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Eliciting a high-dimensional probability distribution from an expert via noisy judgments is notoriously challenging, yet useful for many applications, such as prior elicitation and reward modeling. We introduce a method for eliciting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Petrus Mikkola , Luigi Acerbi , Arto Klami

Bayesian inference with computationally expensive likelihood evaluations remains a significant challenge in many scientific domains. We propose normalizing flow regression (NFR), a novel offline inference method for approximating posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-17 Chengkun Li , Bobby Huggins , Petrus Mikkola , Luigi Acerbi

Normalizing flows and autoregressive models have been successfully combined to produce state-of-the-art results in density estimation, via Masked Autoregressive Flows (MAF), and to accelerate state-of-the-art WaveNet-based speech synthesis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-04 Chin-Wei Huang , David Krueger , Alexandre Lacoste , Aaron Courville

The Unconstrained Feature Model (UFM) is a mathematical framework that enables closed-form approximations for minimal training loss and related performance measures in deep neural networks (DNNs). This paper leverages the UFM to provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 George Andriopoulos , Soyuj Jung Basnet , Juan Guevara , Li Guo , Keith Ross

Density estimation, a central problem in machine learning, can be performed using Normalizing Flows (NFs). NFs comprise a sequence of invertible transformations, that turn a complex target distribution into a simple one, by exploiting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Massimiliano Patacchiola , Aliaksandra Shysheya , Katja Hofmann , Richard E. Turner

Recent work has shown that Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) can serve as generative models of images using the perspective of Continuous Normalizing Flows (CNFs). Such models offer exact likelihood calculation, and invertible…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-06 Vikram Voleti , Chris Finlay , Adam Oberman , Christopher Pal

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is the task of estimating the probability of an event conditioned on some inputs. A neural network (NN) can also be used to compute the output distribution for continuous-domain, which can be viewed as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Bing Chen , Mazharul Islam , Jisuo Gao , Lin Wang

Machine learning algorithms often assume that training samples are independent. When data points are connected by a network, the induced dependency between samples is both a challenge, reducing effective sample size, and an opportunity to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-22 Tiffany M. Tang , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

Fueled by the expressive power of deep neural networks, normalizing flows have achieved spectacular success in generative modeling, or learning to draw new samples from a distribution given a finite dataset of training samples. Normalizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Yuehaw Khoo , Michael Lindsey , Hongli Zhao

Maximum entropy modeling is a flexible and popular framework for formulating statistical models given partial knowledge. In this paper, rather than the traditional method of optimizing over the continuous density directly, we learn a smooth…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-01 Gabriel Loaiza-Ganem , Yuanjun Gao , John P. Cunningham

Mobility-on-demand (MoD) systems represent a rapidly developing mode of transportation wherein travel requests are dynamically handled by a coordinated fleet of vehicles. Crucially, the efficiency of an MoD system highly depends on how well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-05 Daniele Gammelli , Filipe Rodrigues

Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is fundamental to applications ranging from urban mobility and resource management to climate modeling. While recent generative models based on denoising diffusion have advanced state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Seyed Mohamad Moghadas , Bruno Cornelis , Adrian Munteanu

Normalizing flows can transform a simple prior probability distribution into a more complex target distribution. Here, we evaluate the ability and efficiency of generative machine learning methods to sample the Boltzmann distribution of an…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-09-16 Gerhard Jung , Giulio Biroli , Ludovic Berthier

The field of general-purpose robotics has recently embraced powerful probabilistic diffusion-based models to learn the complex embodiment behaviours. However, existing models often come with significant trade-offs, namely high computational…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Jialong Li , Simon Kristoffersson Lind , Wenrui Xie , Maj Stenmark , Volker Krüger

Flow Matching (FM) has emerged as a powerful paradigm for continuous normalizing flows, yet standard FM implicitly performs an unweighted $L^2$ regression over the entire ambient space. In high dimensions, this leads to a fundamental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Shinto Eguchi

Normalizing Flows are generative models which produce tractable distributions where both sampling and density evaluation can be efficient and exact. The goal of this survey article is to give a coherent and comprehensive review of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-09 Ivan Kobyzev , Simon J. D. Prince , Marcus A. Brubaker

Markov Random Fields (MRFs), a formulation widely used in generative image modeling, have long been plagued by the lack of expressive power. This issue is primarily due to the fact that conventional MRFs formulations tend to use simplistic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-09-08 Zhirong Wu , Dahua Lin , Xiaoou Tang

Continuous normalizing flows (CNFs) can model data distributions with expressive infinite-length architectures. But this modeling involves computationally expensive process of solving an ordinary differential equation (ODE) during maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Denis Gudovskiy , Tomoyuki Okuno , Yohei Nakata

Mixture Density Networks are a tried and tested tool for modelling conditional probability distributions. As such, they constitute a great baseline for novel approaches to this problem. In the standard formulation, an MDN takes some input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Jakob Kruse

A novel variational inference based resampling framework is proposed to evaluate the robustness and generalization capability of deep learning models with respect to distribution shift. We use Auto Encoding Variational Bayes to find a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Xudong Sun , Alexej Gossmann , Yu Wang , Bernd Bischl