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The regulatory approval and broad clinical deployment of medical AI have been hampered by the perception that deep learning models fail in unpredictable and possibly catastrophic ways. A lack of statistically rigorous uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Charles Lu , Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stuart Pomerantz

Heavy smokers undergoing screening with low-dose chest CT are affected by cardiovascular disease as much as by lung cancer. Low-dose chest CT scans acquired in screening enable quantification of atherosclerotic calcifications and thus…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Nikolas Lessmann , Bram van Ginneken , Majd Zreik , Pim A. de Jong , Bob D. de Vos , Max A. Viergever , Ivana Išgum

Uncertainty quantification in Knowledge Graph Embedding (KGE) methods is crucial for ensuring the reliability of downstream applications. A recent work applies conformal prediction to KGE methods, providing uncertainty estimates by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Yuqicheng Zhu , Daniel Hernández , Yuan He , Zifeng Ding , Bo Xiong , Evgeny Kharlamov , Steffen Staab

This study investigates long-term cardiovascular complications in COVID-19 patients using advanced clustering techniques. The objective was to analyse ECG parameters, demographic data, comorbidities, and hospitalization details to identify…

With the long-term rapid increase in incidences of colorectal cancer (CRC), there is an urgent clinical need to improve risk stratification. The conventional pathology report is usually limited to only a few histopathological features.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-08 Christian Abbet , Inti Zlobec , Behzad Bozorgtabar , Jean-Philippe Thiran

The safe integration of machine learning modules in decision-making processes hinges on their ability to quantify uncertainty. A popular technique to achieve this goal is conformal prediction (CP), which transforms an arbitrary base…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Matteo Zecchin , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone , Fredrik Hellström

To evaluate a classification algorithm, it is common practice to plot the ROC curve using test data. However, the inherent randomness in the test data can undermine our confidence in the conclusions drawn from the ROC curve, necessitating…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Zheshi Zheng , Bo Yang , Peter Song

Methods for split conformal prediction leverage calibration samples to transform any prediction rule into a set-prediction rule that complies with a target coverage probability. Existing methods provide remarkably strong performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-15 Santiago Mazuelas

The volume of a brain lesion (e.g. infarct or tumor) is a powerful indicator of patient prognosis and can be used to guide the therapeutic strategy. Lesional volume estimation is usually performed by segmentation with deep convolutional…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-31 Benjamin Lambert , Florence Forbes , Senan Doyle , Michel Dojat

In this paper, we focus on the problem of conformal prediction with conditional guarantees. Prior work has shown that it is impossible to construct nontrivial prediction sets with full conditional coverage guarantees. A wealth of research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Shayan Kiyani , George Pappas , Hamed Hassani

Trimming suspicious calibration points is a common response to contamination in conformal prediction. Its effect on clean-target coverage, however, is governed by the retained law induced by trimming, not by the contamination level alone.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Congye Wang

Coronary artery calcification (CAC) is a strong and independent predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, manual assessment of CAC often requires radiological expertise, time, and invasive imaging techniques. The purpose of this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Andrew M. Nguyen , Jianfei Liu , Tejas Sudharshan Mathai , Peter C. Grayson , Ronald M. Summers

Conformal regression provides prediction intervals with global coverage guarantees, but often fails to capture local error distributions, leading to non-homogeneous coverage. We address this with a new adaptive method based on rescaling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Nicolas Deutschmann , Mattia Rigotti , Maria Rodriguez Martinez

Conformal prediction constructs a set of labels instead of a single point prediction, while providing a probabilistic coverage guarantee. Beyond the coverage guarantee, adaptiveness to example difficulty is an important property. It means…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Sooyong Jang , Insup Lee

Conformal prediction equips machine learning models with a reasonable notion of uncertainty quantification without making strong distributional assumptions. It wraps around any prediction model and converts point predictions into set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-21 Matteo Gasparin , Aaditya Ramdas

Recent developed deep unsupervised methods allow us to jointly learn representation and cluster unlabelled data. These deep clustering methods mainly focus on the correlation among samples, e.g., selecting high precision pairs to gradually…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Jianlong Wu , Keyu Long , Fei Wang , Chen Qian , Cheng Li , Zhouchen Lin , Hongbin Zha

Cardiotocography (CTG) is a key element when it comes to monitoring fetal well-being. Obstetricians use it to observe the fetal heart rate (FHR) and the uterine contraction (UC). The goal is to determine how the fetus reacts to the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-03 Julien Bertieaux , Mohammadhadi Shateri , Fabrice Labeau , Thierry Dutoit

In this paper, we present a novel approach for conformal prediction (CP), in which we aim to identify a set of promising prediction candidates -- in place of a single prediction. This set is guaranteed to contain a correct answer with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Clinical decision-making demands uncertainty quantification that provides both distribution-free coverage guarantees and risk-adaptive precision, requirements that existing methods fail to jointly satisfy. We present a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi , Ali Baheri , Nasibeh Azadeh-Fard

Discrimination and calibration represent two important properties of survival analysis, with the former assessing the model's ability to accurately rank subjects and the latter evaluating the alignment of predicted outcomes with actual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Shi-ang Qi , Yakun Yu , Russell Greiner
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