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In recent years, numerous Transformer-based models have been applied to long-term time-series forecasting (LTSF) tasks. However, recent studies with linear models have questioned their effectiveness, demonstrating that simple linear layers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Jiaheng Yin , Zhengxin Shi , Jianshen Zhang , Xiaomin Lin , Yulin Huang , Yongzhi Qi , Wei Qi

Understanding cognitive processes in major depressive disorder (MDD) often relies on behavioral tasks, which are typically analyzed separately, overlooking potential correlations and shared latent structure. To address this limitation, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Yuan Bian , Yuanjia Wang , Xingche Guo

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are a class of potentially powerful, general-purpose tools for time series forecasting and related temporal tasks, but their behavior is strongly shaped by subtle inductive biases in their design.…

Inspired by human neurological structures for action anticipation, we present an action anticipation model that enables the prediction of plausible future actions by forecasting both the visual and temporal future. In contrast to current…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Harshala Gammulle , Simon Denman , Sridha Sridharan , Clinton Fookes

Accurate forecasting of the grid carbon intensity factor (CIF) is critical for enabling demand-side management and reducing emissions in modern electricity systems. Leveraging multiple interrelated time series, CIF prediction is typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Bowen Zhang , Hongda Tian , Adam Berry , A. Craig Roussac

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is one of the fundamental tasks for e-commerce search engines. As search becomes more personalized, it is necessary to capture the user interest from rich behavior data. Existing user behavior modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-21 Hu Liu , Jing Lu , Xiwei Zhao , Sulong Xu , Hao Peng , Yutong Liu , Zehua Zhang , Jian Li , Junsheng Jin , Yongjun Bao , Weipeng Yan

Accurate prediction of human behavior is crucial for effective human-robot interaction (HRI) systems, especially in dynamic environments where real-time decisions are essential. This paper addresses the challenge of forecasting future human…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Wentao Gao , Cheng Zhou

Operational networks commonly rely on machine learning models for many tasks, including detecting anomalies, inferring application performance, and forecasting demand. Yet, model accuracy can degrade due to concept drift, whereby the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Shinan Liu , Francesco Bronzino , Paul Schmitt , Arjun Nitin Bhagoji , Nick Feamster , Hector Garcia Crespo , Timothy Coyle , Brian Ward

AI systems are notorious for their fragility; minor input changes can potentially cause major output swings. When such systems are deployed in critical areas like finance, the consequences of their uncertain behavior could be severe. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Kausik Lakkaraju , Rachneet Kaur , Zhen Zeng , Parisa Zehtabi , Sunandita Patra , Biplav Srivastava , Marco Valtorta

High-dimensional time series prediction is needed in applications as diverse as demand forecasting and climatology. Often, such applications require methods that are both highly scalable, and deal with noisy data in terms of corruptions or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-18 Hsiang-Fu Yu , Nikhil Rao , Inderjit S. Dhillon

This paper addresses the challenges of fault prediction and delayed response in distributed systems by proposing an intelligent prediction method based on temporal feature learning. The method takes multi-dimensional performance metric…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Yang Wang , Wenxuan Zhu , Xuehui Quan , Heyi Wang , Chang Liu , Qiyuan Wu

This paper introduces temporal-conditioned normalizing flows (tcNF), a novel framework that addresses anomaly detection in time series data with accurate modeling of temporal dependencies and uncertainty. By conditioning normalizing flows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 David Baumgartner , Helge Langseth , Kenth Engø-Monsen , Heri Ramampiaro

Common statistical prediction models often require and assume stationarity in the data. However, in many practical applications, changes in the relationship of the response and predictor variables are regularly observed over time, resulting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-05 Heng Wang , Zubin Abraham

Accurate forecasting of Bitcoin (BTC) has always been a challenge because decentralized markets are non-linear, highly volatile, and have temporal irregularities. Existing deep learning models often struggle with interpretability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Raiz Ud Din , Saddam Hussain Khan

Adapting to latent confounded shift remains a core challenge in modern AI. This setting is driven by hidden variables that induce spurious correlations between inputs and outputs during training, leading models to rely on non-causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jialin Yu , Yuxiang Zhou , Haoxuan Li , Junchi Yu , Mengyue Yang , Yulan He , Nevin L. Zhang , Philip Torr , Ricardo Silva

Recent studies have demonstrated the great power of Transformer models for time series forecasting. One of the key elements that lead to the transformer's success is the channel-independent (CI) strategy to improve the training robustness.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Wang Xue , Tian Zhou , Qingsong Wen , Jinyang Gao , Bolin Ding , Rong Jin

Temporal graph learning is pivotal for deciphering dynamic systems, where the core challenge lies in explicitly modeling the underlying evolving patterns that govern network transformation. However, prevailing methods are predominantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Yijun Ma , Zehong Wang , Weixiang Sun , Yanfang Ye

Explainability in time series forecasting is essential for improving model transparency and supporting informed decision-making. In this work, we present CrossScaleNet, an innovative architecture that combines a patch-based cross-attention…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Fredrik Heintz

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial for various applications, such as financial investment, energy management, weather forecasting, and traffic optimization. However, accurate forecasting is challenging due to two main factors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Yan Lin , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

The aggregation of conflicting client updates remains a fundamental bottleneck in federated learning (FL) under heterogeneous data distributions. Naive averaging can produce a global update that improves the global objective while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Ziqi Wang , Qiang Liu , Nils Thuerey
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