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Many real-life applications involve simultaneously forecasting multiple time series that are hierarchically related via aggregation or disaggregation operations. For instance, commercial organizations often want to forecast inventories…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xing Han , Sambarta Dasgupta , Joydeep Ghosh

The growing uncertainty from renewable power and electricity demand brings significant challenges to unit commitment (UC). While various advanced forecasting and optimization methods have been developed to predict better and address this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Rui Xie , Yue Chen , Pierre Pinson

We consider the problem of distributionally robust multimodal machine learning. Existing approaches often rely on merging modalities on the feature level (early fusion) or heuristic uncertainty modeling, which downplays modality-aware…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Peilin Yang , Yu Ma

Unlabeled data are increasingly prevalent in contemporary economic studies, yet their effective use for improving prediction remains challenging because the outcomes are often costly or even infeasible to observe. Machine learning methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Fuzhi Xu , Xingyu Yan , Xinyu Zhang

A model-based approach to forecasting chaotic dynamical systems utilizes knowledge of the physical processes governing the dynamics to build an approximate mathematical model of the system. In contrast, machine learning techniques have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Jaideep Pathak , Alexander Wikner , Rebeckah Fussell , Sarthak Chandra , Brian Hunt , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott

Battery degradation significantly impacts the reliability and efficiency of energy storage systems, particularly in electric vehicles and industrial applications. Predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Jingyuan Xue , Xiaozhen Zhao , Dongjing Jiang , Qingchong Jiao , Redouane EL Bouchtaoui , Jianfei Zhang

In this article, we propose a data-driven methodology for combining the solutions of a set of competing turbulence models. The individual model predictions are linearly combined for providing an ensemble solution accompanied by estimates of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-24 Maximilien de Zordo-Banliat , Grégory Dergham , Xavier Merle , Paola Cinnella

Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction based on vibration signals is crucial for ensuring the safe operation and effective health management of rotating machinery. Existing studies often extract health indicators (HI) from time domain and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-26 Yunchong Long , Qinkang Pang , Guangjie Zhu , Junxian Cheng , Xiangshun Li

Degradation models play a critical role in quality engineering by enabling the assessment and prediction of system reliability based on data. The objective of this paper is to provide an accessible introduction to degradation models. We…

In the era of big data, the explosive growth of multi-source heterogeneous data offers many exciting challenges and opportunities for improving the inference of conditional average treatment effects. In this paper, we investigate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-02 Xinyu Li , Yilin Li , Qing Cui , Longfei Li , Jun Zhou

In many applications, data can be heterogeneous in the sense of spanning latent groups with different underlying distributions. When predictive models are applied to such data the heterogeneity can affect both predictive performance and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-04 Thomas Lartigue , Sach Mukherjee

Gamma process has been extensively used to model monotone degradation data. Statistical inference for the gamma process is difficult due to the complex parameter structure involved in the likelihood function. In this paper, we derive a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-07 Ancha Xu

This work presents a robust design optimization approach for a char combustion process in a limited-data setting, where simulations of the fluid-solid coupled system are computationally expensive. We integrate a polynomial dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Yulin Guo , Dongjin Lee , Boris Kramer

A reduced-rank mixed effects model is developed for robust modeling of sparsely observed paired functional data. In this model, the curves for each functional variable are summarized using a few functional principal components, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Huiya Zhou , Xiaomeng Yan , Lan Zhou

In modern spatial statistics, the structure of data that is collected has become more heterogeneous. Depending on the type of spatial data, different modeling strategies for spatial data are used. For example, a kriging approach for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-04 Craig Wang , Reinhard Furrer

Accurate models are essential for design, performance prediction, control, and diagnostics in complex engineering systems. Physics-based models excel during the design phase but often become outdated during system deployment due to changing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Zihan Liu , Prashant N. Kambali , C. Nataraj

The convergence of the Internet of Things (IoT) and Industry 4.0 has significantly enhanced data-driven methodologies within the nuclear industry, notably enhancing safety and economic efficiency. This advancement challenges the precise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Amaratou Mahamadou Saley , Thierry Moyaux , Aïcha Sekhari , Vincent Cheutet , Jean-Baptiste Danielou

Accurately predicting industrial aging processes makes it possible to schedule maintenance events further in advance, ensuring a cost-efficient and reliable operation of the plant. So far, these degradation processes were usually described…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Mihail Bogojeski , Simeon Sauer , Franziska Horn , Klaus-Robert Müller

Federated learning has attracted significant attention as a privacy-preserving framework for training personalised models on multi-source heterogeneous data. However, most existing approaches are unable to handle scenarios where subgroup…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Changxin Yang , Zhongyi Zhu , Heng Lian

The challenge of electronic component obsolescence is particularly critical in systems with long life cycles. Various obsolescence management methods are employed to mitigate its impact, with obsolescence forecasting being a highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Elie Saad , Mariem Besbes , Marc Zolghadri , Victor Czmil , Claude Baron , Vincent Bourgeois