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Related papers: Path-Dependent SDEs: Solutions and Parameter Estim…

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In this article, we introduce a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) consisting of time-dependent covariates and consider both fixed and random effects set-ups. We also allow the functional part associated with the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-16 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) serve as a powerful modeling tool in various scientific domains, including systems science, engineering, and ecological science. While the specific form of SDEs is typically known for a given…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Xin Cai , Jingyu Yang , Zhibao Li , Hongqiao Wang , Miao Huang

The signature is a canonical representation of a multidimensional path over an interval. However, it treats all historical information uniformly, offering no intrinsic mechanism for contextualising the relevance of the past. To address…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-20 Alexandre Bloch , Samuel N. Cohen , Terry Lyons , Joël Mouterde , Benjamin Walker

The signature transform, defined by the formal tensor series of global iterated path integrals, is a homomorphism between the path space and the tensor algebra that has been studied in geometry, control theory, number theory as well as…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Horatio Boedihardjo , Xi Geng

In the last decade, the concept of path signature has achieved significant success in data science applications. It offers a powerful set of features that effectively capture and describe the characteristics of paths or sequential data.…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2025-01-13 Ilya Chevyrev , Joscha Diehl , Kurusch Ebrahimi-Fard , Nikolas Tapia

Signature stochastic differential equations (SDEs) constitute a large class of stochastic processes, here driven by Brownian motions, whose characteristics are linear maps of their own signature, i.e. of iterated integrals of the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Christa Cuchiero , Sara Svaluto-Ferro , Josef Teichmann

Diffusion-based generative models use stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and their equivalent ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to establish a smooth connection between a complex data distribution and a tractable prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-25 Defang Chen , Zhenyu Zhou , Can Wang , Chunhua Shen , Siwei Lyu

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

We consider the problem of statistical inference for the effective dynamics of multiscale diffusion processes with (at least) two widely separated characteristic time scales. More precisely, we seek to determine parameters in the effective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-30 Sebastian Krumscheid , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Serafim Kalliadasis

We discuss a concept of path-dependent SDE with distributional drift with possible jumps. We interpret it via a suitable martingale problem, for which we provide existence and uniqueness. The corresponding solutions are expected to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Elena Bandini , Francesco Russo

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative tools with applications in computer vision and scientific machine learning (SciML), where they have been used to solve large-scale probabilistic inverse problems. Traditionally, these…

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a univariate discretely observed ergodic diffusion process given as a solution to a stochastic differential equation. The estimation procedure we propose consists of two steps. In the first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

Signatures provide a succinct description of certain features of paths in a reparametrization invariant way. We propose a method for classifying shapes based on signatures, and compare it to current approaches based on the SRV transform and…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2020-01-15 Elena Celledoni , Pål Erik Lystad , Nikolas Tapia

Predicting future system behaviour from past observed behaviour (time series) is fundamental to science and engineering. In computational neuroscience, the prediction of future epileptic seizures from brain activity measurements, using EEG…

An approximate maximum likelihood method of estimation of diffusion parameters $(\vartheta,\sigma)$ based on discrete observations of a diffusion $X$ along fixed time-interval $[0,T]$ and Euler approximation of integrals is analyzed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Miljenko Huzak

We address the multiclass classification problem for stochastic diffusion paths, assuming that the classes are distinguished by their drift functions, while the diffusion coefficient remains common across all classes. In this setting, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-19 Christophe Denis , Eddy Ella Mintsa

This paper introduces a new approach to generating sample paths of unknown Markovian stochastic differential equations (SDEs) using diffusion models, a class of generative AI methods commonly employed in image and video applications. Unlike…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xuefeng Gao , Jiale Zha , Xun Yu Zhou

Signature, lying at the heart of rough path theory, is a central tool for analysing controlled differential equations driven by irregular paths. Recently it has also found extensive applications in machine learning and data science as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Hang Lou , Siran Li , Hao Ni

Rough path theory is focused on capturing and making precise the interactions between highly oscillatory and non-linear systems. It draws on the analysis of LC Young and the geometric algebra of KT Chen. The concepts and the uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Terry Lyons