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The seasonal and spatial evolution of mixed layers (MLs) in the Red Sea (RS) is analyzed for the 2001-2015 period using the results of a high resolution (~1km horizontal, 50 vertical layers) ocean circulation model forced by a novel…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-17 G. Krokos , I. Cerovečki , P. Zhan , M. C. Hendershott , I. Hoteit

Global Storm-Resolving Models (GSRMs) have gained widespread interest because of the unprecedented detail with which they resolve the global climate. However, it remains difficult to quantify objective differences in how GSRMs resolve…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-05 Griffin Mooers , Mike Pritchard , Tom Beucler , Prakhar Srivastava , Harshini Mangipudi , Liran Peng , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Mandt

Satellite altimeter observations retrieved since 1993 show that the global mean sea level is rising at an unprecedented rate (3.4mm/year). With almost three decades of observations, we can now investigate the contributions of anthropogenic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-07 Saumya Sinha , John Fasullo , R. Steven Nerem , Claire Monteleoni

Rainfall in coastal areas of the tropics is often shaped by the presence of circulations directly associated with the topography, such as land-sea and/or mountain-valley breezes. In many regions the coastally-affected rainfall consitutes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-05-09 Martin Bergemann , Christian Jakob , Todd P. Lane

Convolutional neural networks (CNN) have achieved great success in analyzing tropical cyclones (TC) with satellite images in several tasks, such as TC intensity estimation. In contrast, TC structure, which is conventionally described by a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Boyo Chen , Buo-Fu Chen , Chun-Min Hsiao

The formation of Middle Tropospheric Cyclones (MTCs) that are responsible for a large portion of annual precipitation and extreme rainfall events over western India is studied using an unsupervised machine learning algorithm and cyclone…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-16 Pradeep Kushwaha , Jai Sukhatme , Ravi S. Nanjundiah

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

In recent years extensive studies on the Earth's climate system have been carried out by means of advanced complex network statistics. The great majority of these studies, however, have been focusing on investigating correlation structures…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-20 Marc Wiedermann , Jonathan F. Donges , Dörthe Handorf , Jürgen Kurths , Reik V. Donner

This paper describes a statistical method for short-term forecasting of surface layer wind velocity amplitude relying on the notion of continuous cascades. Inspired by recent empirical findings that suggest the existence of some cascading…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-04-20 Rachel Baile , Jean-Francois Muzy , Philippe Poggi

A possible deepening of the ocean mixed layer was investigated at a selected point of the Patagonian continental shelf where a significant positive wind speed trend was estimated. Using a 1-dimensional vertical numerical model (S2P3) forced…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-05-08 Juan Zanella , Ezequiel Alvarez , Andres Pescio , Walter Dragani

Accurately predicting long-term rainfall is challenging. Global climate indices, such as the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation, are standard input features for machine learning. However, a significant gap persists regarding local-scale indices…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Kiattikun Chobtham

We consider two ways that one might convert a prediction of sea surface temperature (SST) into a prediction of landfalling hurricane numbers. First, one might regress historical numbers of landfalling hurricanes onto historical SSTs, and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephen Jewson , Thomas Laepple , Kechi Nzerem , Jeremy Penzer

The accurate prediction of oceanographic variables is crucial for understanding climate change, managing marine resources, and optimizing maritime activities. Traditional ocean forecasting relies on numerical models; however, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Víctor Medina , Giovanny A. Cuervo-Londoño , Javier Sánchez

Different machine learning (ML) models are trained on SCADA and meteorological data collected at an onshore wind farm and then assessed in terms of fidelity and accuracy for predictions of wind speed, turbulence intensity, and power capture…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-06 C. Moss , R. Maulik , G. V. Iungo

A presumed impact of global climate change is the increase in frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones. Due to the possible destruction that occurs when tropical cyclones make landfall, understanding their formation should be of mass…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-31 Katherine Slyman , John A. Gemmer , Nicholas K. Corak , Claire Kiers , Christopher K. R. T. Jones

A reliable tropical cyclone (TC) climatology is the key to assessing historical and future changes in TC activities. While global TC records have been systematically maintained since the early 1940s, substantial uncertainties remain for the…

Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) short-term intensity forecasting with a 24-hour lead time is essential for disaster mitigation in the Atlantic TC basin. Since most TCs evolve far from land-based observing networks, satellite imagery is…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-24 Elizabeth Cucuzzella , Tria McNeely , Kimberly Wood , Ann B. Lee

Cloud radiative feedback impacts early tropical cyclone (TC) intensification, but limitations in existing diagnostic frameworks make them unsuitable for studying asymmetric or transient radiative heating. We propose a linear Variational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Frederick Iat-Hin Tam , Tom Beucler , James H. Ruppert

A global hybrid coupled model is developed, with the aim of studying the effects of ocean-atmosphere feedbacks on the stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. The model includes a global ocean general circulation model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-03-17 Andrea A. Cimatoribus , Sybren S. Drijfhout , Henk A. Dijkstra

While the importance of extreme conditions is recognised, patterns in species abundances are often interpreted through average environmental conditions within their distributional range. For marine species with pelagic larvae, temperature…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-23 Carlota Muniz , Christopher McQuaid , Nicolas Weidberg