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Ocean warming significantly affects the fishing industry, with species like Scottish herring and mackerel migrating northwards. Our research, a fusion of artificial intelligence, data science, and operations research, addresses this crisis.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-27 Liguo Chen , Hongyang Hua , Xinyue Luo , Guoli Xu , Xu Yan

A dataset of sea surface temperature (SST) estimates is generated from the temperature observations of surface drifting buoys of NOAA's Global Drifter Program. Estimates of SST at regular hourly time steps along drifter trajectories are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-01 Shane Elipot , Adam Sykulski , Rick Lumpkin , Luca Centurioni , Mayra Pazos

The prediction of tropical rain rates from atmospheric profiles poses significant challenges, mainly due to the heavy-tailed distribution exhibited by tropical rainfall. This study introduces over-parameterized neural networks not only to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Hojun You , Jiayi Wang , Raymond K. W. Wong , Courtney Schumacher , R. Saravanan , Mikyoung Jun

A simple and efficient Bayesian machine learning (BML) training and forecasting algorithm, which exploits only a 20-year short observational time series and an approximate prior model, is developed to predict the Ni\~no 3 sea surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-04 Nan Chen , Faheem Gilani , John Harlim

Tropical cyclones are affected by a large number of climatic factors, which translates into complex patterns of occurrence. The variability of annual metrics of tropical-cyclone activity has been intensively studied, in particular since the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Alvaro Corral , Antonio Turiel

North Pacific sea surface temperatures (SST), as used in estimating the PDO, are reanalyzed using state-space decomposition and subspace identification techniques. The reanalysis presents a very different picture of SST in this region. The…

Applications · Statistics 2012-04-12 Roy Mendelssohn , CIndy Bessey

Extratropical storms shape midlatitude weather and vary due to the slowly evolving climate and the rapid changes in synoptic conditions. While the influence of each factor has been studied extensively, their relative importance remains…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-17 Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

We investigate the ocean wave field under Hurricane SAM (2021). Whilst measurements of waves under Tropical Cyclones (TCs) are rare, an unusually large number of quality in situ and remote measurements are available in that case. First, we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-23 Xiaolu Zhao , Ludivine Oruba , Danièle Hauser , Biao Zhang , Emmanuel Dormy

Climate change is one of the most concerning issues of this century. Emission from electric power generation is a crucial factor that drives the concern to the next level. Renewable energy sources are widespread and available globally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Md Amimul Ehsan , Amir Shahirinia , Nian Zhang , Timothy Oladunni

Storm surge is one of the deadliest hazards posed by tropical cyclones (TCs), yet assessing its current and future risk is difficult due to the phenomenon's rarity and physical complexity. Recent advances in artificial intelligence…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-03 Julian R. Rice , Karthik Balaguru , Fadia Ticona Rollano , John Wilson , Brent Daniel , David Judi , Ning Sun , L. Ruby Leung

Sea ice motions play an important role in the polar climate system by transporting pollutants, heat, water and salt as well as changing the ice cover. Numerous physics-based models have been constructed to represent the sea ice dynamical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-26 Jun Zhai , Cecilia M. Bitz

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) is crucial for understanding upper-ocean thermal dynamics and ocean-atmosphere interactions, which have profound economic and social impacts. While data-driven models show promise in SST prediction, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Zheng Jiang , Wei Wang , Gaowei Zhang , Yi Wang

Strategic preparedness has been shown to reduce the adverse health impacts of hurricanes and tropical storms, referred to collectively as tropical cyclones (TCs), but its protective impact could be enhanced by a more comprehensive and…

Due to computational constraints, running global climate models (GCMs) for many years requires a lower spatial grid resolution (${\gtrsim}50$ km) than is optimal for accurately resolving important physical processes. Such processes are…

The influence of climate variability and global warming on the occurrence of tropical cyclones (TC) is a controversial issue. Existing historical databases on the subject are not fully reliable, but a more fundamental hindrance is the lack…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-10-02 Albert Osso , Alvaro Corral , J. E. Llebot

Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasts are ultimately issued by human forecasters. The human in-the-loop pipeline requires that any forecasting guidance must be easily digestible by TC experts if it is to be adopted at operational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Trey McNeely , Niccolò Dalmasso , Kimberly M. Wood , Ann B. Lee

Accurate tropical cyclones (TCs) tracking represents a critical challenge in the context of weather and climate science. Traditional tracking schemes mainly rely on subjective thresholds, which may introduce biases in their skills on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Davide Donno , Donatello Elia , Gabriele Accarino , Marco De Carlo , Enrico Scoccimarro , Silvio Gualdi

Global deep-learning weather prediction models have recently been shown to produce forecasts that rival those from physics-based models run at operational centers. It is unclear whether these models have encoded atmospheric dynamics, or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-21 Gregory J. Hakim , Sanjit Masanam

Tropical cyclone reconnaissance data, such as that of Hurricane Lane, often exhibits discrepancies between flight-level wind measurements and SFMR data, leading to uncertainty in determining peak intensity. In this study, I analyze…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-18 Michael Igbinoba

We introduce a new methodology to study marine heat waves, extreme events in the sea surface temperature (SST) of the global ocean. Motivated by previously large and impactful marine heat waves and by theoretical expectation that the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-18 J. Xavier Prochaska , Claudie Beaulieu , Katerina Giamalaki