English
Related papers

Related papers: Forecast-Then-Optimize Deep Learning Methods

200 papers

Forecasting high-dimensional time series plays a crucial role in many applications such as demand forecasting and financial predictions. Modern datasets can have millions of correlated time-series that evolve together, i.e they are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Rajat Sen , Hsiang-Fu Yu , Inderjit Dhillon

The predict-then-optimize framework arises in a wide variety of applications where the unknown cost coefficients of an optimization problem are first predicted based on contextual features and then used to solve the problem. In this work,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Bo Tang , Elias B. Khalil

The Predict-Then-Optimize framework uses machine learning models to predict unknown parameters of an optimization problem from exogenous features before solving. This setting is common to many real-world decision processes, and recently it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 James Kotary , Vincenzo Di Vito , Jacob Cristopher , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Ferdinando Fioretto

In recent years, deep learning techniques have outperformed traditional models in many machine learning tasks. Deep neural networks have successfully been applied to address time series forecasting problems, which is a very important topic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Pedro Lara-Benítez , Manuel Carranza-García , José C. Riquelme

Topology optimization (TO) is a method of deriving an optimal design that satisfies a given load and boundary conditions within a design domain. This method enables effective design without initial design, but has been limited in use due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Seungyeon Shin , Dongju Shin , Namwoo Kang

Decision-focused learning (DFL) offers an end-to-end approach to the predict-then-optimize (PO) framework by training predictive models directly on decision loss (DL), enhancing decision-making performance within PO contexts. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Jiaqi Yang , Enming Liang , Zicheng Su , Zhichao Zou , Peng Zhen , Jiecheng Guo , Wanjing Ma , Kun An

When some parameters of a constrained optimization problem (COP) are uncertain, this gives rise to a predict-then-optimize (PtO) problem, comprising two stages: the prediction of the unknown parameters from contextual information and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Jayanta Mandi , Marianne Defresne , Senne Berden , Tias Guns

Research on time series forecasting has predominantly focused on developing methods that improve accuracy. However, other criteria such as training time or latency are critical in many real-world applications. We therefore address the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Oliver Borchert , David Salinas , Valentin Flunkert , Tim Januschowski , Stephan Günnemann

We consider the use of decision trees for decision-making problems under the predict-then-optimize framework. That is, we would like to first use a decision tree to predict unknown input parameters of an optimization problem, and then make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Adam N. Elmachtoub , Jason Cheuk Nam Liang , Ryan McNellis

Recent research increasingly integrates machine learning (ML) into predictive maintenance (PdM) to reduce operational and maintenance costs in data-rich operational settings. However, uncertainty due to model misspecification continues to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Zhuojun Xie , Adam Abdin , Yiping Fang

Contextual optimization, also known as predict-then-optimize or prescriptive analytics, considers an optimization problem with the presence of covariates (context or side information). The goal is to learn a prediction model (from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Chunlin Sun , Linyu Liu , Xiaocheng Li

Deep learning have achieved promising results on a wide spectrum of AI applications. Larger datasets and models consistently yield better performance. However, we generally spend longer training time on more computation and communication.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Xiaoxin He , Fuzhao Xue , Xiaozhe Ren , Yang You

Deep learning and deep architectures are emerging as the best machine learning methods so far in many practical applications such as reducing the dimensionality of data, image classification, speech recognition or object segmentation. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 The-Hien Dang-Ha

Accurate evaluation of forecasting models is essential for ensuring reliable predictions. Current practices for evaluating and comparing forecasting models focus on summarising performance into a single score, using metrics such as SMAPE.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Roque , Carlos Soares

Deep learning has been actively applied to time series forecasting, leading to a deluge of new methods, belonging to the class of historical-value models. Yet, despite the attractive properties of time-index models, such as being able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

Numerous deep learning architectures have been developed to accommodate the diversity of time series datasets across different domains. In this article, we survey common encoder and decoder designs used in both one-step-ahead and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-28 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren

Predict-then-Optimize (PTO) pipelines are widely employed in computing and networked systems, where Machine Learning (ML) models are used to predict critical contextual information for downstream decision-making tasks such as cloud LLM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Jiaqi Wen , Lei Fan , Jianyi Yang

Deep learning-based time series forecasting has dominated the short-term precipitation forecasting field with the help of its ability to estimate motion flow in high-resolution datasets. The growing interest in precipitation nowcasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Sojung An , Tae-Jin Oh , Eunha Sohn , Donghyun Kim

Financial time series forecasting is both highly significant and challenging. Previous approaches typically standardized time series data before feeding it into forecasting models, but this encoding process inherently leads to a loss of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-11 Yanlong Wang , Jian Xu , Fei Ma , Hongkang Zhang , Hang Yu , Tiantian Gao , Yu Wang , Haochen You , Shao-Lun Huang , Danny Dongning Sun , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Fund allocation has been an increasingly important problem in the financial domain. In reality, we aim to allocate the funds to buy certain assets within a certain future period. Naive solutions such as prediction-only or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Fuyuan Lyu , Linfeng Du , Yunpeng Weng , Qiufang Ying , Zhiyan Xu , Wen Zou , Haolun Wu , Xiuqiang He , Xing Tang