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This paper proposes a variational Bayes algorithm for computationally efficient posterior and predictive inference in time-varying parameter (TVP) models. Within this context we specify a new dynamic variable/model selection strategy for…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Gary Koop , Dimitris Korobilis

Existing approaches to Implicit Neural Representation (INR) can be interpreted as a global scene representation via a linear combination of Fourier bases of different frequencies. However, such universal basis functions can limit the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Jason Chun Lok Li , Chang Liu , Binxiao Huang , Ngai Wong

Predicting future frames for a video sequence is a challenging generative modeling task. Promising approaches include probabilistic latent variable models such as the Variational Auto-Encoder. While VAEs can handle uncertainty and model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Lluis Castrejon , Nicolas Ballas , Aaron Courville

We introduce a method for fast estimation of data-adapted, spatio-temporally dependent regularization parameter-maps for variational image reconstruction, focusing on total variation (TV)-minimization. Our approach is inspired by recent…

In recent years, the modeling and analysis of interval-valued time series have garnered significant attention in the fields of econometrics and statistics. However, the existing literature primarily focuses on regression tasks while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-07 Wan Tian , Zhongfeng Qin

Implicit Neural Representations (INRs) have recently advanced the field of deep learning due to their ability to learn continuous representations of signals without the need for large training datasets. Although INR methods have been…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Mevan Ekanayake , Zhifeng Chen , Gary Egan , Mehrtash Harandi , Zhaolin Chen

Multivariate time-series modeling and forecasting is an important problem with numerous applications. Traditional approaches such as VAR (vector auto-regressive) models and more recent approaches such as RNNs (recurrent neural networks) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Hardik Goel , Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

Neural Processes (NPs), and specifically Transformer Neural Processes (TNPs), have demonstrated remarkable performance across tasks ranging from spatiotemporal forecasting to tabular data modelling. However, many of these applications are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Philip Mortimer , Cristiana Diaconu , Tommy Rochussen , Bruno Mlodozeniec , Richard E. Turner

Although deep networks have been widely adopted, one of their shortcomings has been their blackbox nature. One particularly difficult problem in machine learning is multivariate time series (MVTS) classification. MVTS data arise in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Naveen Madiraju , Homa Karimabadi

Implicit neural representation (INR) characterizes the attributes of a signal as a function of corresponding coordinates which emerges as a sharp weapon for solving inverse problems. However, the capacity of INR is limited by the spectral…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-16 Shaowen Xie , Hao Zhu , Zhen Liu , Qi Zhang , You Zhou , Xun Cao , Zhan Ma

Irregular Multivariate Time Series (IMTS) are characterized by uneven intervals between consecutive timestamps, which carry sampling pattern information valuable and informative for learning temporal and variable dependencies. In addition,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Boyuan Li , Zhen Liu , Yicheng Luo , Qianli Ma

Fast and accurate solution of time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) is of key interest in many research fields including physics, engineering, and biology. Generally, implicit schemes are preferred over the explicit ones for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-28 Suprosanna Shit , Abinav Ravi Venkatakrishnan , Ivan Ezhov , Jana Lipkova , Marie Piraud , Bjoern Menze

In this work, we propose a novel probabilistic sequence model that excels at capturing high variability in time series data, both across sequences and within an individual sequence. Our method uses temporal latent variables to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Ruizhi Deng , Yanshuai Cao , Bo Chang , Leonid Sigal , Greg Mori , Marcus A. Brubaker

In this paper, we write the time-varying parameter (TVP) regression model involving K explanatory variables and T observations as a constant coefficient regression model with KT explanatory variables. In contrast with much of the existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-01 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Gary Koop , Luca Onorante

Time series autoregression (AR) is a classical tool for modeling auto-correlations and periodic structures in real-world systems. We revisit this model from an interpretable machine learning perspective by introducing sparse autoregression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Xinyu Chen , Vassilis Digalakis , Lijun Ding , Dingyi Zhuang , Jinhua Zhao

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) often faces challenges from missing variables, which hinder conventional spatial-temporal graph neural networks in modeling inter-variable correlations. While GinAR addresses variable missing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Shusen Ma , Tianhao Zhang , Qijiu Xia , Yun-Bo Zhao

Temporal Video Grounding (TVG) aims to localize video segments corresponding to a given textual query, which often describes human actions. However, we observe that current methods, usually optimizing for high temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Zhaoyu Chen , Hongnan Lin , Yongwei Nie , Fei Ma , Xuemiao Xu , Fei Yu , Chengjiang Long

In this paper we propose a new time-varying econometric model, called Time-Varying Poisson AutoRegressive with eXogenous covariates (TV-PARX), suited to model and forecast time series of counts. {We show that the score-driven framework is…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-25 Giovanni Angelini , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Enzo D'Innocenzo , Luca De Angelis

This paper considers a time-varying vector error-correction model that allows for different time series behaviours (e.g., unit-root and locally stationary processes) to interact with each other to co-exist. From practical perspectives, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

Implicit Neural Representations for Videos (NeRV) have emerged as a powerful paradigm for video representation, enabling direct mappings from frame indices to video frames. However, existing NeRV-based methods do not fully exploit temporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Jiancheng Zhao , Yifan Zhan , Qingtian Zhu , Mingze Ma , Muyao Niu , Zunian Wan , Xiang Ji , Yinqiang Zheng
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