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Accurate Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) forecasting is vital for decision-making in agriculture, energy production, and emergency management. However, it remains a challenging and underexplored problem due to the chaotic nature of the…

Precipitation nowcasting is crucial across various industries and plays a significant role in mitigating and adapting to climate change. We introduce an efficient deep learning model for precipitation nowcasting, capable of predicting…

Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades, offering robust solutions but often at the cost of significant computational resources. Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in…

Floods are increasingly frequent natural disasters causing extensive human and economic damage, highlighting the critical need for rapid and accurate flood inundation mapping. While remote sensing technologies have advanced flood monitoring…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Tomohiro Tanaka , Narumasa Tsutsumida

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

The forecasting combination puzzle is a well-known phenomenon in forecasting literature, stressing the challenge of outperforming the simple average when aggregating forecasts from diverse methods. This study proposes a Reinforcement…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-29 Marcelo C. Medeiros , Jeronymo M. Pinro

Climate change increases the frequency of extreme rainfall, placing a significant strain on urban infrastructures, especially Combined Sewer Systems (CSS). Overflows from overburdened CSS release untreated wastewater into surface waters,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Vipin Singh , Tianheng Ling , Teodor Chiaburu , Felix Biessmann

Climate change has caused disruption in certain weather patterns, leading to extreme weather events like flooding and drought in different parts of the world. In this paper, we propose machine learning methods for analyzing changes in water…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-19 Francesco Mauro , Benjamin Rich , Veronica Wairimu Muriga , Alessandro Sebastianelli , Silvia Liberata Ullo

Quantifying changes in the probability and magnitude of extreme flooding events is key to mitigating their impacts. While hydrodynamic data are inherently spatially dependent, traditional spatial models such as Gaussian processes are poorly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-06 Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

Timely and reliable decision-making is vital for flood emergency response, yet it remains severely hindered by limited and imprecise situational awareness due to various budget and data accessibility constraints. Traditional flood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Qian Sun , Graham Hults , Susu Xu

Coastal communities increasingly face compound floods, where multiple drivers like storm surge, high tide, heavy rainfall, and river discharge occur together or in sequence to produce impacts far greater than any single driver alone.…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-22 Soheil Radfar , Faezeh Maghsoodifar , Hamed Moftakhari , Hamid Moradkhani

Recent advances in data-generating techniques led to an explosive growth of geo-spatiotemporal data. In domains such as hydrology, ecology, and transportation, interpreting the complex underlying patterns of spatiotemporal interactions with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Aishwarya Sarkar , Chaoqun Lu , Ali Jannesari

Among the most relevant processes in the Earth system for human habitability are quasi-periodic, ocean-driven multi-year events whose dynamics are currently incompletely characterized by physical models, and hence poorly predictable. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-09 Matthew Bonas , Christopher K. Wikle , Stefano Castruccio

Data-driven flood forecasting methods are useful, especially for the rivers that lack hydrological information to build physical models. Although these former methods can forecast river stages using only past water levels and rainfall data,…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-07 Shunya Okuno , Koji Ikeuchi , Kazuyuki Aihara

It is important to forecast dam inflow for flood damage mitigation. The hydrograph provides critical information such as the start time, peak level, and volume. Particularly, dam management requires a 6-h lead time of the dam inflow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-21 Takato Yasuno , Masazumi Amakata , Junichiro Fujii , Masahiro Okano , Riku Ogata

Numerical modeling of the intensity and evolution of flood events are affected by multiple sources of uncertainty such as precipitation and land surface conditions. To quantify and curb these uncertainties, an ensemble-based simulation and…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-17 Junyu Wei , Xiangyu Luo , Weihong Liao , Xiaohui Lei , Jianshi Zhao , Haocheng Huang , Hao Wang

Time series forecasting plays a critical role in various real-world applications, including energy consumption prediction, disease transmission monitoring, and weather forecasting. Although substantial progress has been made in time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Wei Yuan , Guanhua Ye , Xiangyu Zhao , Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen , Yang Cao , Hongzhi Yin

In recent years, applying deep learning to solve physics problems has attracted much attention. Data-driven deep learning methods produce fast numerical operators that can learn approximate solutions to the whole system of partial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Yining Luo , Yingfa Chen , Zhen Zhang

Deep learning-based time series forecasting has dominated the short-term precipitation forecasting field with the help of its ability to estimate motion flow in high-resolution datasets. The growing interest in precipitation nowcasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Sojung An , Tae-Jin Oh , Eunha Sohn , Donghyun Kim

Intensifying climate change will lead to more extreme weather events, including heavy rainfall and drought. Accurate stream flow prediction models which are adaptable and robust to new circumstances in a changing climate will be an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Aleksis Pirinen , Olof Mogren , Mårten Västerdal
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