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We propose a Bayesian methodology for estimating spiked covariance matrices with jointly sparse structure in high dimensions. The spiked covariance matrix is reparametrized in terms of the latent factor model, where the loading matrix is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu , Carey E. Priebe , Joshua Cape

Large-scale association analysis between multivariate responses and predictors is of great practical importance, as exemplified by modern business applications including social media marketing and crisis management. Despite the rapid…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-18 Zemin Zheng , Yang Li , Jie Wu , Yuchen Wang

We offer a method to estimate a covariance matrix in the special case that \textit{both} the covariance matrix and the precision matrix are sparse --- a constraint we call double sparsity. The estimation method is maximum likelihood,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-17 Shev Macnamara , Erik Schlögl , Zdravko I. Botev

Using random matrix technique we determine an exact relation between the eigenvalue spectrum of the covariance matrix and of its estimator. This relation can be used in practice to compute eigenvalue invariants of the covariance…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-01-15 Z. Burda , A. Goerlich , A. Jarosz , J. Jurkiewicz

We estimate the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio in the high-dimensional case using results from random matrix theory. This approach leads to a shrinkage-type estimator which is distribution-free and it is optimal in the sense of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

In this thesis, a Bayes linear methodology for the adjustment of covariance matrices is presented and discussed. A geometric framework for quantifying uncertainties about covariance matrices is set up, and an inner-product for spaces of…

bayes-an · Physics 2016-08-31 Darren J Wilkinson

Portfolio construction traditionally relies on separately estimating expected returns and covariance matrices using historical statistics, often leading to suboptimal allocation under time-varying market conditions. This paper proposes a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Keonvin Park

A popular regularized (shrinkage) covariance estimator is the shrinkage sample covariance matrix (SCM) which shares the same set of eigenvectors as the SCM but shrinks its eigenvalues toward its grand mean. In this paper, a more general…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-13 Esa Ollila , Daniel P. Palomar , Frederic Pascal

This work addresses the issue of large covariance matrix estimation in high-dimensional statistical analysis. Recently, improved iterative algorithms with positive-definite guarantee have been developed. However, these algorithms cannot be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-29 Fei Wen , Yuan Yang , Peilin Liu , Robert C. Qiu

Income and risk coexist, yet investors are often so focused on chasing high returns that they overlook the potential risks that can lead to high losses. Therefore, risk forecasting and risk control is the cornerstone of investment. To…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-14 Xinyuan Song

In the realm of high-dimensional data analysis, the estimation of covariance matrices is a fundamental task, and this holds true for interval-valued data as well. However, there is no unified definition for the covariance matrix of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Wan Tian , Wenhao Cui , Rui Zhang , Bingyi Jing , Yang Liu , Yijie Peng

In unconstrained maximum a posteriori (MAP) and maximum likelihood estimation, the inverse of minus the merit-function Hessian matrix is an approximation of the estimate covariance matrix. In the Bayesian context of MAP estimation, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

Covariance estimation is a central problem in statistics. An important issue is that there are rarely enough samples $n$ to accurately estimate the $p (p+1) / 2$ coefficients in dimension $p$. Parsimonious covariance models are therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Tom Szwagier , Guillaume Olikier , Xavier Pennec

A separable covariance model for a random matrix provides a parsimonious description of the covariances among the rows and among the columns of the matrix, and permits likelihood-based inference with a very small sample size. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 Peter Hoff , Andrew McCormack , Anru R. Zhang

In this paper, we consider the interference rejection combining (IRC) receiver, which improves the cell-edge user throughput via suppressing inter-cell interference and requires estimating the covariance matrix including the inter-cell…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Jing Qian , Juening Jin , Hao Wang

It has been proposed that complex populations, such as those that arise in genomics studies, may exhibit dependencies among observations as well as among variables. This gives rise to the challenging problem of analyzing unreplicated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-08 Michael Hornstein , Roger Fan , Kerby Shedden , Shuheng Zhou

We give complete algorithms and source code for constructing statistical risk models, including methods for fixing the number of risk factors. One such method is based on eRank (effective rank) and yields results similar to (and further…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-14 Zura Kakushadze , Willie Yu

We propose to estimate the weight matrix used for forecast reconciliation as parameters in a general linear model in order to quantify its uncertainty. This implies that forecast reconciliation can be formulated as an orthogonal projection…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-12 Jan Kloppenborg Møller , Peter Nystrup , Poul G. Hjorth , Henrik Madsen

We propose a method for estimating a covariance matrix that can be represented as a sum of a low-rank matrix and a diagonal matrix. The proposed method compresses high-dimensional data, computes the sample covariance in the compressed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-04 Gautam Sabnis , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

Shrinkage can effectively improve the condition number and accuracy of covariance matrix estimation, especially for low-sample-support applications with the number of training samples smaller than the dimensionality. This paper investigates…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-22 Jun Tong , Rui Hu , Jiangtao Xi , Zhitao Xiao , Qinghua Guo , Yanguang Yu