English
Related papers

Related papers: Bayesian Ensembling: Insights from Online Optimiza…

200 papers

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a commonly used method for finding the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters in a mixture model via coordinate ascent. A serious pitfall with the algorithm is that in the case of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-31 Adrian O'Hagan , Arthur White

Bayesian experimental design (BED) is a principled framework for data-efficient design of sequential experiments. However, existing BED methods are unable to adapt to dynamic constraints inherent in real-world tasks due to budget…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-27 Yujia Guo , Daolang Huang , Xinyu Zhang , Sammie Katt , Samuel Kaski , Ayush Bharti

Optimal design is a critical yet challenging task within many applications. This challenge arises from the need for extensive trial and error, often done through simulations or running field experiments. Fortunately, sequential optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Xubo Yue , Raed Al Kontar , Albert S. Berahas , Yang Liu , Blake N. Johnson

Bin packing is a classic optimization problem with a wide range of applications, from load balancing to supply chain management. In this work, we study the online variant of the problem, in which a sequence of items of various sizes must be…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Spyros Angelopoulos , Shahin Kamali , Kimia Shadkami

Bayesian optimization (BO) developed as an approach for the efficient optimization of expensive black-box functions without gradient information. A typical BO paper introduces a new approach and compares it to some alternatives on simulated…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-17 Jiajie Kong , Tony Pourmohamad , Herbert K. H. Lee

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a model-based approach to sequentially optimize expensive black-box functions, such as the validation error of a deep neural network with respect to its hyperparameters. In many real-world scenarios, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-17 Valerio Perrone , Iaroslav Shcherbatyi , Rodolphe Jenatton , Cedric Archambeau , Matthias Seeger

Aggregating multiple learners through an ensemble of models aim to make better predictions by capturing the underlying distribution of the data more accurately. Different ensembling methods, such as bagging, boosting, and stacking/blending,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu , Hieu Pham

This paper proposes the incremental Bayesian optimization algorithm (iBOA), which modifies standard BOA by removing the population of solutions and using incremental updates of the Bayesian network. iBOA is shown to be able to learn and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2008-07-30 Martin Pelikan , Kumara Sastry , David E. Goldberg

We propose Bayesian model averaging (BMA) as a method for postprocessing the results of model-based clustering. Given a number of competing models, appropriate model summaries are averaged, using the posterior model probabilities, instead…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-01 Niamh Russell , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Adrian E Raftery

We develop a new method for stochastic optimization using the Bayesian statistics approach. More precisely, we optimize parameters of chess engines as those data are available to us, but the method should apply to all situations where we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Ivan Ivec , Ivana Vojnović

We consider a human-assisted autonomy sensor fusion for dynamic target localization in a Bayesian framework. Autonomous sensor-based tracking systems can suffer from observability and target detection failure. Humans possess valuable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Min-Won Seo , Solmaz S. Kia

Online Passive-Aggressive (PA) learning is an effective framework for performing max-margin online learning. But the deterministic formulation and estimated single large-margin model could limit its capability in discovering descriptive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-13 Tianlin Shi , Jun Zhu

Financial markets are complex environments that produce enormous amounts of noisy and non-stationary data. One fundamental problem is online portfolio selection, the goal of which is to exploit this data to sequentially select portfolios of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-23 Favour M. Nyikosa , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

We develop a fast and scalable computational framework to solve large-scale and high-dimensional Bayesian optimal experimental design problems. In particular, we consider the problem of optimal observation sensor placement for Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-09 Keyi Wu , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

Offline model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) serves as a competitive framework that can learn well-performing policies solely from pre-collected data with the help of learned dynamics models. To fully unleash the power of offline MBRL,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yu-Wei Yang , Yun-Ming Chan , Wei Hung , Xi Liu , Ping-Chun Hsieh

This paper describes stochastic search approaches, including a new stochastic algorithm and an adaptive mutation operator, for learning Bayesian networks from incomplete data. This problem is characterized by a huge solution space with a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 James W. Myers , Kathryn Blackmond Laskey , Tod S. Levitt

Fine-grained time series data are crucial for accurate and timely online change detection. While both collective anomalies and change points can coexist in such data, their joint online detection has received limited attention. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-11 Xian Chen , Weichi Wu

Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) seeks to conduct the most informative experiment under budget constraints to update the prior knowledge of a system to its posterior from the experimental data in a Bayesian framework. Such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann , Peng Chen

In this dissertation we study statistical and online learning problems from an optimization viewpoint.The dissertation is divided into two parts : I. We first consider the question of learnability for statistical learning problems in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-04-19 Karthik Sridharan

Mathematical solvers use parametrized Optimization Problems (OPs) as inputs to yield optimal decisions. In many real-world settings, some of these parameters are unknown or uncertain. Recent research focuses on predicting the value of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Alan A. Lahoud , Erik Schaffernicht , Johannes A. Stork