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As climate change intensifies, the urgency for accurate global-scale disaster predictions grows. This research presents a novel multimodal disaster prediction framework, combining weather statistics, satellite imagery, and textual insights.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Gengyin Liu , Huaiyang Zhong

Identifying flood affected areas in remote sensing data is a critical problem in earth observation to analyze flood impact and drive responses. While a number of methods have been proposed in the literature, there are two main limitations…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Xavier Bou , Thibaud Ehret , Rafael Grompone von Gioi , Jeremy Anger

Disasters cause severe societal impacts, demanding rapid coordination of heterogeneous AI tools, from satellite analysis to flood prediction and damage assessment, into coherent multi-step workflows. As LLMs increasingly serve as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Zhitong Chen , Kai Yin , Weifeng Zhang , Zhiyuan Wang , Xiangjue Dong , Chengkai Liu , Zhewei Liu , Yiming Xiao , Ali Mostafavi , James Caverlee

Skillful streamflow forecasts can inform decisions in various areas of water policy and management. We integrate numerical weather prediction ensembles, distributed hydrological model and machine learning to generate ensemble streamflow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Sanjib Sharma , Ganesh Raj Ghimire , Ridwan Siddique

The hazard of pluvial flooding is largely influenced by the spatial and temporal dependence characteristics of precipitation. When extreme precipitation possesses strong spatial dependence, the risk of flooding is amplified due to catchment…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-03 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Chris E. Forest , Alfonso Mejía

Recent advances in deep learning have driven rapid progress in time series forecasting, yet many state-of-the-art models continue to struggle with robust performance in real-world applications, even when they achieve strong results on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Qitai Tan , Yiyun Chen , Mo Li , Ruiwen Gu , Yilin Su , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Flood quantile estimation is of great importance for many engineering studies and policy decisions. However, practitioners must often deal with small data available. Thus, the information must be used optimally. In the last decades, to…

Applications · Statistics 2009-11-13 Mathieu Ribatet , Taha B. M. J. Ouarda , Eric Sauquet , Jean-Michel Grésillon

Joint models are a common and important tool in the intersection of machine learning and the physical sciences, particularly in contexts where real-world measurements are scarce. Recent developments in rainfall-runoff modeling, one of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Guy Shalev , Ran El-Yaniv , Daniel Klotz , Frederik Kratzert , Asher Metzger , Sella Nevo

Precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in modern agriculture and industry. However, it poses significant challenges due to the diverse patterns and dynamics in time and space, as well as the scarcity of high precipitation events. To…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-19 Xinzhe Li , Sun Rui , Yiming Niu , Yao Liu

Historical observations of severe weather and simulated severe weather environments (i.e., features) from the Global Ensemble Forecast System v12 (GEFSv12) Reforecast Dataset (GEFS/R) are used in conjunction to train and test random forest…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-19 Aaron J. Hill , Russ S. Schumacher , Israel Jirak

In light of growing threats posed by climate change in general and sea level rise (SLR) in particular, the necessity for computationally efficient means to estimate and analyze potential coastal flood hazards has become increasingly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Areg Karapetyan , Aaron Chung Hin Chow , Samer Madanat

Hydroelectric power generation is a critical component of the global energy matrix, particularly in countries like Brazil, where it represents the majority of the energy supply. However, its strong dependence on river discharges, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Julio Alberto Silva Dias

Floods can be very destructive causing heavy damage to life, property, and livelihoods. Global climate change and the consequent sea-level rise have increased the occurrence of extreme weather events, resulting in elevated and frequent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Jimeng Shi , Vitalii Stebliankin , Zhaonan Wang , Shaowen Wang , Giri Narasimhan

In this paper we present our methods for the MediaEval 2019 Mul-timedia Satellite Task, which is aiming to extract complementaryinformation associated with adverse events from Social Media andsatellites. For the first challenge, we propose…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Kashif Ahmad , Konstantin Pogorelov , Mohib Ullah , Michael Riegler , Nicola Conci , Johannes Langguth , Ala Al-Fuqaha

Drought is one of the most destructive and expensive natural disasters, severely impacting natural resources and risks by depleting water resources and diminishing agricultural yields. Under climate change, accurately predicting drought is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Xuwei Tan , Qian Zhao , Yanlan Liu , Xueru Zhang

Streamflow prediction is one of the key challenges in the field of hydrology due to the complex interplay between multiple non-linear physical mechanisms behind streamflow generation. While physics based models are rooted in rich…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-12 Ankush Khandelwal , Shaoming Xu , Xiang Li , Xiaowei Jia , Michael Stienbach , Christopher Duffy , John Nieber , Vipin Kumar

Weather forecasting is one of the cornerstones of meteorological work. In this paper, we present a new benchmark dataset named Weather2K, which aims to make up for the deficiencies of existing weather forecasting datasets in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Xun Zhu , Yutong Xiong , Ming Wu , Gaozhen Nie , Bin Zhang , Ziheng Yang

Short- or mid-term rainfall forecasting is a major task with several environmental applications such as agricultural management or flood risk monitoring. Existing data-driven approaches, especially deep learning models, have shown…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-13 Vincent Bouget , Dominique Béréziat , Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Arthur Filoche

Delivering useful hydrological forecasts is critical for urban and agricultural water management, hydropower generation, flood protection and management, drought mitigation and alleviation, and river basin planning and management, among…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-19 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis

Producing high-quality forecasts of key climate variables, such as temperature and precipitation, on subseasonal time scales has long been a gap in operational forecasting. This study explores an application of machine learning (ML) models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Elena Orlova , Haokun Liu , Raphael Rossellini , Benjamin A. Cash , Rebecca Willett