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We consider a generic and explicit tamed Euler--Maruyama scheme for multidimensional time-inhomogeneous stochastic differential equations with multiplicative Brownian noise. The diffusive coefficient is uniformly elliptic, H\"older…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Khoa Lê , Chengcheng Ling

Overparametrized neural networks trained by gradient descent (GD) can provably overfit any training data. However, the generalization guarantee may not hold for noisy data. From a nonparametric perspective, this paper studies how well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-28 Tianyang Hu , Wenjia Wang , Cong Lin , Guang Cheng

Data distributions in streaming environments are usually not stationary. In order to maintain a high predictive quality at all times, online learning models need to adapt to distributional changes, which are known as concept drift. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Johannes Haug , Gjergji Kasneci

In this paper we present nonparametric estimators for coefficients in stochastic differential equation if the data are described by independent, identically distributed random variables. The problem is formulated as a nonlinear ill-posed…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-18 Fabian Dunker , Thorsten Hohage

We study the strong approximation of stochastic differential equations with discontinuous drift coefficients and (possibly) degenerate diffusion coefficients. To account for the discontinuity of the drift coefficient we construct an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Andreas Neuenkirch , Michaela Szölgyenyi , Lukasz Szpruch

Large deviation estimates for the following linear parabolic equation are studied: \[ \frac{\partial u}{\partial t}=\tr\Big(a(x)D^2u\Big) + b(x)\cdot D u + \int_{\R^N} \Big\{(u(x+y)-u(x)-(D u(x)\cdot y)\ind{|y|<1}(y)\Big\}\d\mu(y), \] where…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-09-09 Cristina Brändle , Emmanuel Chasseigne

We study the problem of parameter estimation using maximum likelihood for fast/slow systems of stochastic differential equations. Our aim is to shed light on the problem of model/data mismatch at small scales. We consider two classes of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-20 A. Papavasiliou , G. A. Pavliotis , A. M. Stuart

Consider the following stochastic differential equation driven by multiplicative noise on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with a superlinearly growing drift coefficient, \begin{align*} \mathrm{d} X_t = b (X_t) \, \mathrm{d} t + \sigma (X_t) \, \mathrm{d}…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Xiang Li , Yingjun Mo , Haoran Yang

Cross-sectional observations from a dynamical system can be modeled via steady-state distributions of Markov processes. The major challenge is then to determine whether the process parameters can be identified and estimated from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Cecilie Olesen Recke , Niels Richard Hansen

The partial linear Cox model for interval-censoring is well-studied under the additive assumption but is still under-investigated without this assumption. In this paper, we propose to use a deep ReLU neural network to estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-04 Jie Zhou , Yue Zhang , Zhangsheng Yu

In this article, we employ a collection of stochastic differential equations with drift and diffusion coefficients approximated by neural networks to predict the trend of chaotic time series which has big jump properties. Our contributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Luxuan Yang , Ting Gao , Yubin Lu , Jinqiao Duan , Tao Liu

This paper considers an ergodic version of the bounded velocity follower problem, assuming that the decision maker lacks knowledge of the underlying system parameters and must learn them while simultaneously controlling. We propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-07 Stefan Ankirchner , Sören Christensen , Jan Kallsen , Philip Le Borne , Stefan Perko

In the pathwise stochastic calculus framework, the paper deals with the general study of equations driven by an additive Gaussian noise, with a drift function having an infinite limit at point zero. An ergodic theorem and the convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Nicolas Marie

Estimation problems with constrained parameter spaces arise in various settings. In many of these problems, the observations available to the statistician can be modelled as arising from the noisy realization of the image of a random linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Reese Pathak , Martin J. Wainwright , Lin Xiao

We consider nonlinear parabolic evolution equations of the form $\partial_{t}u=F(t,x,Du,D^{2}u) $, subject to noise of the form $H(x,Du) \circ dB$ where $H$ is linear in $Du$ and $\circ dB$ denotes the Stratonovich differential of a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Michael Caruana , Peter Friz , Harald Oberhauser

We consider a linear stochastic differential equation with stochastic drift and multiplicative noise. We study the problem of approximating its solution with the process that solves the equation where the possibly stochastic drift is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Giacomo Ascione , Giuseppe D'Onofrio

Drift analysis is one of the state-of-the-art techniques for the runtime analysis of randomized search heuristics (RSHs) such as evolutionary algorithms (EAs), simulated annealing etc. The vast majority of existing drift theorems yield…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-05-30 Per Kristian Lehre , Carsten Witt

We study Bayes procedures for the problem of nonparametric drift estimation for one-dimensional, ergodic diffusion models from discrete-time, low-frequency data. We give conditions for posterior consistency and verify these conditions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Frank van der Meulen , Harry van Zanten

We present a new adaptive algorithm for learning discrete distributions under distribution drift. In this setting, we observe a sequence of independent samples from a discrete distribution that is changing over time, and the goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Alessio Mazzetto

In this paper, we study the estimation of drift and diffusion coefficients in a two dimensional system of N interacting particles modeled by a degenerate stochastic differential equation. We consider both complete and partial observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Chiara Amorino , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė