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The conditional maximum-entropy method (abbreviated here as C-MaxEnt) is formulated for selecting prior probability distributions in Bayesian statistics for parameter estimation. This method is inspired by a statistical-mechanical approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-18 Sumiyoshi Abe

We introduce a simple and intuitive framework that provides quantitative explanations of statistical models through the probabilistic assessment of input feature importance. The core idea comes from utilizing the Dirichlet distribution to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-20 Kamil Adamczewski , Frederik Harder , Mijung Park

Bayesian paradigm takes advantage of well fitting complicated survival models and feasible computing in survival analysis owing to the superiority in tackling the complex censoring scheme, compared with the frequentist paradigm. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-10 Chong Zhong , Zhihua Ma , Junshan Shen , Catherine Liu

We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

The beta distribution serves as a canonical tool for modeling probabilities in statistics and machine learning. However, there is limited work on flexible and computationally convenient stochastic process extensions for modeling dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Changwoo J. Lee , Alessandro Zito , Huiyan Sang , David B. Dunson

For a class of stochastic differential equations with reflection for which a certain ${\mathbb{L}}^p$ continuity condition holds with $p>1$, it is shown that any weak solution that is a strong Markov process can be decomposed into the sum…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Weining Kang , Kavita Ramanan

The functional delta-method has a wide range of applications in statistics. Applications on functionals of empirical processes yield various limit results for classical statistics. To improve the finite sample properties of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-21 Merle Munko , Dennis Dobler

Assessing homogeneity of distributions is an old problem that has received considerable attention, especially in the nonparametric Bayesian literature. To this effect, we propose the semi-hierarchical Dirichlet process, a novel hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-17 Mario Beraha , Alessandra Guglielmi , Fernando A. Quintana

We study the problem of topic modeling in corpora whose documents are organized in a multi-level hierarchy. We explore a parametric approach to this problem, assuming that the number of topics is known or can be estimated by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-14 Do-kyum Kim , Geoffrey M. Voelker , Lawrence K. Saul

Random partition distribution is a crucial tool for model-based clustering. This study advances the field of random partition in the context of functional spatial data, focusing on the challenges posed by hourly population data across…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Genya Kobayashi

We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric classification model that combines a Gaussian process prior for the latent function with a Dirichlet process prior for the link function, extending the interpretative framework of de Finetti…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Marcio Alves Diniz

Sample size criteria are often expressed in terms of the concentration of the posterior density, as controlled by some sort of error bound. Since this is done pre-experimentally, one can regard the posterior density as a function of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. Clarke , Ao Yuan

We study Dirichlet process-based models for sets of predictor-dependent probability distributions, where the domain and predictor space are general Polish spaces. We generalize the definition of dependent Dirichlet processes, originally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Andres Iturriaga , Carlos A. Sing Long , Alejandro Jara

Contextual Markov decision processes (CMDPs) describe a class of reinforcement learning problems in which the transition kernels and reward functions can change over time with different MDPs indexed by a context variable. While CMDPs serve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Junze Deng , Yuan Cheng , Shaofeng Zou , Yingbin Liang

We study discrete-time discounted constrained Markov decision processes (CMDPs) on Borel spaces with unbounded reward functions. In our approach the transition probability functions are weakly or set-wise continuous. The reward functions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-29 Eugene A. Feinberg , Anna Jaśkiewicz , Andrzej S. Nowak

Bayesian models that mix multiple Dirichlet prior parameters, called Multi-Dirichlet priors (MD) in this paper, are gaining popularity. Inferring mixing weights and parameters of mixed prior distributions seems tricky, as sums over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-18 Christoph Carl Kling

In many cases it makes sense to model a relationship symmetrically, not implying any particular directionality. Consider the classical example of a recommendation system where the rating of an item by a user should symmetrically be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Zhao Xu , Volker Tresp , Kai Yu , Hans-Peter Kriegel

We introduce Functional Diffusion Processes (FDPs), which generalize score-based diffusion models to infinite-dimensional function spaces. FDPs require a new mathematical framework to describe the forward and backward dynamics, and several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Giulio Franzese , Giulio Corallo , Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Maurizio Filippone , Pietro Michiardi

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is a fundamental task in machine learning that aims to model the full conditional law $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{x})$, beyond mere point prediction (e.g., mean, mode). A core challenge is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Chenglong Song , Mazharul Islam , Lin Wang , Bing Chen , Bo Yang

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard
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