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This paper studies the estimation of characteristic-based quantile factor models where the factor loadings are unknown functions of observed individual characteristics while the idiosyncratic error terms are subject to conditional quantile…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-27 Liang Chen , Juan Jose Dolado , Jesus Gonzalo , Haozi Pan

Quantile Factor Models (QFM) represent a new class of factor models for high-dimensional panel data. Unlike Approximate Factor Models (AFM), where only location-shifting factors can be extracted, QFM also allow to recover unobserved factors…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-24 Liang Chen , Juan Jose Dolado , Jesus Gonzalo

Quantile is an important measure in finance and quality assessment in service industry. In this paper, we model the temporal and cross-sectional interactive effect of the quantiles of large-dimensional time series by a latent quantile…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 He Yong , Kong Xin-Bing , Yu Long , Zhao Peng

Models with latent factors recently attract a lot of attention. However, most investigations focus on linear regression models and thus cannot capture nonlinearity. To address this issue, we propose a novel Factor Augmented Single-Index…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Yanmei Shi , Meiling Hao , Yanlin Tang , Heng Lian , Xu Guo

We study factor models augmented by observed covariates that have explanatory powers on the unknown factors. In financial factor models, the unknown factors can be reasonably well explained by a few observable proxies, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Ke , Yuan Liao

We analyze 18 quadrillion models for the joint pricing of corporate bond and stock returns. Strikingly, we find that equity and nontradable factors alone suffice to explain corporate bond risk premia once their Treasury term structure risk…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Alexander Dickerson , Christian Julliard , Philippe Mueller

Due to the dynamic nature of financial markets, maintaining models that produce precise predictions over time is difficult. Often the goal isn't just point prediction but determining uncertainty. Quantifying uncertainty, especially the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-06 Mingshu Li , Bhaskarjit Sarmah , Dhruv Desai , Joshua Rosaler , Snigdha Bhagat , Philip Sommer , Dhagash Mehta

This paper introduces the method of composite quantile factor model for factor analysis in high-dimensional panel data. We propose to estimate the factors and factor loadings across multiple quantiles of the data, allowing the estimates to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-03 Xiao Huang

We propose a combined model, which integrates the latent factor model and the logistic regression model, for the citation network. It is noticed that neither a latent factor model nor a logistic regression model alone is sufficient to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Namjoon Suh , Xiaoming Huo , Eric Heim , Lee Seversky

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , Afonso C. B. Silva

Along with the widespread adoption of high-dimensional data, traditional statistical methods face significant challenges in handling problems with high correlation of variables, heavy-tailed distribution, and coexistence of sparse and dense…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Xiaoyang Wei , Yanlin Tang , Xu Guo , Meiling Hao , Yanmei Shi

We propose a parsimonious class of arbitrage-free, yields-only dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) with unspanned latent risks. To enable sequential estimation and forecasting, we develop a Sequential Monte Carlo framework that combines…

Statistical learning evolves quickly with more and more sophisticated models proposed to incorporate the complicated data structure from modern scientific and business problems. Varying index coefficient models extend varying coefficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Li Jialiang , Lv Jing

This paper develops an inferential theory for state-varying factor models of large dimensions. Unlike constant factor models, loadings are general functions of some recurrent state process. We develop an estimator for the latent factors and…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-20 Markus Pelger , Ruoxuan Xiong

I develop a feasible weighted projected principal component (FPPC) analysis for factor models in which observable characteristics partially explain the latent factors. This novel method provides more efficient and accurate estimators than…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-23 Sung Hoon Choi

Latent variable models are popularly used to measure latent factors (e.g., abilities and personalities) from large-scale assessment data. Beyond understanding these latent factors, the covariate effect on responses controlling for latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

We propose a novel approximate factor model tailored for analyzing time-dependent curve data. Our model decomposes such data into two distinct components: a low-dimensional predictable factor component and an unpredictable error term. These…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-26 Sven Otto , Nazarii Salish

Timely characterizations of risks in economic and financial systems play an essential role in both economic policy and private sector decisions. However, the informational content of low-frequency variables and the results from conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-07 Matteo Iacopini , Aubrey Poon , Luca Rossini , Dan Zhu

Single-index models are natural extensions of linear models and circumvent the so-called curse of dimensionality. They are becoming increasingly popular in many scientific fields including biostatistics, medicine, economics and financial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Xia Cui , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Lixing Zhu

We propose the Identifiable Variational Dynamic Factor Model (iVDFM), which learns latent factors from multivariate time series with identifiability guarantees. By applying iVAE-style conditioning to the innovation process driving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Minkey Chang , Jae-Young Kim
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