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Kidney transplantation is the most effective renal replacement therapy for end stage renal disease patients. With the severe shortage of kidney supplies and for the clinical effectiveness of transplantation, patient's life expectancy post…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-19 Ge Zhao , Yanyuan Ma , Huazhen Lin , Yi Li

Balanced representation learning methods have been applied successfully to counterfactual inference from observational data. However, approaches that account for survival outcomes are relatively limited. Survival data are frequently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-04 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Serge Assaad , Shuxi Zeng , Michael J. Pencina , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Expected shortfall is defined as the average over the tail below (or above) a certain quantile of a probability distribution. Expected shortfall regression provides powerful tools for learning the relationship between a response variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Shushu Zhang , Xuming He , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

Chronic diseases are long-lasting conditions that require lifelong medical attention. Using big EMR data, we have developed early disease risk prediction models for five common chronic diseases: diabetes, hypertension, CKD, COPD, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Shaheer Ahmad Khan , Muhammad Usamah Shahid , Muddassar Farooq

A survival dataset describes a set of instances (e.g. patients) and provides, for each, either the time until an event (e.g. death), or the censoring time (e.g. when lost to follow-up - which is a lower bound on the time until the event).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Michael Cooper , Russell Greiner , Rahul G. Krishnan

We study distribution-free predictive inference for data with group symmetries, aiming to establish near-conditional coverage guarantees beyond exchangeability for structured data. While many predictive inference methods achieve a target…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yichen Shen , Mengxin Yu

Discrimination and calibration represent two important properties of survival analysis, with the former assessing the model's ability to accurately rank subjects and the latter evaluating the alignment of predicted outcomes with actual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Shi-ang Qi , Yakun Yu , Russell Greiner

In routine care, individuals identified a priori as high-risk are usually tested for conditions more frequently. Protected attributes, such as sex or ethnicity may also determine testing frequency. Such heterogeneous detection rates across…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-08 Jose Benitez-Aurioles , Ricardo Silva , Brian McMillan , Matthew Sperrin

Pedestrian's road crossing behaviour is one of the important aspects of urban dynamics that will be affected by the introduction of autonomous vehicles. In this study we introduce DeepSurvival, a novel framework for estimating pedestrian's…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-08-12 Arash Kalatian , Bilal Farooq

This study employs a robust analytical framework to uncover patterns in survival outcomes among breast cancer patients from diverse racial and geographical backgrounds. This research uses the SEER 2021 dataset to analyze breast cancer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Ramisa Farha , Joshua O. Olukoya

We describe a new approach to estimating relative risks in time-to-event prediction problems with censored data in a fully parametric manner. Our approach does not require making strong assumptions of constant proportional hazard of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Chirag Nagpal , Xinyu Rachel Li , Artur Dubrawski

Inequalities may appear in many models. They can be as simple as assuming a parameter is nonnegative, possibly a regression coefficient or a treatment effect. This paper focuses on the case that there is only one inequality and proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-17 Gregory Fletcher Cox

We propose an extension of the regular Cox's proportional hazards model which allows the estimation of the probabilities of rare events. It is known that when the data are heavily censored at the upper end of the survival distribution, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-23 Ion Grama , Kevin Jaunatre

An accurate model of patient-specific kidney graft survival distributions can help to improve shared-decision making in the treatment and care of patients. In this paper, we propose a deep learning method that directly models the survival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-30 Margaux Luck , Tristan Sylvain , Héloïse Cardinal , Andrea Lodi , Yoshua Bengio

Constrained single-objective numerical optimisation requires both feasibility maintenance and strong objective-value convergence under limited evaluation budgets. This report documents RDEx-CSOP, a constrained differential evolution variant…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Sichen Tao , Yifei Yang , Ruihan Zhao , Kaiyu Wang , Sicheng Liu , Shangce Gao

We propose a general approach for encouraging fairness in survival analysis models based on minimizing a worst-case error across all subpopulations that occur with at least a user-specified probability. This approach can be used to convert…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-18 Shu Hu , George H. Chen

Massive sized survival datasets are becoming increasingly prevalent with the development of the healthcare industry. Such datasets pose computational challenges unprecedented in traditional survival analysis use-cases. A popular way for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Nir Keret , Malka Gorfine

Longitudinal and high-dimensional measurements have become increasingly common in biomedical research. However, methods to predict survival outcomes using covariates that are both longitudinal and high-dimensional are currently missing. In…

Prognostic models in survival analysis are aimed at understanding the relationship between patients' covariates and the distribution of survival time. Traditionally, semi-parametric models, such as the Cox model, have been assumed. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-06 Denise Rava , Jelena Bradic

Assessment of risk prediction models has primarily utilized measures of discrimination, the ROC curve AUC and C-statistic. These derive from the risk distributions of patients and nonpatients, which in turn are derived from a population…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-05 Ralph H. Stern