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Causal Fine-Tuning under Latent Confounded Shift

Machine Learning 2026-05-14 v3 Computation and Language

Abstract

Adapting to latent confounded shift remains a core challenge in modern AI. This setting is driven by hidden variables that induce spurious correlations between inputs and outputs during training, leading models to rely on non-causal shortcuts. For example, a model may learn to treat metadata (e.g., data source like "Amazon") as a proxy for positive sentiment, causing failure when the source becomes predominantly negative during deployment. To address this latent confounded shift, we introduce Causal Fine-Tuning(CFT). Using a structural causal model as an inductive bias, we derive sufficient identification conditions that motivate a fine-tuning objective for decomposing representations into high-level stable and low-level shift-sensitive components. Instantiating this framework in BERT, we show that learning such causal/spurious representations and adjusting them accordingly yield a more robust predictor. Experiments on spurious correlation injection attacks in text demonstrate that our method outperforms black-box domain generalization baselines, highlighting the benefits of explicitly modeling causal structure.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2410.14375,
  title  = {Causal Fine-Tuning under Latent Confounded Shift},
  author = {Jialin Yu and Yuxiang Zhou and Haoxuan Li and Junchi Yu and Mengyue Yang and Yulan He and Nevin L. Zhang and Philip Torr and Ricardo Silva},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2410.14375},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

ICML 2026 Camera Ready Version

R2 v1 2026-06-28T19:27:10.627Z