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We introduce a new nonlinear model for classification, in which we model the joint distribution of response variable, y, and covariates, x, non-parametrically using Dirichlet process mixtures. We keep the relationship between y and x linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Babak Shahbaba , Radford M. Neal

Finite mixtures of regression models provide a flexible modeling framework for many phenomena. Using moment-based estimation of the regression parameters, we develop unbiased estimators with a minimum of assumptions on the mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Christian Bressen Pipper

Dirichlet Process Mixtures (DPMs) are a popular class of statistical models to perform density estimation and clustering. However, when the data available have a distribution evolving over time, such models are inadequate. We introduce here…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Francois Caron , Manuel Davy , Arnaud Doucet

Walley's Imprecise Dirichlet Model (IDM) for categorical i.i.d. data extends the classical Dirichlet model to a set of priors. It overcomes several fundamental problems which other approaches to uncertainty suffer from. Yet, to be useful in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-30 Marcus Hutter

Discrete kernel smoothing is now gaining importance in nonparametric statistics. In this paper, we investigate some asymptotic properties of the normalized discrete associated-kernel estimator of a probability mass function. We show, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Youssef Esstafa , Célestin C. Kokonendji , Sobom M. Somé

This paper introduces a novel approach to probabilistic deep learning, kernel density matrices, which provide a simpler yet effective mechanism for representing joint probability distributions of both continuous and discrete random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Fabio A. González , Raúl Ramos-Pollán , Joseph A. Gallego-Mejia

To adapt kernel two-sample and independence testing to complex structured data, aggregation of multiple kernels is frequently employed to boost testing power compared to single-kernel tests. However, we observe a phenomenon that directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Zhijian Zhou , Xunye Tian , Liuhua Peng , Chao Lei , Antonin Schrab , Danica J. Sutherland , Feng Liu

Many scientific problems involve data exhibiting both temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. While linear dependencies have been extensively studied, the theoretical analysis of regression estimators under nonlinear dependencies remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Marie-Christine Düker , Adam Waterbury

Deep Kernel Learning (DKL) combines the representational power of neural networks with the uncertainty quantification of Gaussian Processes. Hence, it is potentially a promising tool to learn and control complex dynamical systems. In this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-14 Robert Reed , Luca Laurenti , Morteza Lahijanian

Change-point analysis plays a significant role in various fields to reveal discrepancies in distribution in a sequence of observations. While a number of algorithms have been proposed for high-dimensional data, kernel-based methods have not…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-10 Hoseung Song , Hao Chen

It is a common practice to evaluate probability density function or matter spatial density function from statistical samples. Kernel density estimation is a frequently used method, but to select an optimal bandwidth of kernel estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-27 Zhen-Wei Li , Ping He

We introduce a novel conditional density estimation model termed the conditional density operator (CDO). It naturally captures multivariate, multimodal output densities and shows performance that is competitive with recent neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Ingmar Schuster , Mattes Mollenhauer , Stefan Klus , Krikamol Muandet

Parameter estimation in a class of heteroscedastic time series models is investigated. The existence of conditional least-squares and conditional likelihood estimators is proved. Their consistency and their asymptotic normality are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-08 Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji

We investigate the inference of varifold structures in a statistical framework: assuming that we have access to i.i.d. samples in $\mathbb{R}^n$ obtained from an underlying $d$--dimensional shape $S$ endowed with a possibly non uniform…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Charly Boricaud , Blanche Buet

We derive the divergence-kernel formula for the scores of random dynamical systems, then formally pass to the continuous-time limit of SDEs. Our formula works for multiplicative noise systems over any period of time; it does not require…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Angxiu Ni

Jittering estimators are nonparametric function estimators for mixed data. They extend arbitrary estimators from the continuous setting by adding random noise to discrete variables. We give an in-depth analysis of the jittering kernel…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Thomas Nagler

In this paper, we study the asymptotic properties (bias, variance, mean squared error) of Bernstein estimators for cumulative distribution functions and density functions near and on the boundary of the $d$-dimensional simplex. Our results…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Frédéric Ouimet

This paper describes how to specify probability models for data analysis via a backward induction procedure. The new approach yields coherent, prior-free uncertainty assessment. After presenting some intuition-building examples, the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-24 P. Richard Hahn

Predictive recursion (PR) is a fast algorithm for nonparametric estimation of a mixing density, with connections to sequential Bayesian updating under a Dirichlet process prior and rigorous frequentist consistency guarantees. Extending PR…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Jonathan Lin , Surya Tokdar

We prove statistical rates of convergence for kernel-based least squares regression from i.i.d. data using a conjugate gradient algorithm, where regularization against overfitting is obtained by early stopping. This method is related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-11 Gilles Blanchard , Nicole Krämer