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This paper describes a practical approach of using supervised machine learning (ML) models to assist safety investigators to classify aviation occurrences into either incident or serious incident categories. Our implementation currently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Bryan Y. Siow

Gallstone disease is a complex, multifactorial condition with significant global health burdens. Identifying underlying risk factors and their interactions is crucial for early diagnosis, targeted prevention, and effective clinical…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-18 Chitradipa Chakraborty , Nayana Mukherjee

Reliable quantification of uncertainty in Mobile Laser Scanning (MLS) point clouds is essential for ensuring the accuracy and credibility of downstream applications such as 3D mapping, modeling, and change analysis. Traditional backward…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Ziyang Xu , Olaf Wysocki , Christoph Holst

Accurate and robust trajectory predictions of road users are needed to enable safe automated driving. To do this, machine learning models are often used, which can show erratic behavior when presented with previously unseen inputs. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Manuel Muñoz Sánchez , Emilia Silvas , Jos Elfring , René van de Molengraft

Wildfires present intricate challenges for prediction, necessitating the use of sophisticated machine learning techniques for effective modeling\cite{jain2020review}. In our research, we conducted a thorough assessment of various machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Di Fan , Ayan Biswas , James Paul Ahrens

In today's tech-savvy world every industry is trying to formulate methods for recommending products by combining several techniques and algorithms to form a pool that would bring forward the most enhanced models for making the predictions.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Rohan Parasrampuria , Ayan Ghosh , Suchandra Dutta , Dhrubasish Sarkar

Many applied settings in empirical economics involve simultaneous estimation of a large number of parameters. In particular, applied economists are often interested in estimating the effects of many-valued treatments (like teacher effects…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-03 Alberto Abadie , Maximilian Kasy

Reinsurance optimization is a cornerstone of solvency and capital management, yet traditional approaches often rely on restrictive distributional assumptions and static program designs. We propose a hybrid framework that combines…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Stella C. Dong

Though black-box predictors are state-of-the-art for many complex tasks, they often fail to properly quantify predictive uncertainty and may provide inappropriate predictions for unfamiliar data. Instead, we can learn more reliable models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-14 Jean Feng , Arjun Sondhi , Jessica Perry , Noah Simon

Landslides have been a regular occurrence and an alarming threat to human life and property in the era of anthropogenic global warming. An early prediction of landslide susceptibility using a data-driven approach is a demand of time. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Muhammad Sakib Khan Inan , Istiakur Rahman

Machine Learning permeates many industries, which brings new source of benefits for companies. However within the life insurance industry, Machine Learning is not widely used in practice as over the past years statistical models have shown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-29 Antoine Chancel , Laura Bradier , Antoine Ly , Razvan Ionescu , Laurene Martin , Marguerite Sauce

The decline in interest rates and economic stabilization has heightened the importance of accurate mortality rate forecasting, particularly in insurance and pension markets. Multi-step-ahead predictions are crucial for public health,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Filipe C. L. Duarte , Paulo S. G. de Mattos Neto , Paulo R. A. Firmino

The decision making involved behind the mode choice is critical for transportation planning. While statistical learning techniques like discrete choice models have been used traditionally, machine learning (ML) models have gained traction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-26 Tanmay Ghosh , Nithin Nagaraj

In the current insurance literature, prediction of insurance claims in the regression problem is often performed with a statistical model. This model-based approach may potentially suffer from several drawbacks: (i) model misspecification,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Liang Hong

It is not clear how to target patients who are most likely to benefit from digital care management programs ex-ante, a shortcoming of current risk score based approaches. This study focuses on defining impactability by identifying those…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-16 Heather Mattie , Patrick Reidy , Patrik Bachtiger , Emily Lindemer , Mohammad Jouni , Trishan Panch

We propose a new method for supervised learning. The hubNet procedure fits a hub-based graphical model to the predictors, to estimate the amount of "connection" that each predictor has with other predictors. This yields a set of predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-22 Leying Guan , Zhou Fan , Robert Tibshirani

In traditional logistic regression models, the link function is often assumed to be linear and continuous in predictors. Here, we consider a threshold model that all continuous features are discretized into ordinal levels, which further…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-18 Yinan Lin , Wen Zhou , Zhi Geng , Gexin Xiao , Jianxin Yin

We introduce a framework for calibrating machine learning models so that their predictions satisfy explicit, finite-sample statistical guarantees. Our calibration algorithms work with any underlying model and (unknown) data-generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Emmanuel J. Candès , Michael I. Jordan , Lihua Lei

We investigate nonlinear prediction/regression in an online setting and introduce a hybrid model that effectively mitigates, via a joint mechanism through a state space formulation, the need for domain-specific feature engineering issues of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-20 Mustafa E. Aydın , Arda Fazla , Suleyman S. Kozat

High-dimensional predictive models, those with more measurements than observations, require regularization to be well defined, perform well empirically, and possess theoretical guarantees. The amount of regularization, often determined by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-16 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald