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The aim of this work is to build financial crisis indicators based on spectral properties of the dynamics of market data. After choosing an optimal size for a rolling window, the historical market data in this window is seen every trading…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-11 Antoine Kornprobst , Raphael Douady

Detecting changes in asset co-movements is of much importance to financial practitioners, with numerous risk management benefits arising from the timely detection of breakdowns in historical correlations. In this article, we propose a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Covariance matrix estimation arises in multivariate problems including multivariate normal sampling models and regression models where random effects are jointly modeled, e.g. random-intercept, random-slope models. A Bayesian analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Ignacio Alvarez , Jarad Niemi , Matt Simpson

In this study, we consider the realm of covariance matrices in machine learning, particularly focusing on computing Fr\'echet means on the manifold of symmetric positive definite matrices, commonly referred to as Karcher or geometric means.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-06 Florent Bouchard , Ammar Mian , Malik Tiomoko , Guillaume Ginolhac , Frédéric Pascal

Determining the number of common factors is an important and practical topic in high dimensional factor models. The existing literatures are mainly based on the eigenvalues of the covariance matrix. Due to the incomparability of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-25 Jianqing Fan , Jianhua Guo , Shurong Zheng

We consider reduced-rank modeling of the white noise covariance matrix in a large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We first propose the reduced-rank covariance estimator under the setting where independent observations are…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-09 Richard A. Davis , Pengfei Zang , Tian Zheng

In cryo-electron microscopy (cryo-EM), a microscope generates a top view of a sample of randomly-oriented copies of a molecule. The problem of single particle reconstruction (SPR) from cryo-EM is to use the resulting set of noisy 2D…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Gene Katsevich , Alexander Katsevich , Amit Singer

In this paper, we propose a scalable Bayesian method for sparse covariance matrix estimation by incorporating a continuous shrinkage prior with a screening procedure. In the first step of the procedure, the off-diagonal elements with small…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-22 Kyoungjae Lee , Seongil Jo , Kyeongwon Lee , Jaeyong Lee

The proprietary nature of Hedge Fund investing means that it is common practise for managers to release minimal information about their returns. The construction of a Fund of Hedge Funds portfolio requires a correlation matrix which often…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-28 Thomas Conlon , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

We introduce a simple portfolio optimization strategy using ESG data with the Black-Litterman allocation framework. ESG scores are used as a bias for Stein shrinkage estimation of equilibrium risk premiums used in assigning Black-Litterman…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-01 Aviv Alpern , Svetlozar Rachev

This paper considers the problem of estimating a high-dimensional (HD) covariance matrix when the sample size is smaller, or not much larger, than the dimensionality of the data, which could potentially be very large. We develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-22 Esa Ollila , Elias Raninen

Estimation of high dimensional covariance matrices is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we propose a dynamic structure and develop an estimation procedure for high dimensional covariance matrices. Asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-05 Shaojun Guo , John Box , Wenyang Zhang

This paper introduces a consistent estimator and rate of convergence for the precision matrix of asset returns in large portfolios using a non-linear factor model within the deep learning framework. Our estimator remains valid even in low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-30 Mehmet Caner , Maurizio Daniele

This paper tackles the problem of robust covariance matrix estimation when the data is incomplete. Classical statistical estimation methodologies are usually built upon the Gaussian assumption, whereas existing robust estimation ones assume…

The entropic value-at-risk (EVaR) is a new coherent risk measure, which is an upper bound for both the value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). As important properties, the EVaR is strongly monotone over its domain and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-17 Amir Ahmadi-Javid , Malihe Fallah-Tafti

We propose a flexible dual functional factor model for modelling high-dimensional functional time series. In this model, a high-dimensional fully functional factor parametrisation is imposed on the observed functional processes, whereas a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-15 Chenlei Leng , Degui Li , Hanlin Shang , Yingcun Xia

We propose a data-driven way to reduce the noise of covariance matrices of nonstationary systems. In the case of stationary systems, asymptotic approaches were proved to converge to the optimal solutions. Such methods produce eigenvalues…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-10 Christian Bongiorno , Damien Challet , Grégoire Loeper

We revisit the relative perturbation theory for invariant subspaces of positive definite matrix pairs. As a prototype model problem for our results we consider parameter dependent families of eigenvalue problems. We show that new estimates…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-11-22 Luka Grubišić , Ninoslav Truhar , Krešimir Veselić

We consider an investor who seeks to maximize her expected utility derived from her terminal wealth relative to the maximum performance achieved over a fixed time horizon, and under a portfolio drawdown constraint, in a market with local…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-28 Ankush Agarwal , Ronnie Sircar

A new semi-parametric Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation and forecasting framework is proposed. The proposed approach is based on a two-step estimation procedure. The first step involves the estimation of Value-at-Risk (VaR) at different…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-16 Giuseppe Storti , Chao Wang