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Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

We consider the estimation problem in a regression setting where the outcome variable is subject to nonignorable missingness and identifiability is ensured by the shadow variable approach. We propose a versatile estimation procedure where…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-09 Jiwei Zhao , Yanyuan Ma

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are very flexible for modeling network formation but pose difficult estimation challenges due to their intractable normalizing constant. Existing methods, such as MCMC-MLE, rely on sequential…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Angelo Mele

We propose a new simulation-based estimation method, adversarial estimation, for structural models. The estimator is formulated as the solution to a minimax problem between a generator (which generates simulated observations using the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-09 Tetsuya Kaji , Elena Manresa , Guillaume Pouliot

The problem of designing learners that provide guarantees that their predictions are provably correct is of increasing importance in machine learning. However, learning theoretic guarantees have only been considered in very specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Maria-Florina Balcan , Steve Hanneke , Rattana Pukdee , Dravyansh Sharma

Recent results in nonparametric regression show that for deep learning, i.e., for neural network estimates with many hidden layers, we are able to achieve good rates of convergence even in case of high-dimensional predictor variables,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Alina Braun , Michael Kohler , Adam Krzyzak

New local linear estimators are proposed for a wide class of nonparametric regression models. The estimators are uniformly consistent regardless of satisfying traditional conditions of depen\-dence of design elements. The estimators are the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Yuliana Linke , Igor Borisov , Pavel Ruzankin , Vladimir Kutsenko , Elena Yarovaya , Svetlana Shalnova

Classification may not be reliable for several reasons: noise in the data, insufficient input information, overlapping distributions and sharp definition of classes. Faced with several possibilities neural network may in such cases still be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Włodzisław Duch , Rafał Adamczak , Yoichi Hayashi

We study the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector in $\mathbb{R}^d$ based on an i.i.d.\ sample, when the accuracy of the estimator is measured by a general norm on $\mathbb{R}^d$. We construct an estimator (that depends on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Gábor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

Structural learning, a method to estimate the parameters for discrete energy minimization, has been proven to be effective in solving computer vision problems, especially in 3D scene parsing. As the complexity of the models increases,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-01-13 Mengtian Li , Daniel Huber

Estimating quantum entropies and divergences is an important problem in quantum physics, information theory, and machine learning. Quantum neural estimators (QNEs), which utilize a hybrid classical-quantum architecture, have recently…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-27 Sreejith Sreekumar , Ziv Goldfeld , Mark M. Wilde

This paper considers the estimation of treatment effects in randomized experiments with complex experimental designs, including cases with interference between units. We develop a design-based estimation theory for arbitrary experimental…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-27 Haoge Chang

Reliable probability estimation is of crucial importance in many real-world applications where there is inherent (aleatoric) uncertainty. Probability-estimation models are trained on observed outcomes (e.g. whether it has rained or not, or…

The estimation of an f-divergence between two probability distributions based on samples is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. Most works study this problem under very weak assumptions, in which case it is provably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-25 Paul K. Rubenstein , Olivier Bousquet , Josip Djolonga , Carlos Riquelme , Ilya Tolstikhin

Various members of the class of weighted insurance premiums and risk capital allocation rules have been researched from a number of perspectives. Corresponding formulas in the case of parametric families of distributions have been derived,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-11 Nadezhda Gribkova , Ričardas Zitikis

Probabilistic programming has emerged as a powerful paradigm in statistics, applied science, and machine learning: by decoupling modelling from inference, it promises to allow modellers to directly reason about the processes generating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Maria I. Gorinova , Dave Moore , Matthew D. Hoffman

Complex simulator-based models are now routinely used to perform inference across the sciences and engineering, but existing inference methods are often unable to account for outliers and other extreme values in data which occur due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Ayush Bharti , Charita Dellaporta , Yuga Hikida , François-Xavier Briol

Random graph mixture models are now very popular for modeling real data networks. In these setups, parameter estimation procedures usually rely on variational approximations, either combined with the expectation-maximisation (\textsc{em})…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-09 Christophe Ambroise , Catherine Matias

We construct a semiparametric estimator in case-control studies where the gene and the environment are assumed to be independent. A discrete or continuous parametric distribution of the genes is assumed in the model. A discrete distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Yanyuan Ma

Neural networks hold great potential to act as approximate models of nonlinear dynamical systems, with the resulting neural approximations enabling verification and control of such systems. However, in safety-critical contexts, the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Nikolaus Vertovec , Francesco Fabiano , Luca Laurenti , Alessandro Abate