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This manuscript derives locally weighted ensemble Kalman methods from the point of view of ensemble-based function approximation. This is done by using pointwise evaluations to build up a local linear or quadratic approximation of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Philipp Wacker

The Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) method is widely used for solving inverse problems, leveraging ensemble-based techniques to iteratively refine parameter estimates. Despite its versatility, the accuracy of EKI is constrained by the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Ruben Harris , Claudia Schillings

The performance of ensemble-based data assimilation techniques that estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations depends crucially on the prescribed uncertainty of the model dynamics and of the observations. These are…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-24 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Magdalena Lucini , Pierre Tandeo

Many applications, such as intermittent data assimilation, lead to a recursive application of Bayesian inference within a Monte Carlo context. Popular data assimilation algorithms include sequential Monte Carlo methods and ensemble Kalman…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-01-15 Sebastian Reich

In inverse problems, the goal is to estimate unknown model parameters from noisy observational data. Traditionally, inverse problems are solved under the assumption of a fixed forward operator describing the observation model. In this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-26 Simon Weissmann , Neil K. Chada , Xin T. Tong

This paper presents a detailed theoretical analysis of the three stochastic approximation proximal gradient algorithms proposed in our companion paper [49] to set regularization parameters by marginal maximum likelihood estimation. We prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Ana F. Vidal , Marcelo Pereyra

The Ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI) method is a method for the estimation of unknown parameters in the context of (Bayesian) inverse problems. The method approximates the underlying measure by an ensemble of particles and iteratively…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-02 Dirk Blömker , Claudia Schillings , Philipp Wacker , Simon Weissmann

In the process of reproducing the state dynamics of parameter dependent distributed systems, data from physical measurements can be incorporated into the mathematical model to reduce the parameter uncertainty and, consequently, improve the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-06 Francesco A. B. Silva , Cecilia Pagliantini , Martin Grepl , Karen Veroy

The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) was introduced by Evensen in 1994 [10] as a novel method for data assimilation: state estimation for noisily observed time-dependent problems. Since that time it has had enormous impact in many application…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-08 Marco A. Iglesias , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart

The standard probabilistic perspective on machine learning gives rise to empirical risk-minimization tasks that are frequently solved by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and variants thereof. We present a formulation of these tasks as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Nikola B. Kovachki , Andrew M. Stuart

The ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI), a recently introduced optimisation method for solving inverse problems, is widely employed for the efficient and derivative-free estimation of unknown parameters. Specifically in cases involving…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-22 Matei Hanu , Simon Weissmann

Bayesian uncertainty quantification (UQ) is of interest to industry and academia as it provides a framework for quantifying and reducing the uncertainty in computational models by incorporating available data. For systems with very high…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 Xinlei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Thomas Gomez , Olivier Coutier-Delgosha

Bayesian experimental design (BED) for complex physical systems is often limited by the nested inference required to estimate the expected information gain (EIG) or its gradients. Each outer sample induces a different posterior, creating a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Huchen Yang , Xinghao Dong , Jinlong Wu

We consider the problem of jointly testing multiple hypotheses and estimating a random parameter of the underlying distribution. This problem is investigated in a sequential setup under mild assumptions on the underlying random process. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-07 Dominik Reinhard , Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

We propose an affine-mapping based variational Ensemble Kalman filter for sequential Bayesian filtering problems with generic observation models. Specifically, the proposed method is formulated as to construct an affine mapping from the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-06 Linjie Wen , Jinglai Li

This paper considers properties of an optimization based sampler for targeting the posterior distribution when the likelihood is intractable and auxiliary statistics are used to summarize information in the data. Our reverse sampler…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-02 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Serena Ng

We are interested in ensemble methods to solve multi-objective optimization problems. An ensemble Kalman method is proposed to solve a formulation of the nonlinear problem using a weighted function approach. An analysis of the mean field…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-21 Michael Herty , Elisa Iacomini

The Bayesian inversion method demonstrates significant potential for solving inverse problems, enabling both point estimation and uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, Bayesian maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation may become unstable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Ruibiao Song , Liying Zhang

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) can be viewed as an analytic approximation of an intractable likelihood coupled with an elementary simulation step. Such a view, combined with a suitable instrumental prior distribution permits…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-04 F. J. Rubio , Adam M. Johansen

Recent developments in generative modeling have utilized score-based methods coupled with stochastic differential equations to sample from complex probability distributions. However, these and other performant sampling methods generally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Bryan Riel , Tobias Bischoff