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Related papers: STOAT: Spatial-Temporal Probabilistic Causal Infer…

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Inferring causation from time series data is of scientific interest in different disciplines, particularly in neural connectomics. While different approaches exist in the literature with parametric modeling assumptions, we focus on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Rahul Biswas , SuryaNarayana Sripada , Somabha Mukherjee

Introduction The tau statistic is a recent second-order correlation function that can assess the magnitude and range of global spatiotemporal clustering from epidemiological data containing geolocations of individual cases and, usually,…

Spatio-temporal prediction is a crucial research area in data-driven urban computing, with implications for transportation, public safety, and environmental monitoring. However, scalability and generalization challenges remain significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Jiabin Tang , Wei Wei , Lianghao Xia , Chao Huang

Spatio-temporal (ST) forecasting is critical for dynamic systems, yet existing methods predominantly rely on modeling a limited set of observed target variables. In this paper, we present the first systematic exploration of exogenous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wei Chen , Yuqian Wu , Yuanshao Zhu , Xixuan Hao , Shiyu Wang , Xiaofang Zhou , Yuxuan Liang

Purpose: This paper aims to enhance bearing fault diagnosis in industrial machinery by introducing a novel method that combines Graph Attention Network (GAT) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. This approach captures both spatial…

Obtaining accurate information about future traffic flows of all links in a traffic network is of great importance for traffic management and control applications. This research studies two particular problems in traffic forecasting: (1)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Xinglei Wang , Xuefeng Guan , Jun Cao , Na Zhang , Huayi Wu

Traffic prediction is a challenging spatio-temporal forecasting problem that involves highly complex spatio-temporal correlations. This paper proposes a Multi-level Multi-view Augmented Spatio-temporal Transformer (LVSTformer) for traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Jiaqi Lin , Qianqian Ren

The Stochastic Backscatter Model involves the generation of a set of random variables characterised by prescribed correlations in space and time. These variables are obtained by smoothing an initially uncorrelated random field, which…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-11-12 Angelo Passariello

Multi-modality spatio-temporal (MoST) data extends spatio-temporal (ST) data by incorporating multiple modalities, which is prevalent in monitoring systems, encompassing diverse traffic demands and air quality assessments. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Jiewen Deng , Renhe Jiang , Jiaqi Zhang , Xuan Song

Recent research in time series forecasting frequently investigates the integration of textual and visual modalities with numerical models to better navigate non-stationary environments. Despite delivering solid numerical results, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Hui Cheng , Jinsheng Guo , Zhenhao Weng , Yan Qiao , Meng Li

Spatiotemporal forecasting of traffic flow data represents a typical problem in the field of machine learning, impacting urban traffic management systems. In general, spatiotemporal forecasting problems involve complex interactions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yash Jakhmola , Madhurima Panja , Nitish Kumar Mishra , Kripabandhu Ghosh , Uttam Kumar , Tanujit Chakraborty

Spatial-temporal data, fundamental to many intelligent applications, reveals dependencies indicating causal links between present measurements at specific locations and historical data at the same or other locations. Within this context,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Wenying Duan , Shujun Guo , Wei huang , Hong Rao , Xiaoxi He

Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang

The present study explores the intricacies of causal relationship extraction, a vital component in the pursuit of causality knowledge. Causality is frequently intertwined with temporal elements, as the progression from cause to effect is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Xiaosong Yuan , Ke Chen , Wanli Zuo , Yijia Zhang

Regionalization aims to partition a spatial domain into contiguous regions that share similar characteristics, enabling more effective spatial analysis, policy making, and resource management. Existing approaches for spatial regionalization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-07 Jiayu Weng , Alec Kirkley

Spatio-temporal predictive learning plays a crucial role in self-supervised learning, with wide-ranging applications across a diverse range of fields. Previous approaches for temporal modeling fall into two categories: recurrent-based and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Cheng Tan , Jue Wang , Zhangyang Gao , Siyuan Li , Stan Z. Li

Deep learning has achieved strong performance in Time Series Forecasting (TSF). However, we identify a critical representation paradox, termed Latent Chaos: models with accurate predictions often learn latent representations that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Jie Yang , Yifan Hu , Yuante Li , Kexin Zhang , Kaize Ding , Philip S. Yu

We study the spatio-temporal prediction problem, which has attracted the attention of many researchers due to its critical real-life applications. In particular, we introduce a novel approach to this problem. Our approach is based on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-07 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

In this article we focus on dynamic network data which describe interactions among a fixed population through time. We model this data using the latent space framework, in which the probability of a connection forming is expressed as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Kathryn Turnbull , Christopher Nemeth , Matthew Nunes , Tyler McCormick

Spatial-temporal forecasting and imputation are important for real-world intelligent systems. Most existing methods are tailored for individual forecasting or imputation tasks but are not designed for both. Additionally, they are less…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 YiHeng Huang , Xiaowei Mao , Shengnan Guo , Yubin Chen , Junfeng Shen , Tiankuo Li , Youfang Lin , Huaiyu Wan