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Reliable mortality estimates at the subnational level are essential in the study of health inequalities within a country. One of the difficulties in producing such estimates is the presence of small populations, where the stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-05 Monica Alexander , Emilio Zagheni , Magali Barbieri

Bayesian response adaptive clinical trials are currently evaluating experimental therapies for several diseases. Adaptive decisions, such as pre-planned variations of the randomization probabilities, attempt to accelerate the development of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Marta Bonsaglio , Sandra Fortini , Steffen Ventz , Lorenzo Trippa

Clinical decision-making demands uncertainty quantification that provides both distribution-free coverage guarantees and risk-adaptive precision, requirements that existing methods fail to jointly satisfy. We present a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi , Ali Baheri , Nasibeh Azadeh-Fard

Fitting spatio-temporal models for areal data is crucial in many fields such as cancer epidemiology. However, when data sets are very large, many issues arise. The main objective of this paper is to propose a general procedure to analyze…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-06 E. Orozco-Acosta , A. Adin , M. D. Ugarte

Small area estimation has become an important tool in official statistics, used to construct estimates of population quantities for domains with small sample sizes. Typical area-level models function as a type of heteroscedastic regression,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Ryan Janicki

Ocular Myasthenia Gravis (OMG) is a rare and challenging disease to detect in its early stages, but symptoms often first appear in the eye muscles, such as drooping eyelids and double vision. Ocular images can be used for early diagnosis by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Ruiyu Xia , Jianqiang Li , Xi Xu , Guanghui Fu

Indirect standardization is widely used in disease mapping to control for confounding, but relies on restrictive assumptions that may bias estimates if violated. Using data on suicide-related emergency calls, this study highlights such…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 J. Martín-Pozuelo , A. López-Quílez , X. Barber , M. Marco

In public health applications, spatial data collected are often recorded at different spatial scales and over different correlated variables. Spatial change of support is a key inferential problem in these applications and have become…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

Robust prediction of molecular properties under extreme out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios is a pivotal bottleneck in AI-driven drug discovery. Current scaffold-splitting protocols fail to obstruct microscopic semantic overlap,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Zhuohao Lin , Kun Li , Jiameng Chen , Jiajun Yu , Duanhua Cao , Yizhen Zheng , Wenbin Hu

Model-based small area estimation is frequently used in conjunction with survey data in order to establish estimates for under-sampled or unsampled geographies. These models can be specified at either the area-level, or the unit-level, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Paul A. Parker , Ryan Janicki , Scott H. Holan

Social and economic studies are often implemented as complex survey designs. For example, multistage, unequal probability sampling designs utilized by federal statistical agencies are typically constructed to maximize the efficiency of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-09 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

Introduction: Chronic pain patients are at increased risk of opioid-misuse. Less is known about the unique risk conferred by each pain-management treatment, as treatments are typically implemented together, confounding their independent…

In recent years, the US has experienced an opioid epidemic with an unprecedented number of drugs overdose deaths. Research finds such overdose deaths are linked to neighborhood-level traits, thus providing opportunity to identify effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Sachin Gavali , Chuming Chen , Julie Cowart , Xi Peng , Shanshan Ding , Cathy Wu , Tammy Anderson

Spatial documentation is exponentially increasing given the availability of Big IoT Data, enabled by the devices miniaturization and data storage capacity. Bayesian spatial statistics is a useful statistical tool to determine the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-01 Francisco Louzada , Diego C. Nascimento , Osafu Augustine Egbon

Assessing water quality and recognizing its associated risks to human health and the broader environment is undoubtedly essential. Groundwater is widely used to supply water for drinking, industry, and agriculture purposes. The groundwater…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-08 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Afshin Fallah , Havard Rue

Despite the massive costs and widespread harms of substance use, most individuals with substance use disorders (SUDs) receive no treatment at all. Digital therapeutics platforms are an emerging low-cost and low-barrier means of extending…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-03 Eric Pulick , Yonatan Mintz

Although there is substantial literature on identifying structural changes for continuous spatio-temporal processes, the same is not true for categorical spatio-temporal data. This work bridges that gap and proposes a novel spatio-temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Siddharth Rawat , Abe Durrant , Adam Simpson , Grant Nielson , Candace Berrett , Soudeep Deb

Subject-specific cardiovascular models rely on parameter estimation using measurements such as 4D Flow MRI data. However, acquiring high-resolution, high-fidelity functional flow data is costly and taxing for the patient. As a result, there…

Medical Physics · Physics 2025-12-09 Miriam Löcke , Ahmed Attia , Dariusz Ucínski , Cristóbal Bertoglio

The American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) provides access to a wide range of unit-level survey data consisting of correlated Gaussian and binomial distributed survey responses along with associated survey…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Zewei Kong , Paul A. Parker , Jonathan R. Bradley , Scott H. Holan

To be fully useful for public health practice, models for epidemic response must be able to do more than predict -- it is also important to incorporate the mechanisms underlying transmission dynamics to enable policymakers and practitioners…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-26 Jiale Tan , Marisa C. Eisenberg
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