Related papers: Dirichlet kernel density estimation for strongly m…
We introduce a new nonlinear model for classification, in which we model the joint distribution of response variable, y, and covariates, x, non-parametrically using Dirichlet process mixtures. We keep the relationship between y and x linear…
Finite mixtures of regression models provide a flexible modeling framework for many phenomena. Using moment-based estimation of the regression parameters, we develop unbiased estimators with a minimum of assumptions on the mixture…
Dirichlet Process Mixtures (DPMs) are a popular class of statistical models to perform density estimation and clustering. However, when the data available have a distribution evolving over time, such models are inadequate. We introduce here…
Walley's Imprecise Dirichlet Model (IDM) for categorical i.i.d. data extends the classical Dirichlet model to a set of priors. It overcomes several fundamental problems which other approaches to uncertainty suffer from. Yet, to be useful in…
Discrete kernel smoothing is now gaining importance in nonparametric statistics. In this paper, we investigate some asymptotic properties of the normalized discrete associated-kernel estimator of a probability mass function. We show, under…
This paper introduces a novel approach to probabilistic deep learning, kernel density matrices, which provide a simpler yet effective mechanism for representing joint probability distributions of both continuous and discrete random…
To adapt kernel two-sample and independence testing to complex structured data, aggregation of multiple kernels is frequently employed to boost testing power compared to single-kernel tests. However, we observe a phenomenon that directly…
Many scientific problems involve data exhibiting both temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. While linear dependencies have been extensively studied, the theoretical analysis of regression estimators under nonlinear dependencies remains…
Deep Kernel Learning (DKL) combines the representational power of neural networks with the uncertainty quantification of Gaussian Processes. Hence, it is potentially a promising tool to learn and control complex dynamical systems. In this…
Change-point analysis plays a significant role in various fields to reveal discrepancies in distribution in a sequence of observations. While a number of algorithms have been proposed for high-dimensional data, kernel-based methods have not…
It is a common practice to evaluate probability density function or matter spatial density function from statistical samples. Kernel density estimation is a frequently used method, but to select an optimal bandwidth of kernel estimation,…
We introduce a novel conditional density estimation model termed the conditional density operator (CDO). It naturally captures multivariate, multimodal output densities and shows performance that is competitive with recent neural…
Parameter estimation in a class of heteroscedastic time series models is investigated. The existence of conditional least-squares and conditional likelihood estimators is proved. Their consistency and their asymptotic normality are…
We investigate the inference of varifold structures in a statistical framework: assuming that we have access to i.i.d. samples in $\mathbb{R}^n$ obtained from an underlying $d$--dimensional shape $S$ endowed with a possibly non uniform…
We derive the divergence-kernel formula for the scores of random dynamical systems, then formally pass to the continuous-time limit of SDEs. Our formula works for multiplicative noise systems over any period of time; it does not require…
Jittering estimators are nonparametric function estimators for mixed data. They extend arbitrary estimators from the continuous setting by adding random noise to discrete variables. We give an in-depth analysis of the jittering kernel…
In this paper, we study the asymptotic properties (bias, variance, mean squared error) of Bernstein estimators for cumulative distribution functions and density functions near and on the boundary of the $d$-dimensional simplex. Our results…
This paper describes how to specify probability models for data analysis via a backward induction procedure. The new approach yields coherent, prior-free uncertainty assessment. After presenting some intuition-building examples, the new…
Predictive recursion (PR) is a fast algorithm for nonparametric estimation of a mixing density, with connections to sequential Bayesian updating under a Dirichlet process prior and rigorous frequentist consistency guarantees. Extending PR…
We prove statistical rates of convergence for kernel-based least squares regression from i.i.d. data using a conjugate gradient algorithm, where regularization against overfitting is obtained by early stopping. This method is related to…