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Calibration is crucial in deep learning applications, especially in fields like healthcare and autonomous driving, where accurate confidence estimates are vital for decision-making. However, deep neural networks often suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Linwei Tao , Haolan Guo , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

Although some information-theoretic measures of uncertainty or granularity have been proposed in rough set theory, these measures are only dependent on the underlying partition and the cardinality of the universe, independent of the lower…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-02-02 Ping Zhu , Qiaoyan Wen

Regression tasks, notably in safety-critical domains, require proper uncertainty quantification, yet the literature remains largely classification-focused. In this light, we introduce a family of measures for total, aleatoric, and epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Christopher Bülte , Yusuf Sale , Gitta Kutyniok , Eyke Hüllermeier

Many interpretable AI approaches have been proposed to provide plausible explanations for a model's decision-making. However, configuring an explainable model that effectively communicates among computational modules has received less…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Jinyung Hong , Keun Hee Park , Theodore P. Pavlic

Concept-based models are an emerging paradigm in deep learning that constrains the inference process to operate through human-interpretable variables, facilitating explainability and human interaction. However, these architectures, on par…

Maximum entropy principle (MEP) offers an effective and unbiased approach to inferring unknown probability distributions when faced with incomplete information, while neural networks provide the flexibility to learn complex distributions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-04 Wuyue Yang , Liangrong Peng , Guojie Li , Liu Hong

In this study, we explore the inherent trade-off between accuracy and robustness in neural networks, drawing an analogy to the uncertainty principle in quantum mechanics. We propose that neural networks are subject to an uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Jun-Jie Zhang , Dong-Xiao Zhang , Jian-Nan Chen , Long-Gang Pang , Deyu Meng

Recently, the community has achieved substantial progress on many commonsense reasoning benchmarks. However, it is still unclear what is learned from the training process: the knowledge, inference capability, or both? We argue that due to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Hongming Zhang , Yintong Huo , Yanai Elazar , Yangqiu Song , Yoav Goldberg , Dan Roth

Existing computational models of expertise primarily focus on observable behaviour or decision outcomes, failing to capture the internal cognitive structures that generate expert reasoning. In this work, we introduce the Expert Identity…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Annie Yuan

Effective decision making requires understanding the uncertainty inherent in a prediction. In regression, this uncertainty can be estimated by a variety of methods; however, many of these methods are laborious to tune, generate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-02 Tianhui Zhou , Yitong Li , Yuan Wu , David Carlson

In high-stakes risk prediction, quantifying uncertainty through interval-valued predictions is essential for reliable decision-making. However, standard evaluation tools like the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Yuqi Li , Matthew M. Engelhard

Humans have the ability to report the contents of their subjective experience - we can say to each other, "I am aware of X". The decision processes that support these reports about mental contents remain poorly understood. In this article I…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-04 Stephen M. Fleming

Reasoning, a crucial aspect of NLP research, has not been adequately addressed by prevailing models including Large Language Model. Conversation reasoning, as a critical component of it, remains largely unexplored due to the absence of a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Hang Chen , Bingyu Liao , Jing Luo , Wenjing Zhu , Xinyu Yang

Exploiting large language models (LLMs) to tackle reasoning has garnered growing attention. It still remains highly challenging to achieve satisfactory results in complex logical problems, characterized by plenty of premises within the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Junjie Liu , Shaotian Yan , Chen Shen , Zhengdong Xiao , Liang Xie , Wenxiao Wang , Jieping Ye

Counterfactual explanations (CFXs) provide human-understandable justifications for model predictions, enabling actionable recourse and enhancing interpretability. To be reliable, CFXs must avoid regions of high predictive uncertainty, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Aman Bilkhoo , Mehran Hosseini , Milad Kazemi , Nicola Paoletti

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown remarkable performance across a wide range of downstream tasks. However, it is challenging for users to discern whether the responses of LLM are generated with certainty or are fabricated to meet user…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Hsiu-Yuan Huang , Zichen Wu , Yutong Yang , Junzhao Zhang , Yunfang Wu

Machine unlearning aims to remove the influence of specific data from trained language models. In real-world deployments, unlearning requests often arrive sequentially, which challenges existing fine-tuning-based methods: fine-tuning each…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Ruihao Pan , Suhang Wang

Catastrophic forgetting remains a central challenge in continual learning (CL), yet lacks a unified information-theoretic explanation for why some architectures forget catastrophically while others do not. We introduce \emph{Context Channel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Ran Cheng

Concept-based explanation methods, such as concept bottleneck models (CBMs), aim to improve the interpretability of machine learning models by linking their decisions to human-understandable concepts, under the critical assumption that such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Halil Ibrahim Aysel , Xiaohao Cai , Adam Prugel-Bennett

Trustworthy decision making in networked, dynamic environments calls for innovative uncertainty quantification substrates in predictive models for graph time series. Existing conformal prediction (CP) methods have been applied separately to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sonakshi Dua , Gonzalo Mateos , Sundeep Prabhakar Chepuri
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