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This work addresses the problem of segmentation in time series data with respect to a statistical parameter of interest in Bayesian models. It is common to assume that the parameters are distinct within each segment. As such, many Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-18 Alireza Ahrabian

For a partial structural change in a linear regression model with a single break, we develop a continuous record asymptotic framework to build inference methods for the break date. We have T observations with a sampling frequency h over a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

We consider regression models with data of the type $y_i=m(x_i)+\varepsilon_i$, where the $m(x)$ curve is taken locally constant, with unknown levels and jump points. We investigate the large-sample properties of the minimum least squares…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Steffen Grønneberg , Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort

The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Xintao Xia

Classical confidence intervals after best subset selection are widely implemented in statistical software and are routinely used to guide practitioners in scientific fields to conclude significance. However, there are increasing concerns in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Huiming Lin , Meng Li

Many important modeling tasks in linear regression, including variable selection (in which slopes of some predictors are set equal to zero) and simplified models based on sums or differences of predictors (in which slopes of those…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Sen Tian , Clifford M. Hurvich , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

Semicontinuous outcomes commonly arise in a wide variety of fields, such as insurance claims, healthcare expenditures, rainfall amounts, and alcohol consumption. Regression models, including Tobit, Tweedie, and two-part models, are widely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Lu Yang

In multivariate extreme value statistics, the first step in understanding the dependence structure of extremes is identifying the directions in which they occur. The novelty of this paper is the analysis of high-dimensional extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Lucas Butsch , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

Variable selection is essential for improving inference and interpretation in multivariate linear regression. Although a number of alternative regressor selection criteria have been suggested, the most prominent and widely used are the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Zhidong Bai , Yasunori Fujikoshi , Jiang Hu

We introduce a generalized information criterion that contains other well-known information criteria, such as Bayesian information Criterion (BIC) and Akaike information criterion (AIC), as special cases. Furthermore, the proposed spectral…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 L. Martino , R. San Millan-Castillo , E. Morgado

Many problems in statistics and machine learning can be formulated as model selection problems, where the goal is to choose an optimal parsimonious model among a set of candidate models. It is typical to conduct model selection by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-29 Qingyuan Zhang , Hien Duy Nguyen

This paper develops statistical methods for determining the number of components in panel data finite mixture regression models with regression errors independently distributed as normal or more flexible normal mixtures. We analyze the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-12 Yu Hao , Hiroyuki Kasahara

We test three common information criteria (IC) for selecting the order of a Hawkes process with an intensity kernel that can be expressed as a mixture of exponential terms. These processes find application in high-frequency financial data…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-05 J. M. Chen , A. G. Hawkes , E. Scalas , M. Trinh

Penalized regression models are popularly used in high-dimensional data analysis to conduct variable selection and model fitting simultaneously. Whereas success has been widely reported in literature, their performances largely depend on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-16 Wei Sun , Junhui Wang , Yixin Fang

Regularized models have been applied in lots of areas, with high-dimensional data sets being popular. Because tuning parameter decides the theoretical performance and computational efficiency of the regularized models, tuning parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Pan Shang , Lingchen Kong , Yiting Ma

Kink model is developed to analyze the data where the regression function is twostage linear but intersects at an unknown threshold. In quantile regression with longitudinal data, previous work assumed that the unknown threshold parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-07 Chuang Wan

In order for clinicians to manage disease progression and make effective decisions about drug dosage, treatment regimens or scheduling follow up appointments, it is necessary to be able to identify both short and long-term trends in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-06 Norman Poh , Simon Bull , Santosh Tirunagari , Nicholas Cole , Simon de Lusignan

Information theoretic criteria (ITC) have been widely adopted in engineering and statistics for selecting, among an ordered set of candidate models, the one that better fits the observed sample data. The selected model minimizes a penalized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Andrea Mariani , Andrea Giorgetti , Marco Chiani

This work focuses on the estimation of multiple change-points in a time-varying Ising model that evolves piece-wise constantly. The aim is to identify both the moments at which significant changes occur in the Ising model, as well as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Batiste Le Bars , Pierre Humbert , Argyris Kalogeratos , Nicolas Vayatis

We consider the problem of change-points estimation in the mean of an AR(p) process. Taking into account the dependence structure does not allow us to use the approach of the independent case. Especially, the dynamic programming algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-04 Souhil Chakar
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