English

Fixed-Point Estimation of the Drift Parameter in Stochastic Differential Equations Driven by Rough Multiplicative Fractional Noise

Statistics Theory 2026-05-28 v2 Statistics Theory

Abstract

We investigate the problem of estimating the drift parameter from NN independent copies of the solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by a multiplicative fractional Brownian noise with Hurst parameter H(1/3,1)H\in (1/3,1). Building on a least-squares-type object involving the Skorokhod integral, a key challenge consists in approximating this unobservable quantity with a computable fixed-point estimator, which requires addressing the correction induced by replacing the Skorokhod integral with its pathwise counterpart. To this end, a crucial technical contribution of this work is the reformulation of the Malliavin derivative of the process in a way that does not depend explicitly on the driving noise, enabling control of the approximation error in the multiplicative setting. For the case H(1/3,1/2]H\in (1/3,1/2], we further exploit results on two-dimensional Young integrals to manage the more intricate correction term that appears. As a result, we establish the well-posedness of a fixed-point estimator for any H(1/3,1)H\in (1/3,1), together with both an asymptotic confidence interval and a non-asymptotic risk bound. Finally, a numerical study illustrates the good practical performance of the proposed estimator.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2507.09787,
  title  = {Fixed-Point Estimation of the Drift Parameter in Stochastic Differential Equations Driven by Rough Multiplicative Fractional Noise},
  author = {Chiara Amorino and Laure Coutin and Nicolas Marie},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2507.09787},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

32 pages, 6 figures