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Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables amortized Bayesian inference for simulators with implicit likelihoods. But when we are primarily interested in the quality of predictive simulations, or when the model cannot exactly reproduce the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-03 Richard Gao , Michael Deistler , Jakob H. Macke

We introduce Sequential Neural Posterior Score Estimation (SNPSE), a score-based method for Bayesian inference in simulator-based models. Our method, inspired by the remarkable success of score-based methods in generative modelling,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Louis Sharrock , Jack Simons , Song Liu , Mark Beaumont

Simulation-based inference (SBI) makes it possible to infer the parameters of a model from high-dimensional low-level features of the observed events. In this work we show how this method can be used to establish the presence of a weak…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-07-31 Kierthika Chathirathas , Torben Ferber , Felix Kahlhoefer , Alessandro Morandini

We present FlowSN, a statistical framework using simulation-based inference (SBI) with normalising flows to account for selection effects in observational astronomy. Failure to account for selection effects can lead to biased inference on…

Neural operators have emerged as cost-effective surrogates for expensive fluid-flow simulators, particularly in computationally intensive tasks such as permeability inversion from time-lapse seismic data, and uncertainty quantification. In…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-01-16 Jeongjin Park , Grant Bruer , Huseyin Tuna Erdinc , Abhinav Prakash Gahlot , Felix J. Herrmann

In recent years, there has been a remarkable development of simulation-based inference (SBI) algorithms, and they have now been applied across a wide range of astrophysical and cosmological analyses. There are a number of key advantages to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-18 Noemi Anau Montel , James Alvey , Christoph Weniger

Scientific modeling and engineering applications rely heavily on parameter estimation methods to fit physical models and calibrate numerical simulations using real-world measurements. In the absence of analytic statistical models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Ruoxi Jiang , Peter Y. Lu , Rebecca Willett

Simulation Based Inference (SBI) is shown to yield more accurate resonance parameter estimates than traditional chi-squared minimization in certain cases of model misspecification, demonstrated through a case study of pi-pi scattering and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-07-28 Daniel Sadasivan , Isaac Cordero , Andrew Graham , Cecilia Marsh , Daniel Kupcho , Melana Mourad , Maxim Mai

Neural likelihood estimation methods for simulation-based inference can suffer from performance degradation when the modeled data is very high-dimensional or lies along a lower-dimensional manifold, which is due to the inability of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-12 Simon Dirmeier , Carlo Albert , Fernando Perez-Cruz

Identifying tire and vehicle parameters is an essential step in designing control and planning algorithms for autonomous vehicles. This paper proposes a new method: Simulation-Based Inference (SBI), a modern interpretation of Approximate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Ali Boyali , Simon Thompson , David Robert Wong

Inferring the parameters of a stochastic model based on experimental observations is central to the scientific method. A particularly challenging setting is when the model is strongly indeterminate, i.e. when distinct sets of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Pedro L. C. Rodrigues , Thomas Moreau , Gilles Louppe , Alexandre Gramfort

Flexible intelligent metasurfaces (FIMs) offer a new solution for wireless communications by introducing morphological degrees of freedom, dynamically morphing their three-dimensional shape to ensure multipath signals interfere…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Jian Xiao , Ji Wang , Qimei Cui , Yucang Yang , Xingwang Li , Dusit Niyato , Chau Yuen

A major challenge in computed tomography is reconstructing objects from incomplete data. An increasingly popular solution for these problems is to incorporate deep learning models into reconstruction algorithms. This study introduces a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Knut Salomonsson , Eric Oldgren , Emanuel Ström , Ozan Öktem

For complex simulation problems, inferring parameters often precludes the use of classical likelihood-based techniques due to intractable likelihoods. Simulation-based inference (SBI) methods offer a likelihood-free approach to directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Haley Rosso , Talea Mayo

This study aims to develop surrogate models for accelerating decision making processes associated with carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies. Selection of sub-surface $CO_2$ storage sites often necessitates expensive and involved…

Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) is a powerful and popular operator learning method. However, FNO is mainly used in forward prediction, yet a great many applications rely on solving inverse problems. In this paper, we propose an invertible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Da Long , Zhitong Xu , Qiwei Yuan , Yin Yang , Shandian Zhe

Neural operators, which aim to approximate mappings between infinite-dimensional function spaces, have been widely applied in the simulation and prediction of physical systems. However, the limited representational capacity of network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jin Song , Kenji Kawaguchi , Zhenya Yan

This paper presents a method for modeling transient fluid flow in subsurface reservoir systems based on the developed neural operator architecture (TFNO-opt). Reservoir systems are complex dynamic objects with distributed parameters…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Daniil D. Sirota , Sergey A. Khan , Sergey L. Kostikov , Kirill A. Butov

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables cosmological parameter estimation when closed-form likelihoods or models are unavailable. However, SBI relies on machine learning for neural compression and density estimation. This requires large…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-29 Alex A. Saoulis , Davide Piras , Niall Jeffrey , Alessio Spurio Mancini , Ana M. G. Ferreira , Benjamin Joachimi

Recent advances in neural density estimation have enabled powerful simulation-based inference (SBI) methods that can flexibly approximate Bayesian inference for intractable stochastic models. Although these methods have demonstrated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-17 Matthew O'Callaghan , Kaisey S. Mandel , Gerry Gilmore