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High-precision scientific simulation faces a long-standing trade-off between computational efficiency and physical fidelity. To address this challenge, we propose NeuralOGCM, an ocean modeling framework that fuses differentiable programming…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Hao Wu , Yuan Gao , Fan Xu , Fan Zhang , Guangliang Liu , Yuxuan Liang , Xiaomeng Huang

Geodetic time series -- such as Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) positions, satellite altimetry-derived sea surface height (SSH), and tide gauge (TG) records -- is essential for monitoring surface deformation and sea level change.…

The unusually warm sea surface temperature events known as marine heatwaves (MHWs) have a profound impact on marine ecosystems. Accurate prediction of extreme MHWs has significant scientific and financial worth. However, existing methods…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-23 Ruiqi Shu , Hao Wu , Yuan Gao , Fanghua Xu , Ruijian Gou , Xiaomeng Huang

Accurate ocean dynamics modeling is crucial for enhancing understanding of ocean circulation, predicting climate variability, and tackling challenges posed by climate change. Despite improvements in traditional numerical models, predicting…

Precipitation nowcasting predicts future radar sequences based on current observations, which is a highly challenging task driven by the inherent complexity of the Earth system. Accurate nowcasting is of utmost importance for addressing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yifang Yin , Shengkai Chen , Yiyao Li , Lu Wang , Ruibing Jin , Wei Cui , Shili Xiang

Among the most relevant processes in the Earth system for human habitability are quasi-periodic, ocean-driven multi-year events whose dynamics are currently incompletely characterized by physical models, and hence poorly predictable. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-09 Matthew Bonas , Christopher K. Wikle , Stefano Castruccio

Precipitation nowcasting is of great importance for weather forecast users, for activities ranging from outdoor activities and sports competitions to airport traffic management. In contrast to long-term precipitation forecasts which are…

Weather forecasts are fundamentally uncertain, so predicting the range of probable weather scenarios is crucial for important decisions, from warning the public about hazardous weather, to planning renewable energy use. Here, we introduce…

Recent deep learning methods for vessel trajectory prediction are able to learn complex maritime patterns from historical Automatic Identification System (AIS) data and accurately predict sequences of future vessel positions with a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Samuele Capobianco , Nicola Forti , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Paolo Braca , Peter Willett

We present an end-to-end deep learning framework for short-term forecasting of global sea surface dynamics based on sparse satellite altimetry data. Building on two state-of-the-art architectures: U-Net and 4DVarNet, originally developed…

We propose a new deep learning model, WaveCastNet, to forecast high-dimensional wavefields. WaveCastNet integrates a convolutional long expressive memory architecture into a sequence-to-sequence forecasting framework, enabling it to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Dongwei Lyu , Rie Nakata , Pu Ren , Michael W. Mahoney , Arben Pitarka , Nori Nakata , N. Benjamin Erichson

A 'nowcast' is a type of weather forecast which makes predictions in the very short term, typically less than two hours - a period in which traditional numerical weather prediction can be limited. This type of weather prediction has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-12 Rachel Prudden , Samantha Adams , Dmitry Kangin , Niall Robinson , Suman Ravuri , Shakir Mohamed , Alberto Arribas

Unsustainable exploitation of the oceans exacerbated by global warming is threatening coastal communities worldwide. Accurate and timely monitoring of maritime activity is an essential step to effective governance and to inform future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Henry Herzog , Joshua Hansen , Yawen Zhang , Patrick Beukema

Given real-time sensor data streams obtained from machines, how can we continuously predict when a machine failure will occur? This work aims to continuously forecast the timing of future events by analyzing multi-sensor data streams. A key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Kota Nakamura , Koki Kawabata , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

While data-driven approaches demonstrate great potential in atmospheric modeling and weather forecasting, ocean modeling poses distinct challenges due to complex bathymetry, land, vertical structure, and flow non-linearity. This study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Michael Gray , Tianning Wu , Anna B. Lowe , Ruoying He

The supply and demand of energy is influenced by meteorological conditions. The relevance of accurate weather forecasts increases as the demand for renewable energy sources increases. The energy providers and policy makers require weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Jesús García Fernández , Ismail Alaoui Abdellaoui , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Accurate nowcasting of convective clouds from satellite imagery is essential for mitigating the impacts of meteorological disasters, especially in developing countries and remote regions with limited ground-based observations. Recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Haoming Chen , Xiaohui Zhong , Qiang Zhai , Xiaomeng Li , Ying Wa Chan , Pak Wai Chan , Yuanyuan Huang , Hao Li , Xiaoming Shi

Timely, accurate, and reliable information is essential for decision-makers, emergency managers, and infrastructure operators during flood events. This study demonstrates a proposed machine learning model, MaxFloodCast, trained on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Cheng-Chun Lee , Lipai Huang , Federico Antolini , Matthew Garcia , Andrew Juanb , Samuel D. Brody , Ali Mostafavi

The forecast of tropical cyclone trajectories is crucial for the protection of people and property. Although forecast dynamical models can provide high-precision short-term forecasts, they are computationally demanding, and current…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-13 Sophie Giffard-Roisin , Mo Yang , Guillaume Charpiat , Christina Kumler-Bonfanti , Balázs Kégl , Claire Monteleoni

Accurate marine wind forecasts are essential for safe navigation, ship routing, and energy operations, yet they remain challenging because observations over the ocean are sparse, heterogeneous, and temporally variable. We reformulate wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Matteo Peduto , Qidong Yang , Jonathan Giezendanner , Devis Tuia , Sherrie Wang