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Among recent developments in time series forecasting methods, deep forecasting models have gained popularity as they can utilize hidden feature patterns in time series to improve forecasting performance. Nevertheless, the majority of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Zhendong Wang , Ioanna Miliou , Isak Samsten , Panagiotis Papapetrou

Time series forecasting is a challenging task due to the existence of complex and dynamic temporal dependencies. This can lead to incorrect predictions by even the best forecasting models. Using more training data is one way to improve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Sepideh Koohfar , Laura Dietz

The fairness in machine learning is getting increasing attention, as its applications in different fields continue to expand and diversify. To mitigate the discriminated model behaviors between different demographic groups, we introduce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Taeuk Jang , Pengyi Shi , Xiaoqian Wang

We present a new method for forecasting systems of multiple interrelated time series. The method learns the forecast models together with discovering leading indicators from within the system that serve as good predictors improving the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-03 Magda Gregorova , Alexandros Kalousis , Stephane Marchand-Maillet

Time-series forecasts play a critical role in business planning. However, forecasters typically optimize objectives that are agnostic to downstream business goals and thus can produce forecasts misaligned with business preferences. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-28 Helen Zhou , Sercan O. Arik , Jingtao Wang

We address the problem of uncertainty calibration. While standard deep neural networks typically yield uncalibrated predictions, calibrated confidence scores that are representative of the true likelihood of a prediction can be achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Christian Tomani , Sebastian Gruber , Muhammed Ebrar Erdem , Daniel Cremers , Florian Buettner

Data augmentation in time series forecasting plays a crucial role in enhancing model performance by introducing variability while maintaining the underlying temporal patterns. However, time series data offers fewer augmentation strategies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Dang Nha Nguyen , Hai Dang Nguyen , Khoa Tho Anh Nguyen

Capacity management is critical for software organizations to allocate resources effectively and meet operational demands. An important step in capacity management is predicting future resource needs often relies on data-driven analytics…

Language-guided attention frameworks have significantly enhanced both interpretability and performance in image classification; however, the reliance on deterministic embeddings from pre-trained vision-language foundation models to generate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Mayank Nautiyal , Stela Arranz Gheorghe , Kristiana Stefa , Li Ju , Ida-Maria Sintorn , Prashant Singh

Forecasting can estimate the statement of events according to the historical data and it is considerably important in many disciplines. At present, time series models have been utilized to solve forecasting problems in various domains. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-10 S. Chen , X. Lan , Y. Hu , Q. Liu , Y. Deng

Missing values are common in real-world time series, and multivariate time series forecasting with missing values (MTSF-M) has become a crucial area of research for ensuring reliable predictions. To address the challenge of missing data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Jie Yang , Yifan Hu , Kexin Zhang , Luyang Niu , Philip S. Yu , Kaize Ding

Whereas previous post-processing approaches for increasing the fairness of predictions of biased classifiers address only group fairness, we propose a method for increasing both individual and group fairness. Our novel framework includes an…

Differential equations and numerical methods are extensively used to model various real-world phenomena in science and engineering. With modern developments, we aim to find the underlying differential equation from a single observation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Roy Y. He , Hao Liu , Wenjing Liao , Sung Ha Kang

Code language models are increasingly adopted for both understanding and generative tasks. Despite their success, these models frequently produce overconfident incorrect predictions and underconfident correct predictions, undermining their…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Ravishka Rathnasuriya , Wei Yang

As the world increasingly relies on mathematical models for forecasts in different areas, effective communication of uncertainty in time series predictions is important for informed decision making. This study explores how users estimate…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Apoorva Karagappa , Pawandeep Kaur Betz , Jonas Gilg , Moritz Zeumer , Andreas Gerndt , Bernhard Preim

Periodicity is a fundamental characteristic of time series data and has long played a central role in forecasting. Recent deep learning methods strengthen the exploitation of periodicity by treating patches as basic tokens, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Yiming Niu , Jinliang Deng , Yongxin Tong

Real-world tabular learning production scenarios typically involve evolving data streams, where data arrives continuously and its distribution may change over time. In such a setting, most studies in the literature regarding supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Kodjo Mawuena Amekoe , Mustapha Lebbah , Gregoire Jaffre , Hanene Azzag , Zaineb Chelly Dagdia

We examine the problem of making reconciled forecasts of large collections of related time series through a behavioural/Bayesian lens. Our approach explicitly acknowledges and exploits the 'connectedness' of the series in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-03 Ross Hollyman , Fotios Petropoulos , Michael E. Tipping

For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

Pearson's correlation coefficient is a popular statistical measure to summarize the strength of association between two continuous variables. It is usually interpreted via its square as percentage of variance of one variable predicted by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Romain Piaget-Rossel , Valentin Rousson