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In this study, we address the challenge of modelling the spatial variability in violence against women across municipalities in a Southern Italian region by proposing a Bayesian spatio-temporal Poisson regression model. Using data on access…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-26 Leonardo Cefalo , Crescenza Calculli , Alessio Pollice

Deep learning models have demonstrated promising results in estimating treatment effects (TEE). However, most of them overlook the variations in treatment outcomes among subgroups with distinct characteristics. This limitation hinders their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Seungyeon Lee , Ruoqi Liu , Wenyu Song , Ping Zhang

Epidemiological investigations of regionally aggregated spatial data often involve detecting spatial health disparities among neighboring regions on a map of disease mortality or incidence rates. Analyzing such data introduces spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

Disease mapping is the field of spatial epidemiology interested in estimating the spatial pattern in disease risk across $n$ areal units. One aim is to identify units exhibiting elevated disease risks, so that public health interventions…

Applications · Statistics 2013-11-05 Craig Anderson , Duncan Lee , Nema Dean

Racialized economic segregation, a key metric that simultaneously accounts for spatial, social and income polarization, has been linked to adverse health outcomes, including morbidity and mortality; however, statistical methods for…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-21 Yang Xu , Loni Philip Tabb

Drug overdose deaths, including those due to prescription opioids, represent a critical public health issue in the United States and worldwide. Artificial intelligence (AI) approaches have been developed and deployed to help prescribers…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Venkatesh Sivaraman , Yejun Kwak , Courtney Kuza , Qingnan Yang , Kayleigh Adamson , Katie Suda , Lu Tang , Walid Gellad , Adam Perer

This work proposes a two-step method to enhance disease risk estimation in small areas by integrating spatiotemporal cluster detection within a Bayesian hierarchical spatiotemporal model. First, we introduce an efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 G. Santafé , A. Adin , M. D. Ugarte

Geographic experiments are a widely-used methodology for measuring incremental return on ad spend (iROAS) at scale, yet their design presents significant challenges. The unit count is small, heterogeneity is large, and the optimal Supergeo…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-01 Charles Shaw

Estimating health indicators for restricted sub-populations is a recurring challenge in epidemiology and public health. When survey data are used, Small Area Estimation (SAE) methods can improve precision by borrowing strength across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Aldo Gardini , Lorenzo Mori

This paper introduces the OPIAID algorithm, a novel approach for predicting and recommending personalized opioid dosages for individual patients. The algorithm optimizes pain management while minimizing opioid related adverse events (ORADE)…

Small area estimates of population are necessary for many epidemiological studies, yet their quality and accuracy are often not assessed. In the United States, small area estimates of population counts are published by the United States…

In the last decade drug overdose deaths reached staggering proportions in the US. Besides the raw yearly deaths count that is worrisome per se, an alarming picture comes from the steep acceleration of such rate that increased by 21% from…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Duilio Balsamo , Paolo Bajardi , André Panisson

Uncertainty estimation aims to evaluate the confidence of a trained deep neural network. However, existing uncertainty estimation approaches rely on low-dimensional distributional assumptions and thus suffer from the high dimensionality of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Tsai Hor Chan , Kin Wai Lau , Jiajun Shen , Guosheng Yin , Lequan Yu

There has been growing interest in extending the coverage of ground PM2.5 monitoring networks based on satellite remote sensing data. With broad spatial and temporal coverage, satellite based monitoring network has a strong potential to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-14 Yikai Wang , Xuefei Hu , Howard Chang , Lance Waller , Jessica Belle , Yang Liu

A Randomized Control Trial (RCT) is considered as the gold standard for evaluating the effect of any intervention or treatment. However, its feasibility is often hindered by ethical, economical, and legal considerations, making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Md Saiful Islam , Sahil Shikalgar , Md. Noor-E-Alam

The drug overdose crisis in the United States continues to intensify. Fatalities have increased five-fold since 1999 reaching a record high of 108,000 deaths in 2021. The epidemic has unfolded through distinct waves of different drug types,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-27 Lucas Böttcher , Tom Chou , Maria R. D'Orsogna

Count data occur widely in many bio-surveillance and healthcare applications, e.g., the numbers of new patients of different types of infectious diseases from different cities/counties/states repeatedly over time, say, daily/weekly/monthly.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-11 Yujie Zhao , Xiaoming Huo , Yajun Mei

The United States has an opioid epidemic, and Pennsylvania's Allegheny County is among the worst. This motivates a deeper exploration of what characterizes the epidemic, such as what are risk factors for people who ultimately overdose and…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-25 Theresa Gebert , Shuli Jiang , Jiaxian Sheng

Opioid use disorder (OUD) is a chronic and relapsing condition that involves the continued and compulsive use of opioids despite harmful consequences. The development of medications with improved efficacy and safety profiles for OUD…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-02 Hongsong Feng , Jian Jiang , Guo-Wei Wei

The COVID-19 pandemic provided many modeling challenges to investigate the evolution of an epidemic process over areal units. A suitable encompassing model must describe the spatio-temporal variations of the disease infection rate of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-20 Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro , Dankmar Boehning , Sujit Sahu