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Related papers: Neural Drift Estimation for Ergodic Diffusions: No…

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Concept drift is a major issue that greatly affects the accuracy and reliability of many real-world applications of machine learning. We argue that to tackle concept drift it is important to develop the capacity to describe and analyze it.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-04 Geoffrey I. Webb , Loong Kuan Lee , François Petitjean , Bart Goethals

In this paper, we investigate the problem of strong approximation of the solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) when the drift coefficient is given in integral form. We investigate its upper error bounds, in terms of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Paweł Przybyłowicz , Michał Sobieraj

We consider the setting of multiscale overdamped Langevin stochastic differential equations, and study the problem of learning the drift function of the homogenized dynamics from continuous-time observations of the multiscale system. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Max Hirsch , Andrea Zanoni

In this paper, we study central and non-central limit theorems for partial sum of functionals of general stationary Gaussian fields. We apply our result to study drift parameter estimation problems for some stochastic differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

In this paper we consider the nonparametric functional estimation of the drift of Gaussian processes using Paley-Wiener and Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansions. We construct efficient estimators for the drift of such processes, and prove their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Nicolas Privault , Anthony Reveillac

We propose a new scheme for the long time approximation of a diffusion when the drift vector field is not globally Lipschitz. Under this assumption, regular explicit Euler scheme --with constant or decreasing step-- may explode and implicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Vincent Lemaire

Estimating parameters of drift and diffusion coefficients for multidimensional stochastic delay equations with small noise are considered. The delay structure is written as an integral form with respect to a delay measure. Our contrast…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Hiroki Nemoto , Yasutaka Shimizu

We investigate the problem of estimating the drift parameter from $N$ independent copies of the solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by a multiplicative fractional Brownian noise with Hurst parameter $H\in (1/3,1)$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Chiara Amorino , Laure Coutin , Nicolas Marie

The purpose of this paper is to prove new fine regularity results for nonlocal drift-diffusion equations via pointwise potential estimates. Our analysis requires only minimal assumptions on the divergence free drift term, enabling us to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Quoc-Hung Nguyen , Simon Nowak , Yannick Sire , Marvin Weidner

We prove the asymptotic normality of the discretized maximum likelihood estimator for the drift parameter in the homogeneous ergodic diffusion model.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We study a least squares estimator for an unknown parameter in the drift coefficient of a path- distribution dependent stochastic differential equation involving a small dispersion parameter epsilon greater than zero. The estimator, based…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Panpan Ren , Jiang-Lun Wu

In this paper, we consider stochastic versions of three classical growth models given by ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Indeed we use stochastic versions of Von Bertalanffy, Gompertz, and Logistic differential equations as models.…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-22 F. Baltazar-Larios , F. J. Delgado-Vences , A. Ornelas Vargas

The statistical problem of estimating the effective dimension-reduction (EDR) subspace in the multi-index regression model with deterministic design and additive noise is considered. A new procedure for recovering the directions of the EDR…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Arnak Dalalyan , Anatoly Juditsky , Vladimir Spokoiny

This paper presents a distributed estimator for a deterministic parametric physical field sensed by a homogeneous sensor network and develops a new transformed expression for the Cramer-Rao lower bound (CRLB) on the variance of distributed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Salvatore Talarico , Natalia A. Schmid , Marwan Alkhweldi , Matthew C. Valenti

Generating high quality uncertainty estimates for sequential regression, particularly deep recurrent networks, remains a challenging and open problem. Existing approaches often make restrictive assumptions (such as stationarity) yet still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Jiri Navratil , Matthew Arnold , Benjamin Elder

We consider controlled differential equations and give new estimates for higher order Euler schemes. Our proofs are inspired by recent work of A. M. Davie who considers first and second order schemes. In order to implement the general case…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir

In a variety of problems originating in supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning, the loss function is defined by an expectation over a collection of random variables, which might be part of a probabilistic model or the external…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-06 John Schulman , Nicolas Heess , Theophane Weber , Pieter Abbeel

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs), via their induced flow maps, provide a powerful framework to parameterize invertible transformations for the purpose of representing complex probability distributions. While such models have achieved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Youssef Marzouk , Zhi Ren , Sven Wang , Jakob Zech

We consider stationary stochastic dynamical systems evolving on a compact metric space, by perturbing a deterministic dynamics with a random noise, added according to an arbitrary probabilistic distribution. We prove the maximal and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Eleonora Catsigeras

This paper deals with the drift estimation in linear stochastic evolution equations (with emphasis on linear SPDEs) with additive fractional noise (with Hurst index ranging from 0 to 1) via least-squares procedure. Since the least-squares…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-11 Pavel Kříž , Jana Šnupárková
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