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We propose a new, physically motivated fitting function for density PDFs in turbulent gas. Although it is known that when gas is isothermal, the PDF is approximately lognormal in the core, high-resolution simulations show large deviations…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2013-07-02 Philip F. Hopkins

This paper considers the posterior contraction of non-parametric Bayesian inference on non-homogeneous Poisson processes. We consider the quality of inference on a rate function $\lambda$, given non-identically distributed realisations,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 James A. Grant , David S. Leslie

Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Teemu Härkönen , Simo Särkkä

Time series of observables measured from complex systems do often exhibit non-normal statistics, their statistical distributions (PDF's) are not gaussian and often skewed, with roughly exponential tails. Departure from gaussianity is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-06-29 F. Sattin

We consider the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for the underlying event time based on mixed-case interval-censored data, under a log-concavity assumption on its distribution function. This generalized framework relaxes the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-02 Chi Wing Chu , Hok Kan Ling , Chaoyu Yuan

Empirical evidence shows stock returns are often heavy-tailed rather than normally distributed. The $\kappa$-generalised distribution, originated in the context of statistical physics by Kaniadakis, is characterised by the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-17 Samuel Forbes

A stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in the scrape-off layer of magnetically confined plasmas has been constructed based on a super-position of uncorrelated pulses arriving according to a Poisson process. In the most common…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia

The kappa-deformed statistics has been studied in many papers. It is naturally important question for us to ask what should the kappa parameter stand for and under what physical situation should the kappa-deformed statistics be suitable for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-10 Lina Guo , Jiulin Du

It is well known that the probability distribution of high-frequency financial returns is characterized by a leptokurtic, heavy-tailed shape. This behavior undermines the typical assumption of Gaussian log-returns behind the standard…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-14 Federica De Domenico , Giacomo Livan , Guido Montagna , Oreste Nicrosini

We demonstrate that a nonthermal distribution of particles described by a kappa distribution can be accurately approximated by a weighted sum of Maxwell-Boltzmann distributions. We apply this method to modeling collision processes in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-09 Michael Hahn , Daniel Wolf Savin

A multiplicative stochastic process with the lower bound lognormally distributed is investigated. For the process, the model is constructed, and its distribution function (involving four parameters) and the related statistical properties…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-19 Ken Yamamoto , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

Over the last two decades, it has been argued that the Lorentz transformation mechanism, which imposes the generalization of Newton's classical mechanics into Einstein's special relativity, implies a generalization, or deformation, of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-04 G. Kaniadakis

Probability functions figure prominently in optimization problems of engineering. They may be nonsmooth even if all input data are smooth.This fact motivates the consideration of subdifferentials for such typically just continuous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Abderrahim Hantoute , René Henrion , Pedro Pérez-Aros

We introduce constrained Gaussian process (CGP), a Gaussian process model for random functions that allows easy placement of mathematical constrains (e.g., non-negativity, monotonicity, etc) on its sample functions. CGP comes with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Jeremiah Zhe Liu

Recent advances in single particle tracking and supercomputing techniques demonstrate the emergence of normal or anomalous, viscoelastic diffusion in conjunction with non-Gaussian distributions in soft, biological, and active matter…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-23 Jakub Ślęzak , Ralf Metzler , Marcin Magdziarz

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Gaussian graphical models, where it is assumed that the variables of interest jointly follow a multivariate normal distribution with a sparse precision matrix, have been used to study intrinsic dependence among variables, but the normality…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

Gaussian process regression is a frequently used statistical method for flexible yet fully probabilistic non-linear regression modeling. A common obstacle is its computational complexity which scales poorly with the number of observations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Adam Gorm Hoffmann , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Andreas Kryger Jensen

Many-body stochastic processes with weighted multiplicative interactions are investigated analytically and numerically. An interaction rate between particles with quantities $x, y$ is controlled by a homogeneous symmetric kernel $K(x, y)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Akihiro Fujihara , Satoshi Tanimoto , Toshiya Ohtsuki , Hiroshi Yamamoto

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence in nonparametric regression models where the unknown regression function is modeled by some appropriate stochastic process. In this regard, we consider two setups. The first setup is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya