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Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

Operator learning has been increasingly adopted in scientific and engineering applications, many of which require calibrated uncertainty quantification. Since the output of operator learning is a continuous function, quantifying uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Ziqi Ma , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli , Anima Anandkumar

A Bayesian analytics framework that precisely quantifies uncertainty offers a significant advance for financial risk management. We develop an integrated approach that consistently enhances the handling of risk in market volatility…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-19 Sharif Al Mamun , Rakib Hossain , Md. Jobayer Rahman , Malay Kumar Devnath , Farhana Afroz , Lisan Al Amin

We introduce an unsupervised formulation to estimate heteroscedastic uncertainty in retrieval systems. We propose an extension to triplet loss that models data uncertainty for each input. Besides improving performance, our formulation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-08 Ahmed Taha , Yi-Ting Chen , Teruhisa Misu , Abhinav Shrivastava , Larry Davis

Increasingly high-stakes decisions are made using neural networks in order to make predictions. Specifically, meteorologists and hedge funds apply these techniques to time series data. When it comes to prediction, there are certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Levente Foldesi , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

Runtime verification or runtime monitoring equips safety-critical cyber-physical systems to augment design assurance measures and ensure operational safety and security. Cyber-physical systems have interaction failures, attack surfaces, and…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Smitha Gautham , Georgios Bakirtzis , Alexander Will , Athira V. Jayakumar , Carl R. Elks

Complex dynamical systems rely on the correct deployment and operation of numerous components, with state-of-the-art methods relying on learning-enabled components in various stages of modeling, sensing, and control at both offline and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-22 Weiming Xiang

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Risk assessment is a central element for the development and validation of Autonomous Vehicles (AV). It comprises a combination of occurrence probability and severity of future critical events. Time Headway (TH) as well as Time-To-Contact…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Tim Puphal , Malte Probst , Julian Eggert

Statistical models are inherently uncertain. Quantifying or at least upper-bounding their uncertainties is vital for safety-critical systems such as autonomous vehicles. While standard neural networks do not report this information, several…

Explicit quantification of uncertainty in engineering simulations is being increasingly used to inform robust and reliable design practices. In the aerospace industry, computationally-feasible analyses for design optimization purposes often…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-13 Jayant Mukhopadhaya , Brian T. Whitehead , John F. Quindlen , Juan J. Alonso

Accurate parking availability prediction is critical for intelligent transportation systems, but real-world deployments often face data sparsity, noise, and unpredictable changes. Addressing these challenges requires models that are not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Alireza Nezhadettehad , Arkady Zaslavsky , Abdur Rakib , Seng W. Loke

As industrial autonomous ground vehicles are increasingly deployed in safety-critical environments, ensuring their safe operation under diverse conditions is paramount. This paper presents a novel approach for their safety verification…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Nawshin Mannan Proma , Gricel Vázquez , Sepeedeh Shahbeigi , Arjun Badyal , Victoria Hodge

Although an ever-growing number of applications employ deep learning based systems for prediction, decision-making, or state estimation, almost no certification processes have been established that would allow such systems to be deployed in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Romeo Valentin

The advent of autonomous driving technology has accentuated the need for comprehensive hazard analysis and risk assessment (HARA) to ensure the safety and reliability of vehicular systems. Traditional HARA processes, while meticulous, are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-04 Alireza Abbaspour , Aliasghar Arab , Yashar Mousavi

Uncertainty quantification is a key pillar of trustworthy machine learning. It enables safe reactions under unsafe inputs, like predicting only when the machine learning model detects sufficient evidence, discarding anomalous data, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Michael Kirchhof

Uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAVs) are increasingly used for exploration-driven monitoring in hazardous environments such as disaster zones, contaminated sites, wildfire areas, and damaged infrastructure, where limited flight endurance must be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jimin Choi , Grant Stagg , Cameron K. Peterson , Max Z. Li

Uncertainty quantification is at the core of the reliability and robustness of machine learning. In this paper, we provide a theoretical framework to dissect the uncertainty, especially the \textit{epistemic} component, in deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

In context-specific applications such as robotics, telecommunications, and healthcare, artificial intelligence systems often face the challenge of limited training data. This scarcity introduces epistemic uncertainty, i.e., reducible…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Osvaldo Simeone , Yaniv Romano

Ensuring safe operation of safety-critical complex systems interacting with their environment poses significant challenges, particularly when the system's world model relies on machine learning algorithms to process the perception input. A…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Roman Gansch , Lina Putze , Tjark Koopmann , Jan Reich , Christian Neurohr