Related papers: Stochastic Processes with Modified Lognormal Distr…
The present Letter, deals with the statistical theory [Phys. Rev. E {\bf 66}, 056125 (2002) and Phys. Rev E {\bf 72}, 036108 (2005)], which predicts the probability distribution $p(E) \propto \exp_{\kappa} (-I)$, where, $I \propto \beta E…
Within the framework of probability models for overdispersed count data, we propose the generalized fractional Poisson distribution (gfPd), which is a natural generalization of the fractional Poisson distribution (fPd), and the standard…
We present elliptical processes, a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsume Gaussian processes and Student's t processes. This generalization includes a range of new heavy-tailed behaviors while retaining computational…
I report a new statistical distribution formulated to confront the infamous, long-standing, computational/modeling challenge presented by highly skewed and/or leptokurtic ("fat- or heavy-tailed") data. The distribution is straightforward,…
From the perspective of non-equilibrium statistical mechanics, modeling the velocity distribution of particles in non-equilibrium, steady-state plasmas presents a significant challenge. Under this context, a family of kappa distributions…
Skew-Gaussian processes (SkewGPs) extend the multivariate Unified Skew-Normal distributions over finite dimensional vectors to distribution over functions. SkewGPs are more general and flexible than Gaussian processes, as SkewGPs may also…
The kappa distribution of velocities appears routinely in the study of collisionless plasmas present in Earth's magnetosphere, the solar wind among other contexts where particles are unable to reach thermal equilibrium. Originally justified…
Gaussian process models are flexible, Bayesian non-parametric approaches to regression. Properties of multivariate Gaussians mean that they can be combined linearly in the manner of additive models and via a link function (like in…
Gaussian Processes (GPs) have been widely used in machine learning to model distributions over functions, with applications including multi-modal regression, time-series prediction, and few-shot learning. GPs are particularly useful in the…
Multivariate time series (MTS) data often include a heterogeneous mix of non-Gaussian distributional features (asymmetry, multimodality, heavy tails) and data types (continuous and discrete variables). Traditional MTS methods based on…
A stochastic model is presented for a super-position of uncorrelated pulses with a random distribution of amplitudes, sizes, velocities and arrival times. The pulses are assumed to move radially with fixed shape and amplitudes decaying…
The complex Gaussian distribution has been widely used as a fundamental spectral and noise model in signal processing and communication. However, its Gaussian structure often limits its ability to represent the diverse amplitude…
With the progress of information technology, large amounts of asymmetric, leptokurtic and heavy-tailed data are arising in various fields, such as finance, engineering, genetics and medicine. It is very challenging to model those kinds of…
Extreme events and the heavy tail distributions driven by them are ubiquitous in various scientific, engineering and financial research. They are typically associated with stochastic instability caused by hidden unresolved processes.…
The family of multivariate skew-normal distributions has many interesting properties. It is shown here that these hold for a general class of skew-elliptical distributions. For this class, several stochastic representations are established…
Many approximate Bayesian inference methods assume a particular parametric form for approximating the posterior distribution. A multivariate Gaussian distribution provides a convenient density for such approaches; examples include the…
Let $X$ be lognormal$(\mu,\sigma^2)$ with density $f(x)$, let $\theta>0$ and define ${L}(\theta)=E e^{-\theta X}$. We study properties of the exponentially tilted density (Esscher transform) $f_\theta(x) =e^{-\theta x}f(x)/{L}(\theta)$, in…
Probability density function estimation with weighted samples is the main foundation of all adaptive importance sampling algorithms. Classically, a target distribution is approximated either by a non-parametric model or within a parametric…
This note presents an operational measure of fat-tailedness for univariate probability distributions, in $[0,1]$ where 0 is maximally thin-tailed (Gaussian) and 1 is maximally fat-tailed. Among others,1) it helps assess the sample size…
Gaussian factor models have proven widely useful for parsimoniously characterizing dependence in multivariate data. There is a rich literature on their extension to mixed categorical and continuous variables, using latent Gaussian variables…