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Prediction of stock prices has been an important area of research for a long time. While supporters of the efficient market hypothesis believe that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are formal propositions…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta

With the volatile and complex nature of financial data influenced by external factors, forecasting the stock market is challenging. Traditional models such as ARIMA and GARCH perform well with linear data but struggle with non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Prashant Pilla , Raji Mekonen

To address the complexity of financial time series, this paper proposes a forecasting model combining sliding window and variational mode decomposition (VMD) methods. Historical stock prices and relevant market indicators are used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Luke Li

We address classification of distributional data, where units are described by histogram or interval-valued variables. The proposed approach uses a linear discriminant function where distributions or intervals are represented by quantile…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-15 S. Dias , P. Brito , P. Amaral

In this paper, we explore the application of Permutation Decision Trees (PDT) and strategic trailing for predicting stock market movements and executing profitable trades in the Indian stock market. We focus on high-frequency data using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Vishrut Ramraj , Nithin Nagaraj , Harikrishnan N B

This study delves into the analysis of financial markets through the lens of Wyckoff Phases, a framework devised by Richard D. Wyckoff in the early 20th century. Focusing on the accumulation pattern within the Wyckoff framework, the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-29 Jai Pal

This research explores the reliability of deep learning, specifically Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, for estimating the Hurst parameter in fractional stochastic processes. The study focuses on three types of processes: fractional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-04 Dániel Boros , Bálint Csanády , Iván Ivkovic , Lóránt Nagy , András Lukács , László Márkus

Decision analytics commonly focuses on the text mining of financial news sources in order to provide managerial decision support and to predict stock market movements. Existing predictive frameworks almost exclusively apply traditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Stefan Feuerriegel , Ralph Fehrer

Forecasting time series data is an important subject in economics, business, and finance. Traditionally, there are several techniques to effectively forecast the next lag of time series data such as univariate Autoregressive (AR),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin

Long-term investors, different from short-term traders, focus on examining the underlying forces that affect the well-being of a company. They rely on fundamental analysis which attempts to measure the intrinsic value an equity.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Jessie Sun

One of the pillars to build a country's economy is the stock market. Over the years, people are investing in stock markets to earn as much profit as possible from the amount of money that they possess. Hence, it is vital to have a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-17 Ishu Gupta , Tarun Kumar Madan , Sukhman Singh , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

Application of machine learning for stock prediction is attracting a lot of attention in recent years. A large amount of research has been conducted in this area and multiple existing results have shown that machine learning methods could…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-14 Yuxuan Huang , Luiz Fernando Capretz , Danny Ho

This work addresses the problem of analyzing multi-channel time series data %. In this paper, we by proposing an unsupervised fusion framework based on %the recently proposed convolutional transform learning. Each channel is processed by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Pooja Gupta , Jyoti Maggu , Angshul Majumdar , Emilie Chouzenoux , Giovanni Chierchia

The application of deep learning models for stock price forecasting in emerging markets remains underexplored despite their potential to capture complex temporal dependencies. This study develops and evaluates a Long Short-Term Memory…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-19 Ahad Yaqoob , Syed M. Abdullah

The high dimensionality and complexity of neuroimaging data necessitate large datasets to develop robust and high-performing deep learning models. However, the neuroimaging field is notably hampered by the scarcity of such datasets. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Yutong Gao , Charles A. Ellis , Vince D. Calhoun , Robyn L. Miller

Predicting the completion time of business process instances would be a very helpful aid when managing processes under service level agreement constraints. The ability to know in advance the trend of running process instances would allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Nicolò Navarin , Beatrice Vincenzi , Mirko Polato , Alessandro Sperduti

In this work we present a data-driven end-to-end Deep Learning approach for time series prediction, applied to financial time series. A Deep Learning scheme is derived to predict the temporal trends of stocks and ETFs in NYSE or NASDAQ. Our…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-11-15 Ariel Navon , Yosi Keller

In the modern financial sector, the exponential growth of data has made efficient and accurate financial data analysis increasingly crucial. Traditional methods, such as statistical analysis and rule-based systems, often struggle to process…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-10 Jingru Wang , Wen Ding , Xiaotong Zhu

We propose a deep learning approach to probabilistic forecasting of macroeconomic and financial time series. Being able to learn complex patterns from a data rich environment, our approach is useful for a decision making that depends on…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-15 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

Currently statistical and artificial neural network methods dominate in financial data mining. Alternative relational (symbolic) data mining methods have shown their effectiveness in robotics, drug design and other applications.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 B. Kovalerchuk , E. Vityaev , H. Yusupov