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This paper proposes a data-adaptive factor model (DAFM), a novel framework for extracting common factors that explain the structures of high-dimensional data. DAFM adopts a composite quantile strategy to adaptively capture the full…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Seeun Park , Hee-Seok Oh

We propose a multicountry quantile factor augmeneted vector autoregression (QFAVAR) to model heterogeneities both across countries and across characteristics of the distributions of macroeconomic time series. The presence of quantile…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-17 Dimitris Korobilis , Maximilian Schröder

Estimating the covariance of asset returns, i.e., the risk model, is a key component of financial portfolio construction and evaluation. Most risk modeling approaches produce a factor model that decomposes the asset variability into two…

We introduce a Modewise Additive Factor Model (MAFM) for matrix-valued time series that captures row-specific and column-specific latent effects through an additive structure, offering greater flexibility than multiplicative frameworks such…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Elynn Chen , Yuefeng Han , Jiayu Li , Ke Xu

In financial trading, factor models are widely used to price assets and capture excess returns from mispricing. Recently, we have witnessed the rise of variational autoencoder-based latent factor models, which learn latent factors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Yilei Zhao , Wentao Zhang , Tingran Yang , Yong Jiang , Fei Huang , Wei Yang Bryan Lim

We propose a regularized factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) model that allows for sparsity in the factor loadings. In this framework, factors may only load on a subset of variables which simplifies the factor identification and…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-13 Maurizio Daniele , Julie Schnaitmann

Accurate forecasting of zero coupon bond yields for a continuum of maturities is paramount to bond portfolio management and derivative security pricing. Yet a universal model for yield curve forecasting has been elusive, and prior attempts…

Applications · Statistics 2012-09-28 Spencer Hays , Haipeng Shen , Jianhua Z. Huang

We developed a single factor model with measure-specific sample weights for multivariate data with multiple observed indicators clustered within a higher level subject. The factor is therefore a latent variable shared by multiple indicators…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-22 Chengan Du , Shu-Xia Li , Zhenqiu Lin , Haiqun Lin

Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) is a statistical method for identifying and confirming the presence of latent factors among observed variables through the analysis of their covariance structure. Compared to alternative factor models, CFA…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Yifan Yang , Tianzhou Ma , Chuan Bi , Shuo Chen

We develop a Bayesian non-parametric quantile panel regression model. Within each quantile, the response function is a convex combination of a linear model and a non-linear function, which we approximate using Bayesian Additive Regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-08 Todd E. Clark , Florian Huber , Gary Koop , Massimiliano Marcellino , Michael Pfarrhofer

Progression of chronic disease is often manifested by repeated occurrences of disease-related events over time. Delineating the heterogeneity in the risk of such recurrent events can provide valuable scientific insight for guiding…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-16 Huijuan Ma , Limin Peng , Chiung-Yu Huang , Haoda Fu

Latent or unobserved phenomena pose a significant difficulty in data analysis as they induce complicated and confounding dependencies among a collection of observed variables. Factor analysis is a prominent multivariate statistical modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-22 Armeen Taeb , Venkat Chandrasekaran

We consider the complex data modeling problem motivated by the zero-inflated and overdispersed data from microbiome studies. Analyzing how microbiome abundance is associated with human biological features, such as BMI, is of great…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Zirui Wang , Tianying Wang

In many domains such as healthcare or finance, data often come in different assays or measurement modalities, with features in each assay having a common theme. Simply concatenating these assays together and performing prediction can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 J. Kenneth Tay , Robert Tibshirani

This paper extends quantile factor analysis to a probabilistic variant that incorporates regularization and computationally efficient variational approximations. We establish through synthetic and real data experiments that the proposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-16 Dimitris Korobilis , Maximilian Schröder

Weighting methods are essential tools for estimating causal effects in observational studies, with the goal of balancing pre-treatment covariates across treatment groups. Traditional approaches pursue this objective indirectly, for example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Diptanil Santra , Guanhua Chen , Chan Park

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is introduced. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex networked system. This new formulation allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

This paper develops the inferential theory for latent factor models estimated from large dimensional panel data with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose estimator for a latent factor model by applying principal…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-11 Ruoxuan Xiong , Markus Pelger

A new single-index model that reflects the time-dynamic effects of the single index is proposed for longitudinal and functional response data, possibly measured with errors, for both longitudinal and time-invariant covariates. With…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Ci-Ren Jiang , Jane-Ling Wang

This paper proposes a test for the joint hypothesis of correct dynamic specification and no omitted latent factors for the Quantile Autoregression. If the composite null is rejected we proceed to disentangle the cause of rejection, i.e.,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-02 Anthoulla Phella