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We present two iterative methods for computing the global and partial extinction probability vectors for Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. The probabilistic interpretation of these methods involves truncated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche , Giang Nguyen

We give a concise self-contained presentation of known and new limit theorems for the one-type Markov branching processes with continuous time. The new streamlined proofs are based on what we call, the tail generating function approach. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-07 Serik Sagitov

We consider a supercritical branching process $Z_n$ in a stationary and ergodic random environment $\xi =(\xi_n)_{n\ge0}$. Due to the martingale convergence theorem, it is known that the normalized population size $W_n=Z_n/ (\mathbb E…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Ewa Damek , Nina Gantert , Konrad Kolesko

Recent progress in the study of the contact process [2] has verified that the extinction-survival threshold $\lambda_1$ on a Galton-Watson tree is strictly positive if and only if the offspring distribution $\xi$ has an exponential tail. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Danny Nam , Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly

Branching processes in a random environment are natural generalisations of Galton-Watson processes. In this paper we analyse the asymptotic decay of the survival probability for a sequence of slightly supercritical branching processes in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Florin Boenkost , Götz Kersting

A continuous-time particle system on the real line satisfying the branching property and an exponential integrability condition is called a branching L\'evy process, and its law is characterized by a triplet $(\sigma^2,a,\Lambda)$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Bastien Mallein , Quan Shi

We consider the biased random walk on a critical Galton-Watson tree conditioned to survive, and confirm that this model with trapping belongs to the same universality class as certain one-dimensional trapping models with slowly-varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-20 David A. Croydon , Alexander Fribergh , Takashi Kumagai

Linear fractional Galton-Watson branching processes in i.i.d.~random environment are, on the quenched level, intimately connected to random difference equations by the evolution of the random parameters of their linear fractional marginals.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Gerold Alsmeyer

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator of a stationary GARCH process with heavy-tailed innovations. This means that the innovations are regularly varying with index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Thomas Mikosch , Daniel Straumann

A convergence theorem for martingales with c\`adl\`ag trajectories (right continuous with left limits everywhere) is obtained in the sense of the weak dual topology on Hilbert space, under conditions that are much weaker than those required…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Bruno N. Remillard , Jean Vaillancourt

The simple Galton--Watson process describes populations where individuals live one season and are then replaced by a random number of children. It can also be viewed as a way of generating random trees, each vertex being an individual of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-17 Peter Jagers , Serik Sagitov

We study some series expansions for the Lambert $W$ function. We show that known asymptotic series converge in both real and complex domains. We establish the precise domains of convergence and other properties of the series, including…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-08-06 German A. Kalugin , David J. Jeffrey

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

A Galton-Watson process in a varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. It is known that in the critical case, these processes have a Yaglom limit, that is, a suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Arturo Jaramillo , Sandra Palau

We consider invasion percolation on Galton-Watson trees. On almost every Galton-Watson tree, the invasion cluster almost surely contains only one infinite path. This means that for almost every Galton-Watson tree, invasion percolation…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Marcus Michelen , Robin Pemantle , Josh Rosenberg

We establish the joint scaling limit of a critical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process with immigration (BGWI) and its (counting) local time at zero to the corresponding self-similar continuous-state branching process with immigration (CBI)…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Aleksandar Mijatović , Benjamin Povar , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

We consider a random walk on a Galton-Watson tree in random environment, in the subdiffusive case. We prove the convergence of the renormalised height function of the walk towards the continuous-time height process of a spectrally positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-19 Loïc de Raphélis

We consider the extinction events of Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. In particular, we construct truncated and augmented Galton-Watson processes with finite but increasing sets of types. A pathwise approach is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Peter Braunsteins , Geoffrey Decrouez , Sophie Hautphenne

We consider a subcritical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. We consider the event $% \mathcal{A}_{i}(n)$ that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 E. E. Dyakonova , V. A. Vatutin

We provide a simple forest model to encode the genealogical structure of a multitype Galton-Watson process with immigration. We provide two encodings of these forests by stochastic processes. We show, under appropriate conditions, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-10 David Clancy