IgG binding immune responses to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Nilanjana Laha , Zoe Moodie , Ying Huang , Alex Luedtke

In order to meet regulatory approval, pharmaceutical companies often must demonstrate that new vaccines reduce the total risk of a post-infection outcome like transmission, symptomatic disease, severe illness, or death in randomized,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-23 Rob Trangucci , Yang Chen , Jon Zelner

Two observational methods are currently being used to monitor post-deployment vaccine effectiveness: the obvious crude method comparing rate testing positive per head of vaccinated population with that rate per head of unvaccinated…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Roger F. Sewell

While the HVTN 505 trial showed no overall efficacy of the tested vaccine to prevent HIV infection over placebo, previous studies, biological theories, and the finding that immune response markers strongly correlated with infection in…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-12 Peter B. Gilbert , Bryan S. Blette , Bryan E. Shepherd , Michael G. Hudgens

Refined vaccine regimens containing variant-matched inserts are often authorized based on historical phase 3 efficacy trials together with immunobridging studies. Phase 3 trials are essential for establishing immune biomarkers that reliably…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Pan Zhao , Peter B. Gilbert , Oliver Dukes , Bo Zhang

The interpretation of vaccine efficacy estimands is subtle, even in randomized trials designed to quantify immunological effects of vaccination. In this article, we introduce terminology to distinguish between different vaccine efficacy…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-15 Mats Stensrud , Daniel Nevo , Uri Obolski

Online health communications often provide biased interpretations of evidence and have unreliable links to the source research. We tested the feasibility of a tool for matching webpages to their source evidence. From 207,538 eligible…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-08-20 Eliza Harrison , Paige Martin , Didi Surian , Adam G. Dunn

In vaccine studies, investigators are often interested in studying effect modifiers of clinical treatment efficacy by biomarker-based principal strata, which is useful for selecting biomarker study endpoints for evaluating treatments in new…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-30 Yingying Zhuang , Ying Huang , Peter B. Gilbert

Purpose: MRI cell tracking can be used to monitor immune cells involved in the immunotherapy response, providing insight into the mechanism of action, temporal progression of tumour growth and individual potency of therapies. To evaluate…

Understanding the dynamics of antibody levels is crucial for characterizing the time-dependent response to immune events: either infections or vaccinations. The sequence and timing of these events significantly influence antibody level…

Immune events such as infection, vaccination, and a combination of the two result in distinct time-dependent antibody responses in affected individuals. These responses and event prevalences combine non-trivially to govern antibody levels…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-16 Prajakta Bedekar , Rayanne A. Luke , Anthony J. Kearsley
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