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In this paper we propose a new method for approximating the nonstationary moment dynamics of one dimensional Markovian birth-death processes. By expanding the transition probabilities of the Markov process in terms of Poisson-Charlier…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Stefan Engblom , Jamol Pender

In this work, we generalize the concept of bisimulation metric in order to metrize the behaviour of continuous-time processes. Similarly to what is done for discrete-time systems, we follow two approaches and show that they coincide: as a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Linan Chen , Florence Clerc , Prakash Panangaden

A new weak bisimulation semantics is defined for Markov automata that, in addition to abstracting from internal actions, sums up the expected values of consecutive exponentially distributed delays possibly intertwined with internal actions.…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-09-30 Alessandro Aldini , Marco Bernardo

Hybrid systems whose mode dynamics are governed by non-linear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are often a natural model for biological processes. However such models are difficult to analyze. To address this, we develop a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Benjamin M. Gyori , Bing Liu , Soumya Paul , R. Ramanathan , P. S. Thiagarajan

This paper presents algorithms for identifying and reducing a dedicated set of controllable transition rates of a state-labelled continuous-time Markov chain model. The purpose of the reduction is to make states to satisfy a given…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-08-03 Bharath Siva Kumar Tati , Markus Siegle

This paper develops a decision algorithm for weak bisimulation on Markov Automata (MA). For that purpose, different notions of vanishing state (a concept known from the area of Generalised Stochastic Petri Nets) are defined. Vanishing…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-05-01 Johann Schuster , Markus Siegle

Probabilistic model checking for systems with large or unbounded state space is a challenging computational problem in formal modelling and its applications. Numerical algorithms require an explicit representation of the state space, while…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Dimitrios Milios , Guido Sanguinetti , David Schnoerr

The bisimulation metric (BSM) is a powerful tool for analyzing state similarities within a Markov decision process (MDP), revealing that states closer in BSM have more similar optimal value functions. While BSM has been successfully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Zhenyu Tao , Wei Xu , Xiaohu You

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci

Markov Chains with variable length are useful stochastic models for data compression that avoid the curse of dimensionality faced by that full Markov Chains. In this paper we introduce a Variable Length Markov Chain whose transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Seonjin Kim , Nancy Lopes Garcia

Behavioural distances generally offer more fine-grained means of comparing quantitative systems than two-valued behavioural equivalences. They often relate to quantitative modalities, which generate quantitative modal logics that…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Jonas Forster , Lutz Schröder , Paul Wild , Barbara König , Pedro Nora

We introduce a formal notion of masking fault-tolerance between probabilistic transition systems based on a variant of probabilistic bisimulation (named masking simulation). We also provide the corresponding probabilistic game…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Pablo F. Castro , Pedro D'Argenio , Luciano Putruele , Ramiro Demasi

We introduce polynomial couplings, a generalization of probabilistic couplings, to develop an algorithm for the computation of equivalence relations which can be interpreted as a lifting of probabilistic bisimulation to polynomial…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Giorgio Bacci , Giovanni Bacci , Kim G. Larsen , Mirco Tribastone , Max Tschaikowski , Andrea Vandin

We present a new method for simulating Markovian jump processes with time-dependent transitions rates, which avoids the transformation of random numbers by inverting time integrals over the rates. It relies on constructing a sequence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Viktor Holubec , Petr Chvosta , Mario Einax , Philipp Maass

Bisimulation is a concept that captures behavioural equivalence of states in a variety of types of transition systems. It has been widely studied in discrete-time settings where a key notion is the bisimulation metric which quantifies "how…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Linan Chen , Florence Clerc , Prakash Panangaden

We propose a method to approximate continuous-time, continuous-state stochastic processes by a discrete-time Markov chain defined on a nonuniform grid. Our method provides exact moment matching for processes whose first and second moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Do Hyun Kim , Ahmet Cetinkaya

Markov chains provide a foundational framework for modeling sequential stochastic processes, with the transition probability matrix characterizing the dynamics of state evolution. While classical estimation methods such as maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Agamani Saha , Souvik Roy

Computing optimal conditional reachability probabilities in Markov decision processes (MDPs) is tractable by a reduction to reachability probabilities. Yet, this reduction yields cyclic, challenging MDPs that are often notoriously hard to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Milan Češka , Sebastian Junges , Luko van der Maas , Filip Macák , Tim Quatmann

This note presents conjectures on polynomial/algebraic/sub-exponential convergence of transition probabilities for $\lambda$-null recurrent and $\lambda$-transient Markov chains in continuous time. The only known positive examples are in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Phil. Pollett

We present a novel method for computing reachability probabilities of parametric discrete-time Markov chains whose transition probabilities are fractions of polynomials over a set of parameters. Our algorithm is based on two key…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Nils Jansen , Florian Corzilius , Matthias Volk , Ralf Wimmer , Erika Ábrahám , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Bernd Becker